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Romney Doubles Up Nearest Competitor In Latest Zogby Iowa Poll

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For months Mitt Romney's success in early polling in Iowa was attributed to the former Massachusetts governor sinking lots of money into ads in the state. Now, less than 2 months from the caucuses, Romney's lead is as strong as ever, and his nearest competitor is one of the least funded candidates in the race—Mike Huckabee.

The latest Zogby poll, conducted November 6-7 of 410 likely Republican caucus voters, measures Romney's support at 31 percent, about twice as much as Huckabee's 15 percent. Rudy Giuliani comes in third with 11 percent, continuing a decline in support among Hawkeye state caucus voters: Zogby measured Giuliani's support at 25 percent in March, 18 percent in May, and 14 percent in August.

Rounding out the rest of the Republican field are Fred Thompson at 10 percent, John McCain at 8 percent, Ron Paul at 4 percent, Tom Tancredo at 3 percent, and Duncan Hunter at 1 percent. Sixteen percent were undecided.

Nearly all political pundits still predict Giuliani will be the GOP nominee (save the University of Virginia's Larry Sabato, who predicted Romney last month), despite the large leads Romney has opened up in both Iowa and New Hampshire—the first two states in which voting will occur. Romney is also polling ahead of his rivals in the latest South Carolina survey (American Research Group)—another important early primary state.

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Remains of the Data

Plurality-Winning Governors Elected At Century-Long High Water Mark

The rate of gubernatorial candidates elected without the support of a majority of voters is at its highest level since the 1910s.

Political Crumbs

Seeing Red

Congressman Nick Rahall's failed bid for a 20th term in West Virginia this cycle, combined with a narrow loss by Nick Casey to Alex Mooney in Shelley Moore Capito's open seat, means that West Virginia Democrats will be shut out of the state's U.S. House delegation for the first time in over 90 years. The Republican sweep by two-term incumbent David McKinley in the 1st CD, Mooney in the 2nd, and Evan Jenkins over Rahall in the 3rd marks the first time the GOP has held all seats in the chamber from West Virginia since the Election of 1920. During the 67th Congress (1921-1923) all six seats from the state were controlled by the GOP. Since the Election of 1922, Democrats have won 76 percent of all U.S. House elections in the Mountain State - capturing 172 seats compared to 54 for the GOP.


Home Field Advantage?

When the 114th Congress convenes in a few days, Maine will be represented by one home-grown U.S. Representative: Waterville-born Republican Bruce Poliquin. With the departure of Millinocket-born Mike Michaud, who launched a failed gubernatorial bid, the Pine Tree State was poised to send a House delegation to D.C. without any Maine-born members for the first time since 1821. Three-term U.S. Rep. Chellie Pingree (born in Minnesota) coasted to reelection as expected, however Poliquin edged Kentucky-born Emily Cain by 5.3 points to keep the streak alive. Since 1876, a total of 208 of the 222 candidates elected to the nation's lower legislative chamber from the state have been born in Maine, or 94 percent.


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