Go to HHH home page.
Smart Politics
 


U of IA Poll Stakes Romney To Biggest Campaign '08 Lead To Date

Bookmark and Share

Mitt Romney has been leading the Republican field in Iowa for several months, but the latest University of Iowa poll has measured his lead at nearly three times that of his nearest competitor.

Romney received the support of 36 percent of 282 likely Republican caucus voters, according to the poll, conducted October 17-24 with a margin of error of 5.8 percent. This is the highest number reached by Romney in any public poll in Iowa to date—his previous high was 33 percent in Zogby's August survey.

Rudy Giuliani and Mike Huckabee came in tied for second at 13 percent, followed by Fred Thompson at 11 percent, John McCain at 6 percent, and Tom Tancredo at 2 percent.

Iowans also seem to be settling on a candidate—only 15 percent were undecided as to which candidate they will support, down from 27 percent in the University of Iowa's August 2007 survey.

Previous post: Clinton Rolls Over GOP in MN ; McCain Toughest Competitor
Next post: The Huckabee Surge Is Real

Leave a comment


Remains of the Data

Strange Bedfellows: A Historical Review of Divided US Senate Delegations

Over the last century, states have been twice as likely to be represented by a single political party in the U.S. Senate than have a split delegation; only Delaware, Iowa, and Illinois have been divided more than half the time.

Political Crumbs

Haugh to Reach New Heights

The North Carolina U.S. Senate race between Democratic incumbent Kay Hagan and Republican Thom Tillis may go down to the wire next Tuesday, but along the way Libertarian nominee Sean Haugh is poised to set a state record for a non-major party candidate. Haugh, who previously won 1.5 percent of the vote in the Tar Heel State's 2002 race, has polled at or above five percent in 10 of the last 12 polls that included his name. The current high water mark for a third party or independent candidate in a North Carolina U.S. Senate election is just 3.3 percent, recorded by Libertarian Robert Emory back in 1992. Only one other candidate has eclipsed the three percent mark - Libertarian Christopher Cole with 3.1 percent in 2008.


Gubernatorial Highs and Lows

Two sitting governors currently hold the record for the highest gubernatorial vote ever received in their respective states by a non-incumbent: Republican Matt Mead of Wyoming (65.7 percent in 2010) and outgoing GOPer Dave Heineman of Nebraska (73.4 percent in 2006). Republican Gary Herbert of Utah had not previously won a gubernatorial contest when he notched a state record 64.1 percent for his first victory in 2010, but was an incumbent at the time after ascending to the position in 2009 after the early departure of Jon Huntsman. Meanwhile, two sitting governors hold the record in their states for the lowest mark ever recorded by a winning gubernatorial candidate (incumbent or otherwise): independent-turned-Democrat Lincoln Chafee of Rhode Island (36.1 percent in 2010) and Democrat Terry McAuliffe of Virginia (47.8 percent in 2013).


more POLITICAL CRUMBS

Humphrey School Sites
CSPG
Humphrey New Media Hub

Issues />

<div id=
Abortion
Afghanistan
Budget and taxes
Campaign finances
Crime and punishment
Economy and jobs
Education
Energy
Environment
Foreign affairs
Gender
Health
Housing
Ideology
Immigration
Iraq
Media
Military
Partisanship
Race and ethnicity
Reapportionment
Redistricting
Religion
Sexuality
Sports
Terrorism
Third parties
Transportation
Voting