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Clinton Outperforms Obama in WI Matchups; McCain Strongest Republican

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Hillary Clinton continues to outpoll all of her leading GOP rivals in matchup polls in the Badger State, according to a new SurveyUSA poll conducted November 9-11. Clinton also performs better than Barack Obama against these Republican contenders.

Overall, Clinton leads Rudy Giuliani, Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, and John McCain by an average of 11 points, whereas Obama's average lead is 8 points—including trailing McCain by 4 points.

* Clinton leads Giuliani 49-42 percent while Obama leads Giuliani 47-42 percent.
* Clinton leads Romney 53-37; Obama bests Romney by a 50-38 margin.
* Clinton leads McCain 47-45; McCain leads Obama 47-43.
* Clinton and Obama each lead Huckabee by 17 points, 53-36 and 52-35 respectively.

Clinton's 7-point lead over Giuliani is tied for the largest measured by SurveyUSA in 10 consecutive polls conducted in 2007 (Giuliani lead Clinton from February through April).

Obama also seems to be gaining ground on Giuliani in the three matchup polls between the two candidates conducted by SurveyUSA this year. Obama trailed the former New York mayor by 2 points in April, lead by 3 points in September, and now leads by 5 points in the new November poll.

Despite being the strongest GOP candidate across battleground states, McCain's candidacy is plagued by his performance within his party to garner the Republican nomination. McCain polls 3rd or 4th in most national polls, and 5th in the state of Iowa, who will hold its cacuses on January 3rd.

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Remains of the Data

Who Has Won the Most Votes in US Senate Electoral History?

Only three of the Top 10 and nine of the Top 50 vote-getters of all time are currently serving in the chamber.

Political Crumbs

Six for Thirteen

Collin Peterson remarked last month that he is leaning to run for reelection to Minnesota's 7th Congressional District in 2016. If he does and is victorious, he will creep even closer to the top of the list of the longest-serving U.S. Representatives in Minnesota history. The DFL congressman is only the sixth Minnesotan to win at least 13 terms to the U.S. House of the 135 elected to the chamber in state history. Peterson trails 18-term DFLer Jim Oberstar (1975-2011), 16-term Republicans Harold Knutson (1917-1949) and August Andresen (1925-1933; 1935-1958), and 14-term DFLers Martin Sabo (1979-2007) and John Blatnik (1947-1974). Andresen died in office, Sabo and Blatnik retired, and Knutson and Oberstar were defeated at the ballot box in 1948 and 2010 respectively. At 70 years, 7 months, 11 days through Monday, Peterson is currently the ninth oldest Gopher State U.S. Representative in history. DFLer Rick Nolan of the 8th CD is the seventh oldest at 71 years, 1 month, 23 days.


Seeing Red

Congressman Nick Rahall's failed bid for a 20th term in West Virginia this cycle, combined with a narrow loss by Nick Casey to Alex Mooney in Shelley Moore Capito's open seat, means that West Virginia Democrats will be shut out of the state's U.S. House delegation for the first time in over 90 years. The Republican sweep by two-term incumbent David McKinley in the 1st CD, Mooney in the 2nd, and Evan Jenkins over Rahall in the 3rd marks the first time the GOP has held all seats in the chamber from West Virginia since the Election of 1920. During the 67th Congress (1921-1923) all six seats from the state were controlled by the GOP. Since the Election of 1922, Democrats have won 76 percent of all U.S. House elections in the Mountain State - capturing 172 seats compared to 54 for the GOP.


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