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McCain Only GOP-er to Defeat Dems in Minnesota

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A brand new poll of registered Minnesota voters by SurveyUSA finds John McCain is the only Republican candidate who could beat Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, if the presidential election were held today.

Smart Politics has discussed McCain's viability against the Democrats across key battleground states throughout the past year, most recently in mid-December, when the Arizona Senator was still polling behind Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, and Mitt Romney (and sometimes Fred Thompson) in all national surveys. John Edwards has consistently been the most viable Democratic candidate against McCain, but his longshot odds to win the Democratic primary has prompted most pollsters to leave him off their matchup poll questions.

In Minnesota, McCain leads Hillary Clinton 49 to 45 percent and Barack Obama 49 to 42 percent in a survey of 550 registered voters (MoE +/- 4.3).

According to SurveyUSA Clinton and Obama would each easily defeat the other three primary Republican contenders if the election were held today:

Clinton 51—Giuliani 40
Clinton 51—Romney 40
Clinton 50—Huckabee 42

Obama 52—Giuliani 36
Obama 55—Romney 36
Obama 49—Huckabee 42

Previous post: Live Blog: State of the GOP and Conservatism in Minnesota
Next post: Smart Politics Study: Giuliani Descent Linked Equally to Huckabee, Romney, and McCain

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Remains of the Data

Who Has Won the Most Votes in US Senate Electoral History?

Only three of the Top 10 and nine of the Top 50 vote-getters of all time are currently serving in the chamber.

Political Crumbs

Six for Thirteen

Collin Peterson remarked last month that he is leaning to run for reelection to Minnesota's 7th Congressional District in 2016. If he does and is victorious, he will creep even closer to the top of the list of the longest-serving U.S. Representatives in Minnesota history. The DFL congressman is only the sixth Minnesotan to win at least 13 terms to the U.S. House of the 135 elected to the chamber in state history. Peterson trails 18-term DFLer Jim Oberstar (1975-2011), 16-term Republicans Harold Knutson (1917-1949) and August Andresen (1925-1933; 1935-1958), and 14-term DFLers Martin Sabo (1979-2007) and John Blatnik (1947-1974). Andresen died in office, Sabo and Blatnik retired, and Knutson and Oberstar were defeated at the ballot box in 1948 and 2010 respectively. At 70 years, 7 months, 11 days through Monday, Peterson is currently the ninth oldest Gopher State U.S. Representative in history. DFLer Rick Nolan of the 8th CD is the seventh oldest at 71 years, 1 month, 23 days.


Seeing Red

Congressman Nick Rahall's failed bid for a 20th term in West Virginia this cycle, combined with a narrow loss by Nick Casey to Alex Mooney in Shelley Moore Capito's open seat, means that West Virginia Democrats will be shut out of the state's U.S. House delegation for the first time in over 90 years. The Republican sweep by two-term incumbent David McKinley in the 1st CD, Mooney in the 2nd, and Evan Jenkins over Rahall in the 3rd marks the first time the GOP has held all seats in the chamber from West Virginia since the Election of 1920. During the 67th Congress (1921-1923) all six seats from the state were controlled by the GOP. Since the Election of 1922, Democrats have won 76 percent of all U.S. House elections in the Mountain State - capturing 172 seats compared to 54 for the GOP.


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