Go to HHH home page.
Smart Politics
 


Live Blogging: The Iowa Caucuses

Bookmark and Share

Smart Politics will continue to monitor and update the official Iowa Caucus results tonight. These are raw vote numbers provided by reported precincts, not a scientific random sample:

7:41 p.m. (17% of precincts reporting)
Democrats: Edwards 34.0%, Clinton 31.9%, Obama 31.3%

7:45 p.m. (21% of precincts reporting)
Democrats: Edwards 33.4%, Clinton 32.2%, Obama 31.6%

7:52 p.m. (28% of precincts reporting)
Democrats: Edwards 32.5%, Obama 32.4, Clinton 32.2%

7:53 p.m. FOX News has just projected Mike Huckabee is the winner of the Republican caucses.

7:55 p.m. Mitt Romney, interviewed by FOX News' Chris Wallace congratulated Mike Huckabee on his performance today. Romney says he is happy if he gets the gold or silver medal today.

8:00 p.m. NBC News has just called the GOP race for Huckabee.

8:02 p.m. (39% of precincts reporting)
Democrats: Obama 33.3, Edwards 32.1%, Clinton 31.7%

8:05 p.m. (44% of precincts reporting)
Democrats: Obama 33.5, Edwards 32.0%, Clinton 31.7%

8:10 p.m. (50% of precincts reporting)
Democrats: Obama 33.9, Edwards 31.8%, Clinton 31.6%

8:15 p.m. (55% of precincts reporting)
Democrats: Obama 34.4, Edwards 31.6%, Clinton 31.2%

8:21 p.m. (66% of precincts reporting)
Democrats: Obama 35.0, Edwards 31.2%, Clinton 31.0%

8:27 p.m. (72% of precincts reporting)
Democrats: Obama 35.2, Edwards 31.1%, Clinton 30.8%

8:28 p.m. FOX News has just projected Barack Obama to win the Democratic caucuses.

8:29 p.m. NBC News has also now projected Obama the winner.

8:37 p.m. (83% of precincts reporting)
Democrats: Obama 36.6, Edwards 30.3%, Clinton 30.1%

8:42 p.m. (65% of precincts reporting)
Republicans: Huckabee 34%, Romney 25%, Thompson 14%, McCain 13%, Paul 10%, Giuliani 4%, Hunter 0%

8:45 p.m. No less than 3 commentators on MSNBC and Fox News tonight, including the esteemed Tom Brokaw, have compared Mike Huckabee's win tonight with "Pat Robertson's victory" in 1988. Reminder: Pat Robertson did NOT win Iowa in 1988. He came in second, but exceeded expectations by beating George H. W. Bush. "Expectations," it has been said, are what will drive headlines on tonight's events -- and perhaps they can also rewrite history.

Previous post: Final Iowa Polls Released Today
Next post: Dodd and Biden End Presidential Bids

Leave a comment


Remains of the Data

Kevin McCarthy Becomes Least Tenured Floor Leader in US House History

At less than four terms, McCarthy has served 423 fewer days in the chamber than any floor leader in U.S. House history and almost 10 years less than the average leader.

Political Crumbs

The Second Time Around

Former Republican Congressman Bob Beauprez became the seventh major party or second place gubernatorial candidate in Colorado to get a second chance at the office when he narrowly won his party's nomination last month. Two of the previous six candidates were successful. Democrat Alva Adams lost his first gubernatorial bid to Benjamin Eaton in 1884, but was victorious two years later against William Meyer. Democrat Charles Johnson placed third in 1894 behind Republican Albert McIntyre and Populist incumbent Governor David Waite but returned as the Fusion (Democrat/Populist) nominee in 1898 and defeated GOPer Henry Wolcott. Gubernatorial candidates who received a second chance but lost both general elections include Democrat Thomas Patterson (1888, 1914), Progressive Edward Costigan (1912, 1914), Republican Donald Brotzman (1954, 1956), and Republican David Strickland (1978, 1986).


How Are the Plurality Winners Doing?

Nearly 40 percent of plurality winners of U.S. Senate elections lose their seat in the next election cycle. Will that happen to any of the three such incumbents on the ballot in 2014? Recent polling suggests Democrats Al Franken of Minnesota, Mark Begich of Alaska, and Jeff Merkley of Oregon all currently have an advantage over their nominated/frontrunning GOP opponents, but each is flirting with plurality support once again. Franken led endorsed GOPer Mike McFadden 48 to 42 percent in a new SurveyUSA poll while the polling group showed Merkley with a 50 to 32 percent advantage over Monica Wehby. Begich led each of the three major GOP candidates in last month's PPP survey: 42 to 37 percent over Daniel Sullivan, 41 to 33 percent over Mead Treadwell, and 43 to 27 percent over Joe Miller.


more POLITICAL CRUMBS

Humphrey School Sites
CSPG
Humphrey New Media Hub

Issues />

<div id=
Abortion
Afghanistan
Budget and taxes
Campaign finances
Crime and punishment
Economy and jobs
Education
Energy
Environment
Foreign affairs
Gender
Health
Housing
Ideology
Immigration
Iraq
Media
Military
Partisanship
Race and ethnicity
Reapportionment
Redistricting
Religion
Sexuality
Sports
Terrorism
Third parties
Transportation
Voting