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Coleman's Lead In Single Digits In New Rasmussen Poll

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A new Rasmussen poll was released today of 500 likely voters in the Minnesota Senate race that gives Republican Norm Coleman a narrow lead over both candidates, but confirms the race is still 'one to watch' in 2008.

Coleman leads Mike Ciresi by a 46-43 margin in the new survey, conducted October 31st, nearly identical to his 46-42 lead measured in Rasmussen's last poll conducted 8 weeks prior in early September 2007.

Coleman leads Al Franken by a 49-42 margin, slightly higher than the 46-41 percent lead from back in September.

Franken still suffers from the highest unfavorability rating among the three candidate—creeping up from 46 percent in March's Rasmussen poll, to 47 percent in September, to 48 percent in the new October poll. Ciresi's unfavorability rating dropped from 43 percent in September to 40 percent in October.

Coleman still remains a fairly popular figure in the Gopher State according to Rasmussen, with a 56 percent favorability rating (up from 51 percent in March and 54 percent in September), while 42 percent have an unfavorable view of the first term Senator.

Both the Rasmussen poll and yesterday's SurveyUSA poll were conducted by automated phone surveys, however the Rasmussen poll screened for likely voters while the SurveyUSA poll screened for the larger pool of registered voters. As a result, fewer respondents in the Rasmussen poll were undecided as to whom they would vote for in the Coleman-Franken matchup (4 percent vs. 9 percent at SurveyUSA) as well as the Coleman-Ciresi matchup (7 percent vs. 12 percent).

Additionally, approximately twice as many respondents were unfamiliar with the candidates in the SurveyUSA poll as compared to Rasmussen.

Previous post: Coleman in Dead Heat With DFL in MN 2008 Senate Race
Next post: And A 3rd MN Senate Poll: Coleman Still On Top

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Remains of the Data

Who Has Won the Most Votes in US Senate Electoral History?

Only three of the Top 10 and nine of the Top 50 vote-getters of all time are currently serving in the chamber.

Political Crumbs

Six for Thirteen

Collin Peterson remarked last month that he is leaning to run for reelection to Minnesota's 7th Congressional District in 2016. If he does and is victorious, he will creep even closer to the top of the list of the longest-serving U.S. Representatives in Minnesota history. The DFL congressman is only the sixth Minnesotan to win at least 13 terms to the U.S. House of the 135 elected to the chamber in state history. Peterson trails 18-term DFLer Jim Oberstar (1975-2011), 16-term Republicans Harold Knutson (1917-1949) and August Andresen (1925-1933; 1935-1958), and 14-term DFLers Martin Sabo (1979-2007) and John Blatnik (1947-1974). Andresen died in office, Sabo and Blatnik retired, and Knutson and Oberstar were defeated at the ballot box in 1948 and 2010 respectively. At 70 years, 7 months, 11 days through Monday, Peterson is currently the ninth oldest Gopher State U.S. Representative in history. DFLer Rick Nolan of the 8th CD is the seventh oldest at 71 years, 1 month, 23 days.


Seeing Red

Congressman Nick Rahall's failed bid for a 20th term in West Virginia this cycle, combined with a narrow loss by Nick Casey to Alex Mooney in Shelley Moore Capito's open seat, means that West Virginia Democrats will be shut out of the state's U.S. House delegation for the first time in over 90 years. The Republican sweep by two-term incumbent David McKinley in the 1st CD, Mooney in the 2nd, and Evan Jenkins over Rahall in the 3rd marks the first time the GOP has held all seats in the chamber from West Virginia since the Election of 1920. During the 67th Congress (1921-1923) all six seats from the state were controlled by the GOP. Since the Election of 1922, Democrats have won 76 percent of all U.S. House elections in the Mountain State - capturing 172 seats compared to 54 for the GOP.


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