Go to HHH home page.
Smart Politics
 


Live Blogging: The Iowa Caucuses

Bookmark and Share

Smart Politics will continue to monitor and update the official Iowa Caucus results tonight. These are raw vote numbers provided by reported precincts, not a scientific random sample:

7:41 p.m. (17% of precincts reporting)
Democrats: Edwards 34.0%, Clinton 31.9%, Obama 31.3%

7:45 p.m. (21% of precincts reporting)
Democrats: Edwards 33.4%, Clinton 32.2%, Obama 31.6%

7:52 p.m. (28% of precincts reporting)
Democrats: Edwards 32.5%, Obama 32.4, Clinton 32.2%

7:53 p.m. FOX News has just projected Mike Huckabee is the winner of the Republican caucses.

7:55 p.m. Mitt Romney, interviewed by FOX News' Chris Wallace congratulated Mike Huckabee on his performance today. Romney says he is happy if he gets the gold or silver medal today.

8:00 p.m. NBC News has just called the GOP race for Huckabee.

8:02 p.m. (39% of precincts reporting)
Democrats: Obama 33.3, Edwards 32.1%, Clinton 31.7%

8:05 p.m. (44% of precincts reporting)
Democrats: Obama 33.5, Edwards 32.0%, Clinton 31.7%

8:10 p.m. (50% of precincts reporting)
Democrats: Obama 33.9, Edwards 31.8%, Clinton 31.6%

8:15 p.m. (55% of precincts reporting)
Democrats: Obama 34.4, Edwards 31.6%, Clinton 31.2%

8:21 p.m. (66% of precincts reporting)
Democrats: Obama 35.0, Edwards 31.2%, Clinton 31.0%

8:27 p.m. (72% of precincts reporting)
Democrats: Obama 35.2, Edwards 31.1%, Clinton 30.8%

8:28 p.m. FOX News has just projected Barack Obama to win the Democratic caucuses.

8:29 p.m. NBC News has also now projected Obama the winner.

8:37 p.m. (83% of precincts reporting)
Democrats: Obama 36.6, Edwards 30.3%, Clinton 30.1%

8:42 p.m. (65% of precincts reporting)
Republicans: Huckabee 34%, Romney 25%, Thompson 14%, McCain 13%, Paul 10%, Giuliani 4%, Hunter 0%

8:45 p.m. No less than 3 commentators on MSNBC and Fox News tonight, including the esteemed Tom Brokaw, have compared Mike Huckabee's win tonight with "Pat Robertson's victory" in 1988. Reminder: Pat Robertson did NOT win Iowa in 1988. He came in second, but exceeded expectations by beating George H. W. Bush. "Expectations," it has been said, are what will drive headlines on tonight's events -- and perhaps they can also rewrite history.

Previous post: Final Iowa Polls Released Today
Next post: Dodd and Biden End Presidential Bids

Leave a comment


Remains of the Data

Plurality-Winning Governors Elected At Century-Long High Water Mark

The rate of gubernatorial candidates elected without the support of a majority of voters is at its highest level since the 1910s.

Political Crumbs

Seeing Red

Congressman Nick Rahall's failed bid for a 20th term in West Virginia this cycle, combined with a narrow loss by Nick Casey to Alex Mooney in Shelley Moore Capito's open seat, means that West Virginia Democrats will be shut out of the state's U.S. House delegation for the first time in over 90 years. The Republican sweep by two-term incumbent David McKinley in the 1st CD, Mooney in the 2nd, and Evan Jenkins over Rahall in the 3rd marks the first time the GOP has held all seats in the chamber from West Virginia since the Election of 1920. During the 67th Congress (1921-1923) all six seats from the state were controlled by the GOP. Since the Election of 1922, Democrats have won 76 percent of all U.S. House elections in the Mountain State - capturing 172 seats compared to 54 for the GOP.


Home Field Advantage?

When the 114th Congress convenes in a few days, Maine will be represented by one home-grown U.S. Representative: Waterville-born Republican Bruce Poliquin. With the departure of Millinocket-born Mike Michaud, who launched a failed gubernatorial bid, the Pine Tree State was poised to send a House delegation to D.C. without any Maine-born members for the first time since 1821. Three-term U.S. Rep. Chellie Pingree (born in Minnesota) coasted to reelection as expected, however Poliquin edged Kentucky-born Emily Cain by 5.3 points to keep the streak alive. Since 1876, a total of 208 of the 222 candidates elected to the nation's lower legislative chamber from the state have been born in Maine, or 94 percent.


more POLITICAL CRUMBS

Humphrey School Sites
CSPG
Humphrey New Media Hub

Issues />

<div id=
Abortion
Afghanistan
Budget and taxes
Campaign finances
Crime and punishment
Economy and jobs
Education
Energy
Environment
Foreign affairs
Gender
Health
Housing
Ideology
Immigration
Iraq
Media
Military
Partisanship
Race and ethnicity
Reapportionment
Redistricting
Religion
Sexuality
Sports
Terrorism
Third parties
Transportation
Voting