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Live Blogging: The New Hampshire Primary

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Smart Politics will continue to monitor and update the official New Hampshire primary results tonight. These are raw vote numbers provided by reported precincts, not a scientific random sample:

7:02 p.m.
Democrats (11 percent reporting)
Clinton = 38%
Obama = 36%
Edwards = 17%
Richardson = 4%
Kucinich = 2%

Republicans (11 percent reporting)
McCain = 37%
Romney = 28%
Huckabee = 12%
Giuliani = 9%
Paul = 9%
Thompson = 1%
Hunter = 1%

7:11 p.m. Fox News has just projected John McCain the winner of the GOP primary.
7:12 p.m. MSNBC calls the GOP race for McCain.
7:13 p.m. And CNN now just called the race for McCain.

7:14 p.m.
Democrats (12 percent reporting)
Clinton = 38%
Obama = 36%
Edwards = 17%
Richardson = 4%
Kucinich = 2%

Republicans (11 percent reporting)
McCain = 37%
Romney = 28%
Huckabee = 12%
Giuliani = 9%
Paul = 8%
Thompson = 1%
Hunter = 1%

7:21 p.m. In a classic contradictory manner, MSNBC tonight is largely ignoring Clinton's early lead against Obama. Appropriate on the surface perhaps, given only 12 percent of the vote is in. However, at this same early stage during their coverage of the Iowa caucuses, when Obama led Clinton with just a third of the votes cast, Chris Matthews and the gang were already spelling doom and gloom for Clinton, and heralding Obama's brilliant message and campaign. The reason for this is during most of its multi-hour pre-results coverage, MSNBC had propped Obama up and ripped into the failing Clinton campaign, and these early results do not (yet) fit that paradigm.

7:27 p.m.
Democrats (13 percent reporting)
Clinton = 40%
Obama = 35%
Edwards = 17%
Richardson = 4%
Kucinich = 2%

Republicans (13 percent reporting)
McCain = 37%
Romney = 29%
Huckabee = 12%
Giuliani = 9%
Paul = 8%
Thompson = 1%
Hunter = 1%

7:29 p.m. Even though the number of delegates Wyoming Republicans will send to the GOP convention from its caucuses is the same number as from the New Hampshire primary (12), Mitt Romney's victory there has scarcely been mentioned. While that race (in which Romney won 8 of 12 delegates) was obviously not nearly as contested, in the end, this race is all about delegate counts. Romney will still be the leader on the GOP side after tonight, though this will likely not be mentioned in the media.

7:34 p.m.
Democrats (15 percent reporting)
Clinton = 40%
Obama = 36%
Edwards = 17%
Richardson = 4%
Kucinich = 2%

Republicans (14 percent reporting)
McCain = 37%
Romney = 28%
Huckabee = 12%
Giuliani = 9%
Paul = 8%
Thompson = 1%
Hunter = 1%

7:46 p.m.
Democrats (21 percent reporting)
Clinton = 40%
Obama = 36%
Edwards = 17%
Richardson = 5%
Kucinich = 2%

Republicans (19 percent reporting)
McCain = 37%
Romney = 28%
Huckabee = 12%
Giuliani = 9%
Paul = 9%
Thompson = 1%
Hunter = 1%

7:59 p.m.
Democrats (25 percent reporting)
Clinton = 40%
Obama = 35%
Edwards = 17%
Richardson = 4%
Kucinich = 3%

Republicans (24 percent reporting)
McCain = 37%
Romney = 29%
Huckabee = 12%
Giuliani = 9%
Paul = 8%
Thompson = 1%
Hunter = 1%

8:03 p.m. Rudy Giuliani, the recently invisible national GOP frontrunner who is fighting for fourth place with Ron Paul in New Hampshire, did receive a bit of good news tonight. A new Insider Advantage poll of Floridians gives Giuliani a 5 point lead - 24 percent to 19 percent over both John McCain and Mike Huckabee. Mitt Romney is fourth at 13 percent, followed by Fred Thompson at 8 percent and Ron Paul at 5 percent.

