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February 2008


Obama Yet To Capture Hearts of Voters in Ohio

Barack Obama has been able to win, and win convincingly, in all 10 contests since Super Tuesday nearly a month ago. When Hillary Clinton's campaign unofficially set up her firewall in Ohio and Texas shortly after her losses in Louisiana, Nebraska, and Washington on February 9th, polls had her out...

MN Legislature Overrides Pawlenty's Transportation Bill Veto

In a fascinating development on Monday, the Minnesota House voted to override Republican Governor Tim Pawlenty's transportation bill veto. The DFL picked up 2 votes since the bill's passage, and thus had one vote to spare in a 91-41 vote on Monday. The Senate voted to override Pawlenty's veto 47-20...

The Bill Stops Here: Governor Pawlenty's Veto Pen

Governor Tim Pawlenty's veto on February 22nd of a controversial transportation bill has set the stage for the DFL-controlled legislature to attempt an override. Governor Pawlenty has deployed the veto more often (37 times since 2003) than all but 2 of his predecessors over the past 70 years. Governors Arne...

Getting to 90: House Override of Pawlenty's Transportation Bill Veto Unlikely

Governor Tim Pawlenty's veto last Friday of a controversial transportation bill raises the prospect of a veto-override attempt by a DFL-controlled legislature that passed the bills by wide margins on February 21st. The $6.6 billion dollar bill seeks to fund the state's roads, bridges, and transit by implementing a gasoline...

Poll Roundup: Dems vs. McCain

As Barack Obama continues to cruise through the post-Super Tuesday Democratic primaries and caucuses, the Illinois Senator has recently made claims during his stump speeches that he is more electable than Hillary Clinton against presumptive GOP nominee John McCain. Recent head-to-head state polling from across the nation conducted during the...

Obama Wins Hawaii Caucuses

Barack Obama won his 10th straight Democratic contest late Tuesday night when the Illinois junior Senator won the Hawaii caucuses. Obama has now won 23 states plus the District of Columbia and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Hillary Clinton has won just 11 states, plus Michigan, Florida, and American Samoa. Obama...

Live Blog: Washington Primary

10:00 p.m. The Republican Party held its primary in Washington State tonight. The GOP also held caucuses on February 9th, in a contest narrowly won by John McCain over Mike Huckabee. 10:10 p.m. All 3 cable networks have called the GOP race for John McCain. The non-binding primary on the...

Live Blog: Wisconsin Primary

7:42 p.m. Polls close in Wisconsin's open primary at 8:00 p.m. CST. Smart Politics live blogging of results with analysis will commence at that time. 8:00 p.m. John McCain is the projected winner of the GOP primary in Wisconsin, according to CNN, NBC News, and Fox News. MSNBC characterized the...

Rasmussen Poll: MN U.S. Senate Race A Dead Heat

A new Rasmussen poll of 500 likely voters conducted February 16th finds 1-term Republican incumbent Senator Norm Coleman in a dead heat with both Al Franken and Mike Ciresi in the Gopher State. Franken leads Coleman 49 to 46 percent, within the poll's margin of error. This is the first...

Clinton Trails, Obama Sails Against McCain in IA, MN

Echoing similar results reported yesterday in Wisconsin, Barack Obama currently has a strong advantage when matched up against John McCain in the Upper Midwestern states of Iowa and Minnesota, especially when compared to Hillary Clinton, according to polls released today by Rasmussen and SurveyUSA. In Minnesota, a Rasmussen poll of...

Obama Fares 17 Points Better Than Clinton in Wisconsin vs. McCain

A new SurveyUSA poll on the eve of the Wisconsin primary shows Democrat Barack Obama to be currently a much more competitive opponent of Republican John McCain than is Hillary Clinton in the Badger State. In a head-to-head matchup poll of 537 registered voters, Obama leads McCain 52 to 42...

New ARG Poll Show Tight Race for Dems and GOP in Wisconsin

These days Republican candidate Mike Huckabee is asked more about when he will quit the GOP race and why he hasn't already ended his presidential bid more than any questions about policy. Ignoring frequent calls for his exit, Huckabee has campaigned on in the Badger State this past week. The...

