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Live Blogging: The New Hampshire Primary

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Smart Politics will continue to monitor and update the official New Hampshire primary results tonight. These are raw vote numbers provided by reported precincts, not a scientific random sample:

7:02 p.m.
Democrats (11 percent reporting)
Clinton = 38%
Obama = 36%
Edwards = 17%
Richardson = 4%
Kucinich = 2%

Republicans (11 percent reporting)
McCain = 37%
Romney = 28%
Huckabee = 12%
Giuliani = 9%
Paul = 9%
Thompson = 1%
Hunter = 1%

7:11 p.m. Fox News has just projected John McCain the winner of the GOP primary.
7:12 p.m. MSNBC calls the GOP race for McCain.
7:13 p.m. And CNN now just called the race for McCain.

7:14 p.m.
Democrats (12 percent reporting)
Clinton = 38%
Obama = 36%
Edwards = 17%
Richardson = 4%
Kucinich = 2%

Republicans (11 percent reporting)
McCain = 37%
Romney = 28%
Huckabee = 12%
Giuliani = 9%
Paul = 8%
Thompson = 1%
Hunter = 1%

7:21 p.m. In a classic contradictory manner, MSNBC tonight is largely ignoring Clinton's early lead against Obama. Appropriate on the surface perhaps, given only 12 percent of the vote is in. However, at this same early stage during their coverage of the Iowa caucuses, when Obama led Clinton with just a third of the votes cast, Chris Matthews and the gang were already spelling doom and gloom for Clinton, and heralding Obama's brilliant message and campaign. The reason for this is during most of its multi-hour pre-results coverage, MSNBC had propped Obama up and ripped into the failing Clinton campaign, and these early results do not (yet) fit that paradigm.

7:27 p.m.
Democrats (13 percent reporting)
Clinton = 40%
Obama = 35%
Edwards = 17%
Richardson = 4%
Kucinich = 2%

Republicans (13 percent reporting)
McCain = 37%
Romney = 29%
Huckabee = 12%
Giuliani = 9%
Paul = 8%
Thompson = 1%
Hunter = 1%

7:29 p.m. Even though the number of delegates Wyoming Republicans will send to the GOP convention from its caucuses is the same number as from the New Hampshire primary (12), Mitt Romney's victory there has scarcely been mentioned. While that race (in which Romney won 8 of 12 delegates) was obviously not nearly as contested, in the end, this race is all about delegate counts. Romney will still be the leader on the GOP side after tonight, though this will likely not be mentioned in the media.

7:34 p.m.
Democrats (15 percent reporting)
Clinton = 40%
Obama = 36%
Edwards = 17%
Richardson = 4%
Kucinich = 2%

Republicans (14 percent reporting)
McCain = 37%
Romney = 28%
Huckabee = 12%
Giuliani = 9%
Paul = 8%
Thompson = 1%
Hunter = 1%

7:46 p.m.
Democrats (21 percent reporting)
Clinton = 40%
Obama = 36%
Edwards = 17%
Richardson = 5%
Kucinich = 2%

Republicans (19 percent reporting)
McCain = 37%
Romney = 28%
Huckabee = 12%
Giuliani = 9%
Paul = 9%
Thompson = 1%
Hunter = 1%

7:59 p.m.
Democrats (25 percent reporting)
Clinton = 40%
Obama = 35%
Edwards = 17%
Richardson = 4%
Kucinich = 3%

Republicans (24 percent reporting)
McCain = 37%
Romney = 29%
Huckabee = 12%
Giuliani = 9%
Paul = 8%
Thompson = 1%
Hunter = 1%

8:03 p.m. Rudy Giuliani, the recently invisible national GOP frontrunner who is fighting for fourth place with Ron Paul in New Hampshire, did receive a bit of good news tonight. A new Insider Advantage poll of Floridians gives Giuliani a 5 point lead - 24 percent to 19 percent over both John McCain and Mike Huckabee. Mitt Romney is fourth at 13 percent, followed by Fred Thompson at 8 percent and Ron Paul at 5 percent.

9:50 p.m. (A technical error has just erased the last 90 minutes of Smart Politics live blogging - now disappeared from our site).

