Go to HHH home page.
Smart Politics
 


U of IA Poll Stakes Romney To Biggest Campaign '08 Lead To Date

Bookmark and Share

Mitt Romney has been leading the Republican field in Iowa for several months, but the latest University of Iowa poll has measured his lead at nearly three times that of his nearest competitor.

Romney received the support of 36 percent of 282 likely Republican caucus voters, according to the poll, conducted October 17-24 with a margin of error of 5.8 percent. This is the highest number reached by Romney in any public poll in Iowa to date—his previous high was 33 percent in Zogby's August survey.

Rudy Giuliani and Mike Huckabee came in tied for second at 13 percent, followed by Fred Thompson at 11 percent, John McCain at 6 percent, and Tom Tancredo at 2 percent.

Iowans also seem to be settling on a candidate—only 15 percent were undecided as to which candidate they will support, down from 27 percent in the University of Iowa's August 2007 survey.

Previous post: Clinton Rolls Over GOP in MN ; McCain Toughest Competitor
Next post: The Huckabee Surge Is Real

Leave a comment


Remains of the Data

Plurality-Winning Governors Elected At Century-Long High Water Mark

The rate of gubernatorial candidates elected without the support of a majority of voters is at its highest level since the 1910s.

Political Crumbs

Seeing Red

Congressman Nick Rahall's failed bid for a 20th term in West Virginia this cycle, combined with a narrow loss by Nick Casey to Alex Mooney in Shelley Moore Capito's open seat, means that West Virginia Democrats will be shut out of the state's U.S. House delegation for the first time in over 90 years. The Republican sweep by two-term incumbent David McKinley in the 1st CD, Mooney in the 2nd, and Evan Jenkins over Rahall in the 3rd marks the first time the GOP has held all seats in the chamber from West Virginia since the Election of 1920. During the 67th Congress (1921-1923) all six seats from the state were controlled by the GOP. Since the Election of 1922, Democrats have won 76 percent of all U.S. House elections in the Mountain State - capturing 172 seats compared to 54 for the GOP.


Home Field Advantage?

When the 114th Congress convenes in a few days, Maine will be represented by one home-grown U.S. Representative: Waterville-born Republican Bruce Poliquin. With the departure of Millinocket-born Mike Michaud, who launched a failed gubernatorial bid, the Pine Tree State was poised to send a House delegation to D.C. without any Maine-born members for the first time since 1821. Three-term U.S. Rep. Chellie Pingree (born in Minnesota) coasted to reelection as expected, however Poliquin edged Kentucky-born Emily Cain by 5.3 points to keep the streak alive. Since 1876, a total of 208 of the 222 candidates elected to the nation's lower legislative chamber from the state have been born in Maine, or 94 percent.


more POLITICAL CRUMBS

Humphrey School Sites
CSPG
Humphrey New Media Hub

Issues />

<div id=
Abortion
Afghanistan
Budget and taxes
Campaign finances
Crime and punishment
Economy and jobs
Education
Energy
Environment
Foreign affairs
Gender
Health
Housing
Ideology
Immigration
Iraq
Media
Military
Partisanship
Race and ethnicity
Reapportionment
Redistricting
Religion
Sexuality
Sports
Terrorism
Third parties
Transportation
Voting