Second Poll Finds Obama, McCain On Top in WI

According to a WISC-TV / Research 2000 poll conducted of 400 likely Democratic primary voters February 13-14, Barack Obama has a 47 to 42 percent lead over Hillary Clinton with 11 percent undecided. Obama also polled ahead of Clinton by a narrow 4-point margin in an earlier survey released this...

Clinton Victorious...In New Mexico Caucus

Hillary Clinton won her 12th state of Election 2008 today - when the results of the New Mexico Caucus from Super Tuesday were finalized some 9 days later. The victory gave Clinton 14 of the 26 delegates tied to the caucus results - with Obama winning the other 12 delegates....

MN US Senate: Coleman & Franken Tied in New Poll

A new SurveyUSA poll of 650 registered voters in Minnesota conducted February 10-11 finds 1-term Republican U.S. Senator Norm Coleman in a dead heat with DFL candidate Al Franken. Coleman, who has remained fairly popular with Minnesotans despite a statewide turn to the left in recent years, has a statistically...

Poll: Obama Up 4 In Wisconsin

While news spread through the media yesterday that Hillary Clinton's campaign had virtually "given up" on winning the Badger State, a new Rasmussen poll conducted on February 13th of 855 likely voters finds Barack Obama leading Clinton by a 47 to 43 percent margin. Rasmussen also reports a fairly large...

Obama's Bandwagon Rides Through Wisconsin

On February 19th, Wisconsin voters will have the somewhat rare opportunity to weigh in on a presidential nomination process while the outcome is at least somewhat in doubt. As Smart Politics wrote on Monday, Wisconsinites will move in greater numbers to the side of Barack Obama, owing to his sweep...

Live Blog: Maryland Primary

5:41 p.m. Polls close at 7 p.m. CST for the Maryland primary. On the Democratic side, 70 of the state's 99 delegates to the Democratic National Convention are tied to today's primary. For the Republicans, 34 of Maryland's 37 delegates to the Republican National Convention are tied to today's primary....

Live Blog: Virignia Primary

5:38 p.m. Polls close at 6 p.m. CST for the Virginia primary. On the Democratic side, 83 of the state's 101 delegates to the DNC are tied to today's primary. For the Republicans, 60 of Virginia's 63 delegates to the GOP convention are tied to today's primary. 6:00 p.m. NBC...

Live Blog: Washington D.C. Primary

5:35 p.m. Polls close at 7 p.m. CST for the District of Columbia primary. On the Democratic side, 15 of D.C.'s 38 delegates to the DNC are tied to today's primary. For the Republicans, 16 of D.C.'s 19 delegates to the GOP convention are tied to today's primary. 7:00 p.m....

Clinton Braces For Another Obama Sweep

Despite still leading in most national polls, Hillary Clinton is set to get swept by Barack Obama in another round of primary contests tomorrow in Virginia, Maryland, and the District of Columbia. To no great surprise at Smart Politics, Obama also swept Clinton this weekend, victorious in the states of...

Live Blog: The Maine Caucuses

3:53 p.m. Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama face off in the Maine caucuses this afternoon, the 32nd state contest (plus 2 U.S. territories) to be held by Democrats so far this election season. Mitt Romney won the Republican caucuses in Maine a week ago. The Democratic delegate count is basically...

Obama Wins Virgin Islands

The Associated Press is reporting Barack Obama has won the contest in the Virgin Islands today. Three delegates are tied to the Democratic vote there. That makes a clean sweep for Obama today: 4 for 4....

Live Blog: Louisiana Primary

8:30 p.m. Republican Primary (1% reporting) McCain = 39% Huckabee = 29% Romney = 22% Paul = 5% 8:40 p.m. Republican Primary (4% reporting) McCain = 39% Huckabee = 37% Romney = 15% Paul = 5% 8:50 p.m. Democratic Primary (11% reporting) Obama = 52% Clinton = 38% Republican Primary...

