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Live Blogging: The Iowa Caucuses

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Smart Politics will continue to monitor and update the official Iowa Caucus results tonight. These are raw vote numbers provided by reported precincts, not a scientific random sample:

7:41 p.m. (17% of precincts reporting)
Democrats: Edwards 34.0%, Clinton 31.9%, Obama 31.3%

7:45 p.m. (21% of precincts reporting)
Democrats: Edwards 33.4%, Clinton 32.2%, Obama 31.6%

7:52 p.m. (28% of precincts reporting)
Democrats: Edwards 32.5%, Obama 32.4, Clinton 32.2%

7:53 p.m. FOX News has just projected Mike Huckabee is the winner of the Republican caucses.

7:55 p.m. Mitt Romney, interviewed by FOX News' Chris Wallace congratulated Mike Huckabee on his performance today. Romney says he is happy if he gets the gold or silver medal today.

8:00 p.m. NBC News has just called the GOP race for Huckabee.

8:02 p.m. (39% of precincts reporting)
Democrats: Obama 33.3, Edwards 32.1%, Clinton 31.7%

8:05 p.m. (44% of precincts reporting)
Democrats: Obama 33.5, Edwards 32.0%, Clinton 31.7%

8:10 p.m. (50% of precincts reporting)
Democrats: Obama 33.9, Edwards 31.8%, Clinton 31.6%

8:15 p.m. (55% of precincts reporting)
Democrats: Obama 34.4, Edwards 31.6%, Clinton 31.2%

8:21 p.m. (66% of precincts reporting)
Democrats: Obama 35.0, Edwards 31.2%, Clinton 31.0%

8:27 p.m. (72% of precincts reporting)
Democrats: Obama 35.2, Edwards 31.1%, Clinton 30.8%

8:28 p.m. FOX News has just projected Barack Obama to win the Democratic caucuses.

8:29 p.m. NBC News has also now projected Obama the winner.

8:37 p.m. (83% of precincts reporting)
Democrats: Obama 36.6, Edwards 30.3%, Clinton 30.1%

8:42 p.m. (65% of precincts reporting)
Republicans: Huckabee 34%, Romney 25%, Thompson 14%, McCain 13%, Paul 10%, Giuliani 4%, Hunter 0%

8:45 p.m. No less than 3 commentators on MSNBC and Fox News tonight, including the esteemed Tom Brokaw, have compared Mike Huckabee's win tonight with "Pat Robertson's victory" in 1988. Reminder: Pat Robertson did NOT win Iowa in 1988. He came in second, but exceeded expectations by beating George H. W. Bush. "Expectations," it has been said, are what will drive headlines on tonight's events -- and perhaps they can also rewrite history.

Previous post: Final Iowa Polls Released Today
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Remains of the Data

Which States Own the Best Track Record in Backing Eventual GOP Presidential Nominees?

Nine states (each with primaries) have an unblemished record in voting for the eventual Republican nominee since 1976 - and not all host contests on the back end of the calendar.

Political Crumbs

Evolving?

When Scott Walker "punted" back in February after being asked if he was comfortable with the idea of evolution he added, "That's a question a politician shouldn't be involved in one way or the other." However, it may very well be a question that is asked at one of the upcoming GOP debates this year. In South Carolina during the first GOP debate in 2012, FOX News' Juan Williams asked Tim Pawlenty, "Do you equate the teaching of creationism with the teaching of evolution as the basis for what should be taught for our nation's schools?" Pawlenty replied, "There should be room in the curriculum for study of intelligent design" but that it was up to the local school districts if it should be in a science class or comparative theory class. At the fourth Republican debate held in California, Jon Huntsman addressed the GOP becoming "anti-science" thusly: "Listen, when you make comments that fly in the face of what 98 out of 100 climate scientists have said, when you call into question the science of evolution, all I'm saying is that, in order for the Republican Party to win, we can't run from science. We can't run from mainstream conservative philosophy."


73 Months and Counting

January's preliminary Bureau of Labor Statistics numbers show Minnesota's unemployment rate of 3.7 percent was once again lower than Wisconsin's 5.0 percent. That marks the 73rd consecutive month in which Minnesota has boasted a lower jobless rate than its neighbor to the east dating back to January 2009 including each of the last 67 months by at least one point. The Gopher State has now edged Wisconsin in the employment border battle for 204 of the last 216 months dating back to February 1997. Wisconsin only managed a lower unemployment rate than Minnesota for the 12 months of 2008 during this 18-year span.


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