10:00 p.m.
Democrats (76 percent reporting)
Clinton = 39%
Obama = 37%
Edwards = 17%
Richardson = 5%
Kucinich = 1%

Republicans (73 percent reporting)
McCain = 37%
Romney = 32%
Huckabee = 11%
Giuliani = 9%
Paul = 8%
Thompson = 1%
Hunter = 0%

10:05 p.m. Hillary Clinton begins her victory speech. Regarding the GOP speeches earlier this evening, Mitt Romney's speech, in which he congratulated John McCain, was one of his best - Romney was lively walking across the stage with a hand-held microphone. McCain, though he had a raucous crowd in front of him, spoke awkardly, reading his speech word-by-word off notes. McCain frequently stumbled and would have taken all the life out of the room were his gang of supporters not so enthusiastic. The speeches of Romney and Obama had an appropriate level of energy somewhere between McCain tonight and Howard Dean in Iowa in 2004.

10:16 p.m.
Democrats (80 percent reporting)
Clinton = 39%
Obama = 37%
Edwards = 17%
Richardson = 5%
Kucinich = 1%

Republicans (78 percent reporting)
McCain = 37%
Romney = 32%
Huckabee = 11%
Giuliani = 9%
Paul = 8%
Thompson = 1%
Hunter = 0%

10:26 p.m. CNN is projecting the Democratic delegate count for tonight's primary (22 delegates at stake): Clinton = 8, Obama = 8, Edwards = 4.

10:35 p.m. CNN projects the Republican delegate count in New Hampshire (12 delegates) to be: McCain = 7, Romney = 4, Huckabee = 1.

10:43 p.m.
Democrats (86 percent reporting)
Clinton = 39%
Obama = 37%
Edwards = 17%
Richardson = 5%
Kucinich = 1%

Republicans (86 percent reporting)
McCain = 37%
Romney = 32%
Huckabee = 11%
Giuliani = 9%
Paul = 8%
Thompson = 1%
Hunter = 0%

Previous post: Smart Politics Live Blogging During NH Returns
Next post: Obama vs. Romney and NH Primary Night Coverage


Remains of the Data

No Free Passes: States With 2 Major Party Candidates in Every US House Race

Indiana has now placed candidates from both major parties on the ballot in a nation-best 189 consecutive U.S. House races, with New Hampshire, Minnesota, Idaho, and Montana also north of 100 in a row.

Political Crumbs

Gubernatorial Highs and Lows

Two sitting governors currently hold the record for the highest gubernatorial vote ever received in their respective states by a non-incumbent: Republican Matt Mead of Wyoming (65.7 percent in 2010) and outgoing GOPer Dave Heineman of Nebraska (73.4 percent in 2006). Republican Gary Herbert of Utah had not previously won a gubernatorial contest when he notched a state record 64.1 percent for his first victory in 2010, but was an incumbent at the time after ascending to the position in 2009 after the early departure of Jon Huntsman. Meanwhile, two sitting governors hold the record in their states for the lowest mark ever recorded by a winning gubernatorial candidate (incumbent or otherwise): independent-turned-Democrat Lincoln Chafee of Rhode Island (36.1 percent in 2010) and Democrat Terry McAuliffe of Virginia (47.8 percent in 2013).


An Idaho Six Pack

Two-term Idaho Republican Governor Butch Otter only polled at 39 percent in a recent PPP survey of the state's 2014 race - just four points ahead of Democratic businessman A.J. Balukoff. Otter's low numbers reflect his own struggles as a candidate (witness his weak primary win against State Senator Russ Fulcher) combined with the opportunity for disgruntled Idahoans to cast their votes for one of four third party and independent candidates, who collectively received the support of 12 percent of likely voters: Libertarian John Bujak, the Constitution Party's Steve Pankey, and independents Jill Humble and Pro-Life (aka Marvin Richardson). The six candidate options in a gubernatorial race sets an all-time record in the Gem State across the 46 elections conducted since statehood. The previous high water mark of five candidates was reached in seven previous cycles: 1902, 1904, 1908, 1912, 1914, 1966, and 2010.


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