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Live Blog: The Maine Caucuses

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3:53 p.m. Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama face off in the Maine caucuses this afternoon, the 32nd state contest (plus 2 U.S. territories) to be held by Democrats so far this election season. Mitt Romney won the Republican caucuses in Maine a week ago.

The Democratic delegate count is basically even between the two Democratic candidates, varying at the margins depending on which estimate one reads.

To date, Obama has won 18 states plus the Virgin Islands while Clinton has won 12 states plus American Samoa (Clinton's state victory total includes Michigan, where Obama was not on the ballot, and Florida - two states which currently will not seat any delegates at the Democratic National Convention due to violation of Party rules). Final results in the New Mexico caucuses are still pending from Super Tuesday's election and are not included in either candidate's state total above; Clinton currently holds a lead of approximately 1,100 votes there.

Maine Democratic Caucus (11% reporting)
Obama = 51%
Clinton = 48%
Uncommitted = 1%

4:22 p.m. Maine Democratic Caucus (44% reporting)
Obama = 57%
Clinton = 42%
Uncommitted = 1%

4:51 p.m. Maine Democratic Caucus (59% reporting)
Obama = 57%
Clinton = 42%
Uncommitted = 1%

Obama appears to be on his way to another caucus victory - it would be his 9th caucus win compared to just one for Clinton (Nevada, with New Mexico caucus results still pending).

5:32 p.m. NBC News projects Obama has won the Maine caucuses - the 19th state in his column during the 2008 campaign.

6:00 p.m. Maine Democratic Caucus (70% reporting)
Obama = 58%
Clinton = 41%
Uncommitted = 1%

9:13 p.m. Maine Democratic Caucus (95% reporting)
Obama = 59%
Clinton = 40%
Uncommitted = 1%

Previous post: Obama Wins Virgin Islands
Next post: Clinton Braces For Another Obama Sweep

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Remains of the Data

Gender Equality in the US House: A State-by State Quarter-Century Report Card (1989-2014)

A study of 5,325 congressional elections finds the number of female U.S. Representatives has more than tripled over the last 25 years, but the rate at which women are elected to the chamber still varies greatly between the states.

Political Crumbs

Final Four Has Presidential Approval

By edging Michigan in the final seconds Sunday, the University of Kentucky guaranteed that one school in the Final Four this year would be located in a state that was not carried by President Barack Obama in 2012. (Connecticut, Florida, and Wisconsin had previously earned Final Four slots over the weekend). Across the 76 Final Fours since 1939, an average of 3.1 schools have been located in states won by the president's ticket during the previous election cycle. All four schools have come from states won by the president 29 times, with the most recent being the 2009 Final Four featuring Connecticut, Michigan State, North Carolina, and Villanova. On 30 occasions three Final Four schools have been located in states won by the president, with two schools 11 times and only one school six times (the most recent being 2012 with Kansas, Kentucky, Louisville, and Ohio State). There has never been a Men's NCAA Division I Final Four in which no schools were located in states carried by the president's ticket.


Three for the Road

A new Rasmussen Poll shows Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker in a dead heat with likely 2014 Democratic nominee Mary Burke. Walker is seeking to win his third consecutive election after prevailing in 2012's recall contest. Eight of his predecessors accomplished this feat: Republicans Lucius Fairchild (in 1869), Jeremiah Rusk (1886), Robert La Follette (1904), Emanuel Philipp (1918), John Blaine (1924), Walter Kohler (1954), Warren Knowles (1968), and Tommy Thompson (1994). Three others Badger State governors lost on their third campaign: Democrat George Peck (1894), Progressive Philip La Follette (1938), and Republican Julius Heil (1942). One died in office before having the opportunity to win a third contest (GOPer Walter Goodland in 1947) while another resigned beforehand (Democrat Patrick Lucey in 1977 to become Ambassador to Mexico). Overall Wisconsin gubernatorial incumbents have won 35 of 47 general election contests, or 74.5 percent of the time.


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