Go to HHH home page.
Smart Politics
 


Live Blog: Virignia Primary

Bookmark and Share

5:38 p.m. Polls close at 6 p.m. CST for the Virginia primary. On the Democratic side, 83 of the state's 101 delegates to the DNC are tied to today's primary. For the Republicans, 60 of Virginia's 63 delegates to the GOP convention are tied to today's primary.

6:00 p.m. NBC News, Fox News, and CNN have called the state of Virginia for Barack Obama in the Democratic race. MSNBC characterized Obama's win as "substantial." Each network characterizes the race on the GOP side as 'competitive' and 'too close to call.'

6:22 p.m. Republican (1% reporting)
Huckabee = 64%
McCain = 30%
Romney = 3%
Paul = 3%

6:22 p.m. Democratic (1% reporting)
Obama = 56%
Clinton = 43%

6:27 p.m. Republican (3% reporting)
Huckabee = 49%
McCain = 44%
Paul = 3%
Romney = 3%

6:27 p.m. Democratic (4% reporting)
Obama = 62%
Clinton = 37%

6:32 p.m. McCain has won just 13 of 31 contests to date (41 percent). Although most of the 11 wins by Mitt Romney and 8 wins by Mike Huckabee have been in smaller, caucus states, it is quite unusual for a near-anointed frontrunner to have lost so many states at this stage in the process. Recent election history indicates that voters in most states have "fallen in line" by now, but this is clearly not happening on the GOP side of the ticket.

6:37 p.m. Republican (7% reporting)
Huckabee = 51%
McCain = 42%
Paul = 3%
Romney = 3%

6:37 p.m. Democratic (7% reporting)
Obama = 62%
Clinton = 37%

6:43 p.m. Republican (11% reporting)
Huckabee = 49%
McCain = 43%
Paul = 4%
Romney = 3%

6:43 p.m. Democratic (11% reporting)
Obama = 60%
Clinton = 39%

6:50 p.m. Republican (18% reporting)
Huckabee = 48%
McCain = 44%
Paul = 4%
Romney = 3%

6:50 p.m. Democratic (17% reporting)
Obama = 61%
Clinton = 38%

7:06 p.m. Republican (31% reporting)
McCain = 47%
Huckabee = 45%
Paul = 4%
Romney = 3%

7:06 p.m. Democratic (30% reporting)
Obama = 62%
Clinton = 37%

7:13 p.m. Republican (36% reporting)
McCain = 46%
Huckabee = 46%
Paul = 4%
Romney = 3%

CNN analysts suggest most of the counties Huckabee is carrying have a much larger percentage of the vote in than in those counties in which McCain is leading.

7:13 p.m. Democratic (36% reporting)
Obama = 62%
Clinton = 37%

7:26 p.m. Republican (47% reporting)
McCain = 47%
Huckabee = 45%
Paul = 4%
Romney = 3%

Votes for Mitt Romney may well be the difference in the GOP Virginia race. McCain currently leads Huckabee by approximately 2,900 votes, while Romney has received more than 6,300.

7:26 p.m. Democratic (47% reporting)
Obama = 61%
Clinton = 38%

7:29 p.m. NBC News has just called the Virginia race for John McCain, his 14th victory of the campaign to date.

7:30 p.m. Fox News has now called Virignia for McCain.

7:31 p.m. And now CNN has called the race for McCain.

7:42 p.m. Republican (61% reporting)
Huckabee = 47%
McCain = 44%
Paul = 4%
Romney = 3%

McCain will win all 60 GOP delegates tied to today's winner-take-all primary today in Virginia.

7:42 p.m. Democratic (63% reporting)
Obama = 62%
Clinton = 37%

8:09 p.m. Republican (70% reporting)
Huckabee = 48%
McCain = 43%

12:09 a.m. Republican (99% reporting)
McCain = 50%
Huckabee = 41%
Paul = 5%
Romney = 3%

12:09 a.m. Democratic (99% reporting)
Obama = 64%
Clinton = 35%

Previous post: Live Blog: Washington D.C. Primary
Next post: Live Blog: Maryland Primary

Leave a comment


Remains of the Data

Kevin McCarthy Becomes Least Tenured Floor Leader in US House History

At less than four terms, McCarthy has served 423 fewer days in the chamber than any floor leader in U.S. House history and almost 10 years less than the average leader.

Political Crumbs

The Second Time Around

Former Republican Congressman Bob Beauprez became the seventh major party or second place gubernatorial candidate in Colorado to get a second chance at the office when he narrowly won his party's nomination last month. Two of the previous six candidates were successful. Democrat Alva Adams lost his first gubernatorial bid to Benjamin Eaton in 1884, but was victorious two years later against William Meyer. Democrat Charles Johnson placed third in 1894 behind Republican Albert McIntyre and Populist incumbent Governor David Waite but returned as the Fusion (Democrat/Populist) nominee in 1898 and defeated GOPer Henry Wolcott. Gubernatorial candidates who received a second chance but lost both general elections include Democrat Thomas Patterson (1888, 1914), Progressive Edward Costigan (1912, 1914), Republican Donald Brotzman (1954, 1956), and Republican David Strickland (1978, 1986).


How Are the Plurality Winners Doing?

Nearly 40 percent of plurality winners of U.S. Senate elections lose their seat in the next election cycle. Will that happen to any of the three such incumbents on the ballot in 2014? Recent polling suggests Democrats Al Franken of Minnesota, Mark Begich of Alaska, and Jeff Merkley of Oregon all currently have an advantage over their nominated/frontrunning GOP opponents, but each is flirting with plurality support once again. Franken led endorsed GOPer Mike McFadden 48 to 42 percent in a new SurveyUSA poll while the polling group showed Merkley with a 50 to 32 percent advantage over Monica Wehby. Begich led each of the three major GOP candidates in last month's PPP survey: 42 to 37 percent over Daniel Sullivan, 41 to 33 percent over Mead Treadwell, and 43 to 27 percent over Joe Miller.


more POLITICAL CRUMBS

Humphrey School Sites
CSPG
Humphrey New Media Hub

Issues />

<div id=
Abortion
Afghanistan
Budget and taxes
Campaign finances
Crime and punishment
Economy and jobs
Education
Energy
Environment
Foreign affairs
Gender
Health
Housing
Ideology
Immigration
Iraq
Media
Military
Partisanship
Race and ethnicity
Reapportionment
Redistricting
Religion
Sexuality
Sports
Terrorism
Third parties
Transportation
Voting