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A Thompson Leads GOP Pack in Wisconsin? (Fred, Not Tommy)

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In one of the few statewide Wisconsin presidential primary polls conducted this year, a new Badger Poll finds a Thompson atop the GOP field. Whether it is a case of false name recognition or whether he has built a surprising base of support in Wisconsin is unclear, but Fred Thompson (not Tommy—the state's former Governor and former 2008 Republican presidential candidate) leads the way with 30 percent of support among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents.

Thompson has seen his support nationwide decline by approximately 50 percent since he officially announced his candidacy in early September. For a while, Thompson was also demonstrating strong regional support in southern states like South Carolina and Georgia (where his numbers have also fallen by double digits).

The Badger poll, conducted November 27—December 5, found Rudy Giuliani in second place with 25 percent, followed by John McCain (15 percent), Mike Huckabee (8 percent), Mitt Romney (5 percent), and Ron Paul (4 percent).

Wisconsin holds its primary on February 19th—two weeks after Super Tuesday, so the number of candidates left standing at that time on both the Democratic and Republican sides will likely be just a handful of those hoping to finish strong in the Iowa Caucuses on January 3rd.

On the Democratic side, the Badger Poll numbers generally reflect the nation-wide surveys. Hillary Clinton received the support of 39 percent of democrats and independents leaning democratic, followed by Barack Obama at 26 percent, John Edwards at 15 percent, and Bill Richardson at 4 percent.

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Remains of the Data

Plurality-Winning Governors Elected At Century-Long High Water Mark

The rate of gubernatorial candidates elected without the support of a majority of voters is at its highest level since the 1910s.

Political Crumbs

Seeing Red

Congressman Nick Rahall's failed bid for a 20th term in West Virginia this cycle, combined with a narrow loss by Nick Casey to Alex Mooney in Shelley Moore Capito's open seat, means that West Virginia Democrats will be shut out of the state's U.S. House delegation for the first time in over 90 years. The Republican sweep by two-term incumbent David McKinley in the 1st CD, Mooney in the 2nd, and Evan Jenkins over Rahall in the 3rd marks the first time the GOP has held all seats in the chamber from West Virginia since the Election of 1920. During the 67th Congress (1921-1923) all six seats from the state were controlled by the GOP. Since the Election of 1922, Democrats have won 76 percent of all U.S. House elections in the Mountain State - capturing 172 seats compared to 54 for the GOP.


Home Field Advantage?

When the 114th Congress convenes in a few days, Maine will be represented by one home-grown U.S. Representative: Waterville-born Republican Bruce Poliquin. With the departure of Millinocket-born Mike Michaud, who launched a failed gubernatorial bid, the Pine Tree State was poised to send a House delegation to D.C. without any Maine-born members for the first time since 1821. Three-term U.S. Rep. Chellie Pingree (born in Minnesota) coasted to reelection as expected, however Poliquin edged Kentucky-born Emily Cain by 5.3 points to keep the streak alive. Since 1876, a total of 208 of the 222 candidates elected to the nation's lower legislative chamber from the state have been born in Maine, or 94 percent.


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