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Five Days Out: Romney Back On Top in New Iowa Poll

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With just five days remaining until the Iowa caucuses, Republican Mitt Romney is now back on top, according to a brand new poll released today by American Research Group (ARG). The ARG survey of 600 likely GOP caucus voters, conducted December 26-28, measures Romney's support at 32 percent, giving the former Massachusetts governor not only just his second lead in the last 14 public polls in Iowa, but also his largest percentage of support in the 16 ARG polls dating back one year ago.

Romney holds a 9-point advantage over Mike Huckabee (23 percent), followed by John McCain at 11 percent, Fred Thompson at 7 percent, Ron Paul and Rudy Giuliani at 6 percent, and Duncan Hunter and Alan Keyes at 2 percent. Eleven percent of likely GOP caucus attendees remain undecided.

Huckabee—the frontrunner in the Hawkeye State for the past month—has endured increased scrutiny by the other candidates, political pundits, the press, as well as 'attack' ads running in Iowa by the Romney campaign for the past few weeks. As a result, Huckabee's numbers seem to have peaked and are now on the decline.

Huckabee has also not had a good last few days in the media. In one statement on the situation in Pakistan, Huckabee's comments revealed he did not know martial law had been lifted a few weeks ago in that country; in another statement, the former Arkansas governor linked the Bhutto assassination with the need to keep a particularly watchful eye on Pakistanis entering the United States.

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Next post: The Polls Tell Us…It's A Toss-Up in Iowa

2 Comments


  • Romney has peaked once again it appears. I think this is wonderful I am sure the voters all realize he is not only a good man but is the most qualified of the candidates.

  • Fantastic News! Way to go Iowa. Mitt Romney has my vote for President of the United States of America!

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    Remains of the Data

    Plurality-Winning Governors Elected At Century-Long High Water Mark

    The rate of gubernatorial candidates elected without the support of a majority of voters is at its highest level since the 1910s.

    Political Crumbs

    Seeing Red

    Congressman Nick Rahall's failed bid for a 20th term in West Virginia this cycle, combined with a narrow loss by Nick Casey to Alex Mooney in Shelley Moore Capito's open seat, means that West Virginia Democrats will be shut out of the state's U.S. House delegation for the first time in over 90 years. The Republican sweep by two-term incumbent David McKinley in the 1st CD, Mooney in the 2nd, and Evan Jenkins over Rahall in the 3rd marks the first time the GOP has held all seats in the chamber from West Virginia since the Election of 1920. During the 67th Congress (1921-1923) all six seats from the state were controlled by the GOP. Since the Election of 1922, Democrats have won 76 percent of all U.S. House elections in the Mountain State - capturing 172 seats compared to 54 for the GOP.


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    When the 114th Congress convenes in a few days, Maine will be represented by one home-grown U.S. Representative: Waterville-born Republican Bruce Poliquin. With the departure of Millinocket-born Mike Michaud, who launched a failed gubernatorial bid, the Pine Tree State was poised to send a House delegation to D.C. without any Maine-born members for the first time since 1821. Three-term U.S. Rep. Chellie Pingree (born in Minnesota) coasted to reelection as expected, however Poliquin edged Kentucky-born Emily Cain by 5.3 points to keep the streak alive. Since 1876, a total of 208 of the 222 candidates elected to the nation's lower legislative chamber from the state have been born in Maine, or 94 percent.


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