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Gore More Competitive Than Clinton In IA

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Despite campaigning for an entire year, Hillary Clinton does not fare as well against national Republican frontrunner Rudy Giuliani in Iowa, as compared to non-candidate and former Vice President Al Gore.

In a head-to-head matchup poll of registered Iowa voters conducted October 12-14 by SurveyUSA, Clinton leads Giuliani by 5 points—48 to 43 percent. Gore leads Giuliani by 9 points—51 to 42 percent. Gore won the Hawkeye State in his 2000 presidential election bid.

Gore is also as competitive a candidate as Clinton in each of the 6 other states for which SurveyUSA has released polling data during the past week.

In New Mexico, Gore is up 4 points on Giuliani with Clinton up 1 point.
In Ohio, Gore is up 4 points with Clinton up by 2 points.
In Kentucky, Gore leads by 1 point and Clinton leads by 2 points.
In Missouri, Gore is up 5 points and Clinton is up 7 points.
In Kansas both Clinton and Gore trail Giuliani by 17 points.
In Alabama, Gore trails Giuliani by 9 points, and Clinton trails by 8 points.

One note: the SurveyUSA poll was conducted just as Al Gore co-won the Nobel Peace prize (on October 12th).

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Final Four Has Presidential Approval

By edging Michigan in the final seconds Sunday, the University of Kentucky guaranteed that one school in the Final Four this year would be located in a state that was not carried by President Barack Obama in 2012. (Connecticut, Florida, and Wisconsin had previously earned Final Four slots over the weekend). Across the 76 Final Fours since 1939, an average of 3.1 schools have been located in states won by the president's ticket during the previous election cycle. All four schools have come from states won by the president 29 times, with the most recent being the 2009 Final Four featuring Connecticut, Michigan State, North Carolina, and Villanova. On 30 occasions three Final Four schools have been located in states won by the president, with two schools 11 times and only one school six times (the most recent being 2012 with Kansas, Kentucky, Louisville, and Ohio State). There has never been a Men's NCAA Division I Final Four in which no schools were located in states carried by the president's ticket.


Three for the Road

A new Rasmussen Poll shows Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker in a dead heat with likely 2014 Democratic nominee Mary Burke. Walker is seeking to win his third consecutive election after prevailing in 2012's recall contest. Eight of his predecessors accomplished this feat: Republicans Lucius Fairchild (in 1869), Jeremiah Rusk (1886), Robert La Follette (1904), Emanuel Philipp (1918), John Blaine (1924), Walter Kohler (1954), Warren Knowles (1968), and Tommy Thompson (1994). Three others Badger State governors lost on their third campaign: Democrat George Peck (1894), Progressive Philip La Follette (1938), and Republican Julius Heil (1942). One died in office before having the opportunity to win a third contest (GOPer Walter Goodland in 1947) while another resigned beforehand (Democrat Patrick Lucey in 1977 to become Ambassador to Mexico). Overall Wisconsin gubernatorial incumbents have won 35 of 47 general election contests, or 74.5 percent of the time.


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