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Clinton Outperforms Obama in WI Matchups; McCain Strongest Republican

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Hillary Clinton continues to outpoll all of her leading GOP rivals in matchup polls in the Badger State, according to a new SurveyUSA poll conducted November 9-11. Clinton also performs better than Barack Obama against these Republican contenders.

Overall, Clinton leads Rudy Giuliani, Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, and John McCain by an average of 11 points, whereas Obama's average lead is 8 points—including trailing McCain by 4 points.

* Clinton leads Giuliani 49-42 percent while Obama leads Giuliani 47-42 percent.
* Clinton leads Romney 53-37; Obama bests Romney by a 50-38 margin.
* Clinton leads McCain 47-45; McCain leads Obama 47-43.
* Clinton and Obama each lead Huckabee by 17 points, 53-36 and 52-35 respectively.

Clinton's 7-point lead over Giuliani is tied for the largest measured by SurveyUSA in 10 consecutive polls conducted in 2007 (Giuliani lead Clinton from February through April).

Obama also seems to be gaining ground on Giuliani in the three matchup polls between the two candidates conducted by SurveyUSA this year. Obama trailed the former New York mayor by 2 points in April, lead by 3 points in September, and now leads by 5 points in the new November poll.

Despite being the strongest GOP candidate across battleground states, McCain's candidacy is plagued by his performance within his party to garner the Republican nomination. McCain polls 3rd or 4th in most national polls, and 5th in the state of Iowa, who will hold its cacuses on January 3rd.

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Remains of the Data

Which States Own the Best Track Record in Backing Eventual GOP Presidential Nominees?

Nine states (each with primaries) have an unblemished record in voting for the eventual Republican nominee since 1976 - and not all host contests on the back end of the calendar.

Political Crumbs

Evolving?

When Scott Walker "punted" back in February after being asked if he was comfortable with the idea of evolution he added, "That's a question a politician shouldn't be involved in one way or the other." However, it may very well be a question that is asked at one of the upcoming GOP debates this year. In South Carolina during the first GOP debate in 2012, FOX News' Juan Williams asked Tim Pawlenty, "Do you equate the teaching of creationism with the teaching of evolution as the basis for what should be taught for our nation's schools?" Pawlenty replied, "There should be room in the curriculum for study of intelligent design" but that it was up to the local school districts if it should be in a science class or comparative theory class. At the fourth Republican debate held in California, Jon Huntsman addressed the GOP becoming "anti-science" thusly: "Listen, when you make comments that fly in the face of what 98 out of 100 climate scientists have said, when you call into question the science of evolution, all I'm saying is that, in order for the Republican Party to win, we can't run from science. We can't run from mainstream conservative philosophy."


73 Months and Counting

January's preliminary Bureau of Labor Statistics numbers show Minnesota's unemployment rate of 3.7 percent was once again lower than Wisconsin's 5.0 percent. That marks the 73rd consecutive month in which Minnesota has boasted a lower jobless rate than its neighbor to the east dating back to January 2009 including each of the last 67 months by at least one point. The Gopher State has now edged Wisconsin in the employment border battle for 204 of the last 216 months dating back to February 1997. Wisconsin only managed a lower unemployment rate than Minnesota for the 12 months of 2008 during this 18-year span.


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