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Live Blog: Wisconsin Primary

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7:42 p.m. Polls close in Wisconsin's open primary at 8:00 p.m. CST. Smart Politics live blogging of results with analysis will commence at that time.

8:00 p.m. John McCain is the projected winner of the GOP primary in Wisconsin, according to CNN, NBC News, and Fox News. MSNBC characterized the Democratic race exit polling as showing Obama with the advantage - a "significant" advantage.

8:04 p.m. Exit polls showed Obama leading Clinton among independents by a 2:1 margin.

8:07 p.m. McCain is giving his victory speech and states he "Will be the nominee of the Republican Party." McCain takes a big dig at Obama by stating Americans will not be deceived by an "eloquent but empty call for change."

8:19 p.m. NBC News projects Barack Obama has won - to no surprise at Smart Politics - the Democratic primary. Obama has now won 22 states plus the District of Columbia and the U.S. Virgin Islands. It is Obama's 9th straight victory over Clinton since Super Tuesday, including D.C. and the Virgin Islands.

8:23 p.m. CNN and Fox News have projected Obama the victor in Wisconsin.

8:27 p.m. Democratic (2% reporting)
Obama = 54%
Clinton = 45%

8:27 p.m. Republican (2% reporting)
McCain = 57%
Huckabee = 36%
Paul = 4%
Romney = 2%

8:33 p.m. Hillary Clinton is addressing her supporters in Ohio and takes several jabs at Obama, stating we need "work" not "words" and "solutions" not "speeches."

8:37 p.m. Democratic (6% reporting)
Obama = 55%
Clinton = 44%

8:37 p.m. Republican (5% reporting)
McCain = 56%
Huckabee = 36%
Paul = 4%
Romney = 2%

8:43 p.m. Obama is addressing his supporters in Houston, Texas, encouraging people to vote (early voting has begun in Texas). Obama currently trails Clinton by 2 points in the latest CNN poll in the Lone Star State and by 5 points in the latest SurveyUSA poll.

8:47 p.m. Democratic (12% reporting)
Obama = 54%
Clinton = 45%

8:47 p.m. Republican (11% reporting)
McCain = 55%
Huckabee = 37%
Paul = 4%
Romney = 2%

8:55 p.m. Smart Politics will update the Wisconsin numers at 10:00 p.m. CST when the polls close in Washington (GOP) and Hawaii (Democratic caucus).

9:57 p.m. Democratic (66% reporting)
Obama = 57%
Clinton = 42%

9:57 p.m. Republican (65% reporting)
McCain = 54%
Huckabee = 38%
Paul = 5%
Romney = 2%

10:35 p.m. Democratic (81% reporting)
Obama = 58%
Clinton = 41%

10:35 p.m. Republican (81% reporting)
McCain = 54%
Huckabee = 37%
Paul = 5%
Romney = 2%

9:47 a.m. Democratic (100% reporting)
Obama = 58%
Clinton = 41%

9:47 a.m. Republican (100% reporting)
McCain = 55%
Huckabee = 37%
Paul = 5%
Romney = 2%

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Next post: Live Blog: Washington Primary

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    Remains of the Data

    No Free Passes: States With 2 Major Party Candidates in Every US House Race

    Indiana has now placed candidates from both major parties on the ballot in a nation-best 189 consecutive U.S. House races, with New Hampshire, Minnesota, Idaho, and Montana also north of 100 in a row.

    Political Crumbs

    Gubernatorial Highs and Lows

    Two sitting governors currently hold the record for the highest gubernatorial vote ever received in their respective states by a non-incumbent: Republican Matt Mead of Wyoming (65.7 percent in 2010) and outgoing GOPer Dave Heineman of Nebraska (73.4 percent in 2006). Republican Gary Herbert of Utah had not previously won a gubernatorial contest when he notched a state record 64.1 percent for his first victory in 2010, but was an incumbent at the time after ascending to the position in 2009 after the early departure of Jon Huntsman. Meanwhile, two sitting governors hold the record in their states for the lowest mark ever recorded by a winning gubernatorial candidate (incumbent or otherwise): independent-turned-Democrat Lincoln Chafee of Rhode Island (36.1 percent in 2010) and Democrat Terry McAuliffe of Virginia (47.8 percent in 2013).


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    Two-term Idaho Republican Governor Butch Otter only polled at 39 percent in a recent PPP survey of the state's 2014 race - just four points ahead of Democratic businessman A.J. Balukoff. Otter's low numbers reflect his own struggles as a candidate (witness his weak primary win against State Senator Russ Fulcher) combined with the opportunity for disgruntled Idahoans to cast their votes for one of four third party and independent candidates, who collectively received the support of 12 percent of likely voters: Libertarian John Bujak, the Constitution Party's Steve Pankey, and independents Jill Humble and Pro-Life (aka Marvin Richardson). The six candidate options in a gubernatorial race sets an all-time record in the Gem State across the 46 elections conducted since statehood. The previous high water mark of five candidates was reached in seven previous cycles: 1902, 1904, 1908, 1912, 1914, 1966, and 2010.


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