Live Blog: Washington State GOP Caucus

8:22 p.m. Eighteen of Washington's 40 GOP convention delegates are awarded from today's caucuses, with 19 delegates tied to the state's primary on February 19th. 8:25 p.m. Republican Caucus (16% reporting) McCain = 27% Huckabee = 26% Paul = 21% Romney = 17% Uncommitted = 9% 9:18 p.m. Republican Caucus...

Obama Wins Washington State Caucuses

8:06 p.m. Barack Obama's dominance over Hillary Clinton in caucus states continues with his second victory of the day, this time in the state of Washington. CNN, NBC, and Fox News have all projected Obama the winner. Democratic Caucuses (57% reporting) Obama = 67% Clinton = 32% This is Obama's...

Obama Wins Nebraska Caucuses

7:15 p.m. NBC News projects that Barack Obama has won the Nebraska caucuses, the 17th state the Illinois Senator has carried thus far in the election. Nebraska Democratic Caucus (73% reporting) Obama = 69% Clinton = 31% Obama has racked up several large victory margins over Clinton in caucus states,...

No Surpise in Kansas GOP Caucuses: Huckabee Rolls

John McCain has failed in yet another caucus state - this time the Midwestern state of Kansas. Mitt Romney had dominated the caucuses before dropping out of the race on Thursday, winning them all (Alaska, Colorado, Maine, Minnesota, Montana, North Dakota, and Wyoming) except for Iowa and West Virginia. Due...

ARG Poll: Clinton Leads Obama in Wisconsin

As contests unfold in small and medium-sized states during the next month, there do not seem to be many opportunities for Hillary Clinton to halt the momentum enjoyed by Barack Obama in recent weeks. Of course, polls are not infallible, as we learn each election season, but both polls and...

Super Tuesday Media Coverage: It's All About California, Part 1 (The Democrats)

The overwhelming positive media coverage that Hillary Clinton received during Tuesday night's primary coverage was a bit peculiar—especially considering what each candidate was expected to do prior to Super Tuesday's elections. In light of the full spectrum of election results from February 5th, the only possible explanation for this curiously...

Super Tuesday Live Blog Postgame

11:22 p.m. On the Republican side, nearly all networks, especially Fox News and MSNBC, are writing the political obituary for Mitt Romney's 2008 campaign, echoing Mike Huckabee's speech tonight that the GOP race is a "two-person race" with Huckabee in it. NBC News' Tom Brokaw began to contemplate whether Romney...

Alabama Primary Live Blog

6:08 p.m. Last polls close in Alabama at 7:00 p.m. CST. The Democrats will allocate 52 of its 60 convention delegates from the primary today; 34 delegates are allocated based on the vote in each of the state's seven Congressional districts, while 18 delegates are based on the statewide vote....

Alaska Caucus Live Blog

6:03 p.m. Caucuses will end in Alaska at 11:00 p.m. CST. The Democrats will allocate 13 of its 18 convention delegates from the caucuses today in proportion to the support each candidate receives at the caucuses. On the Republican side, at election district caucuses held today and Saturday, delegates to...

American Samoa Live Blog (Democrats)

7:16 p.m. The Associated Press projects Hillary Clinton to be the winner in the Democratic caucuses in American Samoa. American Samoa will send 9 delegates to the Democratic convention, 3 tied to the caucuses....

Arizona Primary Live Blog

5:56 p.m. Last polls close in Arizona at 8:00 p.m. CST. The Democrats will allocate 37 of its 67 convention delegates from the primary today: 37 delegates are allocated in proportion to the primary votes while an additional 12 at-large delegates and seven pledged party-leader and elected official delegates are...

Arkansas Primary Live Blog

5:48 p.m. Last polls close in Arkansas at 7:30 p.m. CST. The Democrats will allocate 35 of its 47 convention delegates from the primary today: 22 delegates are allocated proportionally based on the results in each of the state's four Congressional districts, while 13 delegates are allocated based on the...

California Primary Live Blog

5:40 p.m. Last polls close in California at 10:00 p.m. CST. The Democrats will allocate 370 of its 441 convention delegates from the primary today: 241 delegates are allocated based on the vote in each of the state's 53 Congressional districts, while 129 delegates are allocated based on the statewide...

