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Live Blog: Louisiana Primary

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8:30 p.m. Republican Primary (1% reporting)
McCain = 39%
Huckabee = 29%
Romney = 22%
Paul = 5%

8:40 p.m. Republican Primary (4% reporting)
McCain = 39%
Huckabee = 37%
Romney = 15%
Paul = 5%

8:50 p.m. Democratic Primary (11% reporting)
Obama = 52%
Clinton = 38%

Republican Primary (11% reporting)
Huckabee = 44%
McCain = 38%
Romney = 10%
Paul = 5%

Huckabee, former Governor of the neighboring state of Arkansas, continues to impress in the South in the early returns thus far. Despite McCain's enormous delegate lead, the fact that McCain is the presumptive nominee despite having lost more than 60 percent of the contests is truly remarkable. The division in the GOP base cannot be understated despite efforts by elected officials to endorse McCain in recent days (today former GOP presidential candidate and Virginia Governor Jim Gilmore endorsed McCain).

9:00 p.m. Democratic Primary (22% reporting)
Obama = 52%
Clinton = 39%

Republican Primary (22% reporting)
Huckabee = 47%
McCain = 38%
Romney = 8%
Paul = 5%

9:04 p.m. NBC News projects Barack Obama has won the Louisiana primary, his 18th victory of the campaign and 3rd out of 3 contests today.

9:07 p.m. Democratic Primary (30% reporting)
Obama = 53%
Clinton = 39%

Republican Primary (30% reporting)
Huckabee = 48%
McCain = 38%
Romney = 7%
Paul = 5%

9:15 p.m. Democratic Primary (38% reporting)
Obama = 53%
Clinton = 39%

Republican Primary (38% reporting)
Huckabee = 48%
McCain = 38%
Romney = 6%
Paul = 5%

9:24 p.m. Democratic Primary (51% reporting)
Obama = 53%
Clinton = 39%

Republican Primary (51% reporting)
Huckabee = 48%
McCain = 39%
Romney = 6%
Paul = 5%

9:38 p.m. Democratic Primary (61% reporting)
Obama = 53%
Clinton = 39%

Republican Primary (61% reporting)
Huckabee = 47%
McCain = 39%
Romney = 6%
Paul = 5%

9:55 p.m. Democratic Primary (74% reporting)
Obama = 53%
Clinton = 39%

Republican Primary (74% reporting)
Huckabee = 46%
McCain = 40%
Romney = 6%
Paul = 5%

10:05 p.m. Democratic Primary (78% reporting)
Obama = 53%
Clinton = 39%

Republican Primary (78% reporting)
Huckabee = 45%
McCain = 41%
Romney = 6%
Paul = 5%

10:33 p.m. Democratic Primary (88% reporting)
Obama = 55%
Clinton = 37%

Republican Primary (87% reporting)
Huckabee = 44%
McCain = 42%
Romney = 6%
Paul = 5%

10:53 p.m. Democratic Primary (94% reporting)
Obama = 57%
Clinton = 36%

Republican Primary (94% reporting)
Huckabee = 44%
McCain = 42%
Romney = 6%
Paul = 5%

11:00 p.m. Democratic Primary (96% reporting)
Obama = 57%
Clinton = 36%

Republican Primary (96% reporting)
Huckabee = 43%
McCain = 43%
Romney = 6%
Paul = 5%

McCain has closed the gap to approximately 600 votes. Since no candidate will receive a majority of the vote on the GOP side the 20 delegates that would have been awarded will remain 'uncommitted.' Still, a popular vote victory for Huckabee would give the press lots of material by which to discuss (and criticize) McCain's place in the Republican Party during the next few days.

11:13 p.m. Democratic Primary (97% reporting)
Obama = 57%
Clinton = 36%

Republican Primary (97% reporting)
Huckabee = 44%
McCain = 42%
Romney = 6%
Paul = 5%

11:35 p.m. Fox News has called the state of Louisiana for Mike Huckabee, his second win of the day, and 8th victory of the campaign.

11:44 p.m. Democratic Primary (98% reporting)
Obama = 57%
Clinton = 36%

Republican Primary (99% reporting)
Huckabee = 44%
McCain = 42%
Romney = 6%
Paul = 5%

McCain has now lost 19 of 31 GOP contests during this campaign, with Washington State's results still pending this evening.

Previous post: Live Blog: Washington State GOP Caucus
Next post: Obama Wins Virgin Islands


Remains of the Data

Gender Equality in the US House: A State-by State Quarter-Century Report Card (1989-2014)

A study of 5,325 congressional elections finds the number of female U.S. Representatives has more than tripled over the last 25 years, but the rate at which women are elected to the chamber still varies greatly between the states.

Political Crumbs

Final Four Has Presidential Approval

By edging Michigan in the final seconds Sunday, the University of Kentucky guaranteed that one school in the Final Four this year would be located in a state that was not carried by President Barack Obama in 2012. (Connecticut, Florida, and Wisconsin had previously earned Final Four slots over the weekend). Across the 76 Final Fours since 1939, an average of 3.1 schools have been located in states won by the president's ticket during the previous election cycle. All four schools have come from states won by the president 29 times, with the most recent being the 2009 Final Four featuring Connecticut, Michigan State, North Carolina, and Villanova. On 30 occasions three Final Four schools have been located in states won by the president, with two schools 11 times and only one school six times (the most recent being 2012 with Kansas, Kentucky, Louisville, and Ohio State). There has never been a Men's NCAA Division I Final Four in which no schools were located in states carried by the president's ticket.


Three for the Road

A new Rasmussen Poll shows Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker in a dead heat with likely 2014 Democratic nominee Mary Burke. Walker is seeking to win his third consecutive election after prevailing in 2012's recall contest. Eight of his predecessors accomplished this feat: Republicans Lucius Fairchild (in 1869), Jeremiah Rusk (1886), Robert La Follette (1904), Emanuel Philipp (1918), John Blaine (1924), Walter Kohler (1954), Warren Knowles (1968), and Tommy Thompson (1994). Three others Badger State governors lost on their third campaign: Democrat George Peck (1894), Progressive Philip La Follette (1938), and Republican Julius Heil (1942). One died in office before having the opportunity to win a third contest (GOPer Walter Goodland in 1947) while another resigned beforehand (Democrat Patrick Lucey in 1977 to become Ambassador to Mexico). Overall Wisconsin gubernatorial incumbents have won 35 of 47 general election contests, or 74.5 percent of the time.


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