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Terrorism, Immigration Key Issues to Iowa Republican Caucus Vote Choice

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A new ABC News / Washington Post poll finds terrorism and illegal immigration topping the list of most important issues determining vote choice among likely Iowa Republican caucus voters.

Fourteen percent cited terrorism and national security issues as the most important factor, while thirteen percent cited illegal immigration in the survey conducted November 14-18.

A November 12th Rasmussen poll of likely caucus voters in Iowa found Republicans nearly of one mind when it comes to illegal immigration - a subject which has been one of the most frequently visited in GOP (and Democratic) debates. In Iowa, 91 percent of Republicans caucus voters believe undocumented workers should not be allowed to receive driver's licenses, according to the Rasmussen poll. Eight-six percent believe police officers should be able to check a person's immigration status if pulled over for a traffic violation, and, if determined to be illegal, 76 percent believe they should then be deported.

Other top issues driving Iowa Republican vote choice include abortion (10 percent), the war in Iraq (10 percent), the economy and jobs (9 percent), health care (8 percent), morals and family values (7 percent), and taxes (6 percent).

The ABC News poll confirmed the results reported by other public polls this month—Mitt Romney (28 percent) holding a narrow lead over the surging Mike Huckabee (24 percent), with the rest of the field trailing in double digits. Fred Thompson (15 percent), Rudy Giuliani (13 percent) John McCain (6 percent), Ron Paul (6 percent), Tom Tancredo (2 percent), and Duncan Hunter (1 percent) complete the GOP field.

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Remains of the Data

Gender Equality in the US House: A State-by State Quarter-Century Report Card (1989-2014)

A study of 5,325 congressional elections finds the number of female U.S. Representatives has more than tripled over the last 25 years, but the rate at which women are elected to the chamber still varies greatly between the states.

Political Crumbs

Final Four Has Presidential Approval

By edging Michigan in the final seconds Sunday, the University of Kentucky guaranteed that one school in the Final Four this year would be located in a state that was not carried by President Barack Obama in 2012. (Connecticut, Florida, and Wisconsin had previously earned Final Four slots over the weekend). Across the 76 Final Fours since 1939, an average of 3.1 schools have been located in states won by the president's ticket during the previous election cycle. All four schools have come from states won by the president 29 times, with the most recent being the 2009 Final Four featuring Connecticut, Michigan State, North Carolina, and Villanova. On 30 occasions three Final Four schools have been located in states won by the president, with two schools 11 times and only one school six times (the most recent being 2012 with Kansas, Kentucky, Louisville, and Ohio State). There has never been a Men's NCAA Division I Final Four in which no schools were located in states carried by the president's ticket.


Three for the Road

A new Rasmussen Poll shows Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker in a dead heat with likely 2014 Democratic nominee Mary Burke. Walker is seeking to win his third consecutive election after prevailing in 2012's recall contest. Eight of his predecessors accomplished this feat: Republicans Lucius Fairchild (in 1869), Jeremiah Rusk (1886), Robert La Follette (1904), Emanuel Philipp (1918), John Blaine (1924), Walter Kohler (1954), Warren Knowles (1968), and Tommy Thompson (1994). Three others Badger State governors lost on their third campaign: Democrat George Peck (1894), Progressive Philip La Follette (1938), and Republican Julius Heil (1942). One died in office before having the opportunity to win a third contest (GOPer Walter Goodland in 1947) while another resigned beforehand (Democrat Patrick Lucey in 1977 to become Ambassador to Mexico). Overall Wisconsin gubernatorial incumbents have won 35 of 47 general election contests, or 74.5 percent of the time.


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