Colorado Caucus Live Blog

5:33 p.m. Caucuses will end in Colorado at 8:00 p.m. CST. The Democrats will allocate 36 of its 71 convention delegates from the caucuses today: 36 delegates are selected in proportion to the statewide vote. On the Republican side, a nonbinding presidential preference poll will be conducted; none of the...

Connecticut Primary Live Blog

5:30 p.m. Last polls close in Connecticut at 7:00 p.m. CST. The Democrats will allocate 48 of its 60 convention delegates from the primary today: 31 are allocated based on the vote in each of the state's five Congressional districts, while 17 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote....

Delaware Primary Live Blog

5:28 p.m. Last polls close in Delaware at 7:00 p.m. CST. The Democrats will allocate 15 of its 23 convention delegates from the primary today: 10 delegates are allocated based on the vote in four jurisdictions, while 5 delegates are allocated based on the statewide vote. Republicans will allocate all...

Georgia Primary Live Blog

5:23 p.m. Last polls close in Georgia at 6:00 p.m. CST. The Democrats will allocate 87 of its 103 convention delegates from the primary today: 57 delegates are allocated based on Congressional districts, while 30 are allocated based on the statewide vote. Republicans will allocate all 72 of its convention...

Idaho Caucus Live Blog (Democrats)

5:15 p.m. The Democratic caucuses will end in Idaho at 9:00 p.m. CST. Democrats will allocate 18 of its 23 convention delegates at the caucuses today, with a 15 percent viability level: 12 Congressional-district delegates, 4 at-large delegates, and 2 pledged party-leader delegates will be allocated. 10:26 p.m. NBC News...

Illinois Primary Live Blog

5:02 p.m. Last polls close in Illinois at 7:00 p.m. CST. The Democrats will allocate 153 of its 185 convention delegates proportionally from the primary vote today: 100 are allocated based on the state's 19 Congressional districts, while 53 are allocated based on the statewide vote. Republicans will allocate 57...

Kansas Caucus Live Blog (Democrats)

4:47 p.m.Caucuses will end in Kansas at 8:00 p.m. CST. The Democrats will allocate 32 of its 41 convention delegates at the caucuses today, with a 15 percent viability level: 21 district-level delegates are allocated, in addition to 11 statewide delegates are selected. 8:16 p.m. Democratic (14% reporting) Obama =...

Massachusetts Primary Live Blog

4:45 p.m. Last polls close in Massachusetts at 7:00 p.m. CST. The Democrats will allocate 93 of its 121 convention delegates proportionally from the primary vote today: 61 delegates are based on the vote in each of the state's 10 Congressional districts, while 32 delegates are allocated based on the...

MInnesota Caucus Live Blog

3:43 p.m. Caucuses will end in Minnesota at 8:00 p.m. CST. The Democrats will allocate 72 of its 88 convention delegates from the caucus vote tonight: 47 delegates are allocated based on the caucus results in each of the state's eight congressional districts, while 25 are allocated based on the...

Missouri Primary Live Blog

3:35 p.m. Last polls close in Missouri at 7:00 p.m. CST. The Democrats will allocate 72 of its 88 convention delegates from the primary vote today: 47 pledged delegates are allocated proportionally based on the vote in each of the state's nine congressional districts, while 25 delegates are allocated based...

Montana Caucus Live Blog (GOP)

3:29 p.m. The Repubican caucuses end in Montana at 11:00 p.m. CST. Republicans will allocate all 25 of its convention delegates today, by the vote of County Republican Party leaders. 7:20 p.m. Republican (5% reporting) Romney = 36% McCain = 30% Paul = 23% Huckabee = 11% 7:20 p.m. Republican...

New Jersey Primary Live Blog

3:24 p.m. Last polls close in New Jersey at 7:00 p.m. CST. The Democrats will allocate 107 of its 127 convention delegates from the primary vote today: 70 delegates are allocated based on the vote in 20 delegate districts (comprised of two state legislative districts) while 37 delegates are allocated...

