Go to HHH home page.
Smart Politics
 


Romney and Clinton Remain On Top In Iowa

Bookmark and Share

With 75 days until the Iowa Caucuses (at least the Republican Caucus), Mitt Romney and Hillary Clinton remain atop their respective party's field in the race for president as measured by the first Rasmussen poll of Iowans (650 likely Republican caucus voters and 1,007 likely Democratic caucus voters; the poll was conducted October 10th and 14th).

Both candidates were recently projected by the University of Virginia's politcal expert Dr. Larry Sabato to face off in the general election. With Romney only polling competitively in the early primary states (and not polling competitively at all in national polls), Sabato must subscribe to the theory that if a candidate wins these early races, the positive media coverage—and perhaps the desire for voters to be on the 'winning side'—propels the candidate to win the nomination. Clinton is leading in both national polls as well as nearly every public state poll across the country.

In the new Rasmussen poll, Romney's support is measured at 25 percent, followed by Fred Thompson (19 percent), and Mike Huckabee (18 percent). This is Huckabee's strongest polling numbers to date in the Hawkeye State. Rudy Giuliani came in fourth at 13 percent, followed by John McCain (6 percent), Sam Brownback (3 percent), Tom Tancredo (2 percent), Ron Paul (2 percent), and Duncan Hunter (1 percent).

On the Democratic side, Clinton remained in front with 33 percent, followed by John Edwards (22 percent), Barack Obama (21 percent), Bill Richardson (7 percent), and Joe Biden (4 percent).

Eleven percent of likely Republican caucus voters and eleven percent of Democratic caucus voters were undecided.

Previous post: IA Republican Party Sets Caucus Date of January 3rd
Next post: Senator Johnson to Run for 3rd Term In South Dakota

Leave a comment


Remains of the Data

Kevin McCarthy Becomes Least Tenured Floor Leader in US House History

At less than four terms, McCarthy has served 423 fewer days in the chamber than any floor leader in U.S. House history and almost 10 years less than the average leader.

Political Crumbs

The Second Time Around

Former Republican Congressman Bob Beauprez became the seventh major party or second place gubernatorial candidate in Colorado to get a second chance at the office when he narrowly won his party's nomination last month. Two of the previous six candidates were successful. Democrat Alva Adams lost his first gubernatorial bid to Benjamin Eaton in 1884, but was victorious two years later against William Meyer. Democrat Charles Johnson placed third in 1894 behind Republican Albert McIntyre and Populist incumbent Governor David Waite but returned as the Fusion (Democrat/Populist) nominee in 1898 and defeated GOPer Henry Wolcott. Gubernatorial candidates who received a second chance but lost both general elections include Democrat Thomas Patterson (1888, 1914), Progressive Edward Costigan (1912, 1914), Republican Donald Brotzman (1954, 1956), and Republican David Strickland (1978, 1986).


How Are the Plurality Winners Doing?

Nearly 40 percent of plurality winners of U.S. Senate elections lose their seat in the next election cycle. Will that happen to any of the three such incumbents on the ballot in 2014? Recent polling suggests Democrats Al Franken of Minnesota, Mark Begich of Alaska, and Jeff Merkley of Oregon all currently have an advantage over their nominated/frontrunning GOP opponents, but each is flirting with plurality support once again. Franken led endorsed GOPer Mike McFadden 48 to 42 percent in a new SurveyUSA poll while the polling group showed Merkley with a 50 to 32 percent advantage over Monica Wehby. Begich led each of the three major GOP candidates in last month's PPP survey: 42 to 37 percent over Daniel Sullivan, 41 to 33 percent over Mead Treadwell, and 43 to 27 percent over Joe Miller.


more POLITICAL CRUMBS

Humphrey School Sites
CSPG
Humphrey New Media Hub

Issues />

<div id=
Abortion
Afghanistan
Budget and taxes
Campaign finances
Crime and punishment
Economy and jobs
Education
Energy
Environment
Foreign affairs
Gender
Health
Housing
Ideology
Immigration
Iraq
Media
Military
Partisanship
Race and ethnicity
Reapportionment
Redistricting
Religion
Sexuality
Sports
Terrorism
Third parties
Transportation
Voting