9:50 p.m. (A technical error has just erased the last 90 minutes of Smart Politics live blogging - now disappeared from our site).

10:00 p.m.
Democrats (76 percent reporting)
Clinton = 39%
Obama = 37%
Edwards = 17%
Richardson = 5%
Kucinich = 1%

Republicans (73 percent reporting)
McCain = 37%
Romney = 32%
Huckabee = 11%
Giuliani = 9%
Paul = 8%
Thompson = 1%
Hunter = 0%

10:05 p.m. Hillary Clinton begins her victory speech. Regarding the GOP speeches earlier this evening, Mitt Romney's speech, in which he congratulated John McCain, was one of his best - Romney was lively walking across the stage with a hand-held microphone. McCain, though he had a raucous crowd in front of him, spoke awkardly, reading his speech word-by-word off notes. McCain frequently stumbled and would have taken all the life out of the room were his gang of supporters not so enthusiastic. The speeches of Romney and Obama had an appropriate level of energy somewhere between McCain tonight and Howard Dean in Iowa in 2004.

10:16 p.m.
Democrats (80 percent reporting)
Clinton = 39%
Obama = 37%
Edwards = 17%
Richardson = 5%
Kucinich = 1%

Republicans (78 percent reporting)
McCain = 37%
Romney = 32%
Huckabee = 11%
Giuliani = 9%
Paul = 8%
Thompson = 1%
Hunter = 0%

10:26 p.m. CNN is projecting the Democratic delegate count for tonight's primary (22 delegates at stake): Clinton = 8, Obama = 8, Edwards = 4.

10:35 p.m. CNN projects the Republican delegate count in New Hampshire (12 delegates) to be: McCain = 7, Romney = 4, Huckabee = 1.

10:43 p.m.
Democrats (86 percent reporting)
Clinton = 39%
Obama = 37%
Edwards = 17%
Richardson = 5%
Kucinich = 1%

Republicans (86 percent reporting)
McCain = 37%
Romney = 32%
Huckabee = 11%
Giuliani = 9%
Paul = 8%
Thompson = 1%
Hunter = 0%

Previous post: Smart Politics Live Blogging During NH Returns
Next post: Obama vs. Romney and NH Primary Night Coverage


Remains of the Data

Plurality-Winning Governors Elected At Century-Long High Water Mark

The rate of gubernatorial candidates elected without the support of a majority of voters is at its highest level since the 1910s.

Political Crumbs

Seeing Red

Congressman Nick Rahall's failed bid for a 20th term in West Virginia this cycle, combined with a narrow loss by Nick Casey to Alex Mooney in Shelley Moore Capito's open seat, means that West Virginia Democrats will be shut out of the state's U.S. House delegation for the first time in over 90 years. The Republican sweep by two-term incumbent David McKinley in the 1st CD, Mooney in the 2nd, and Evan Jenkins over Rahall in the 3rd marks the first time the GOP has held all seats in the chamber from West Virginia since the Election of 1920. During the 67th Congress (1921-1923) all six seats from the state were controlled by the GOP. Since the Election of 1922, Democrats have won 76 percent of all U.S. House elections in the Mountain State - capturing 172 seats compared to 54 for the GOP.


Home Field Advantage?

When the 114th Congress convenes in a few days, Maine will be represented by one home-grown U.S. Representative: Waterville-born Republican Bruce Poliquin. With the departure of Millinocket-born Mike Michaud, who launched a failed gubernatorial bid, the Pine Tree State was poised to send a House delegation to D.C. without any Maine-born members for the first time since 1821. Three-term U.S. Rep. Chellie Pingree (born in Minnesota) coasted to reelection as expected, however Poliquin edged Kentucky-born Emily Cain by 5.3 points to keep the streak alive. Since 1876, a total of 208 of the 222 candidates elected to the nation's lower legislative chamber from the state have been born in Maine, or 94 percent.


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