New Mexico Caucus Live Blog (Democrats)

3:15 p.m. The caucuses will end in New Mexico at 8:00 p.m. CST. The Democrats will allocate 26 of its 38 convention delegates from the caucus vote today: 17 are allocated based on caucus results in each of the state's three congressional districts while 9 delegates are allocated to candidates...

New York Primary Live Blog

3:00 p.m. Last polls close in New York at 8:00 p.m. CST. The Democrats will allocate 232 of its 281 based proportionally on the primary vote; 151 delegates are allocated based on the vote in each Congressional district while 81 delegates are allocated according to the statewide vote. Republicans will...

North Dakota Caucus Live Blog

3:00 p.m.The caucuses will end in North Dakota at 9:00 p.m. CST. The Democrats will allocate 13 of its 21 delegates based on the proportion of support each candidate receives in the precinct caucus. Republicans will allocate 23 of its 26 convention delegates today based on proportional voting; however, if...

Oklahoma Primary Live Blog

2:55 p.m. Last polls close in Oklahoma at 7:00 p.m. CST. The Democrats will allocate 38 of its 47 convention delegates based proportionally on the primary vote: 25 district delegates are allocated based on the primary results in each of the state's five congressional districts while 13 delegates are allocated...

Tennessee Primary Live Blog

2:51 p.m. Last polls close in Tennessee at 7:00 p.m. CST. The Democrats will allocate 68 of its 85 convention delegates based on the primary vote: 44 delegates are allocated proportionately to presidential candidates, while on March 8th, 24 delegates are allocated to presidential candidates based on the statewide vote....

Utah Primary Live Blog

2:40 p.m. Last polls close in Utah at 9:00 p.m. CST. The Democrats will allocate 23 of its 29 convention delegates allocated proportionally to the vote today. Republicans will allocate all 36 of its convention delegates to the candidate who receives the most statewide votes. 9:00 p.m. Fox News has...

West Virginia Caucus live blog (GOP)

1:40 p.m. Mike Huckabee has won the West Virginia caucus, collecting 18 delegates, after narrowly defeating Mitt Romney: Huckabee = 567 (52%) Romney = 521 (47%) McCain = 12 (1%) This is a big blow to the Romney campaign who was counting on several caucus victories today. Romney entered the...

Smart Politics Super Tuesday Live Blogging

Smart Politics will provide extensive live blogging coverage of the Super Tuesday primaries and caucuses tonight. Results, analysis, and media watchdog scrutiny will be documented and continuously updated in 24 separate blogs—one for each state holding contests on February 5th: Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Georgia, Idaho...

Super Tuesday Preview: The Republicans

Since his victory in Florida, John McCain has opened up large double-digit leads over Mitt Romney in nearly every national poll for the Republican nomination. With Romney's decisive victory in the Maine caucuses this weekend (his fourth win so far), the two candidates are quite close in the delegate count...

Super Tuesday Preview: The Democrats

The Democratic showdown in more than 20 states on Super Tuesday could be one for the ages. A national shift to Barack Obama has definitely taken place during the past week. Obama is in the lead or tied with Hillary Clinton in 3 of the 7 national polls taken during...

California a Toss Up for the GOP

Three new California polls with field dates ending Saturday, February 2nd were released today -- all showing growing momentum for Mitt Romney, despite endorsements this past week for John McCain by Rudy Giuliani and Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger. All three polls show statistical dead-heats between Romney and McCain: American Research Group...

Romney Wins Maine Caucuses

While all the political (and media-generated) momentum seems to be on John McCain's side, Mitt Romney won a small, but perhaps important battle this weekend by overwhelmingly winning the Maine Republican caucuses (the Democratic caucuses will be held on Feburary 10th). The GOP caucuses took place across the state from...

MPR / HHH MN Senate Poll: Franken & Coleman in Dead Heat

A Minnesota Public Radio / Humphrey Institute poll of 917 Minnesotans finds DFL candidate Al Franken running ahead of 1-term Republican incumbent Norm Coleman 43 to 40 percent. The MPR / HHH survey, conducted January 20-27, marks the first time Franken has polled on top in any of the...