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Rasmussen Poll: MN U.S. Senate Race A Dead Heat

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A new Rasmussen poll of 500 likely voters conducted February 16th finds 1-term Republican incumbent Senator Norm Coleman in a dead heat with both Al Franken and Mike Ciresi in the Gopher State.

Franken leads Coleman 49 to 46 percent, within the poll's margin of error. This is the first Rasmussen poll and only the second public poll overall conducted during the battle for Minnesota's Senate seat that has measured Franken's statewide support ahead of the GOP Senator.

Coleman retains a moderately high favorability rating in the state (55 percent), while Franken reached the 50 percent favorability mark for the first time in four Rasmussen polls (39 percent in March 2007, 46 percent in September 2007, 43 percent in October 2007). Coleman led Franken by 10 points last March, by 5 points last September, and by 7 points last October, according to Rasmussen.

DFL candidate Mike Ciresi is also matching Coleman blow-for-blow, trailing by just two points, 47 to 45 percent, also within the poll's margin of error. Ciresi's main competition now, however, is Franken in the fight for the DFL nomination. This marks the highest level of support Ciresi has received in a matchup poll with Coleman in 10 public polls released since February 2007.

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Remains of the Data

Plurality-Winning Governors Elected At Century-Long High Water Mark

The rate of gubernatorial candidates elected without the support of a majority of voters is at its highest level since the 1910s.

Political Crumbs

Seeing Red

Congressman Nick Rahall's failed bid for a 20th term in West Virginia this cycle, combined with a narrow loss by Nick Casey to Alex Mooney in Shelley Moore Capito's open seat, means that West Virginia Democrats will be shut out of the state's U.S. House delegation for the first time in over 90 years. The Republican sweep by two-term incumbent David McKinley in the 1st CD, Mooney in the 2nd, and Evan Jenkins over Rahall in the 3rd marks the first time the GOP has held all seats in the chamber from West Virginia since the Election of 1920. During the 67th Congress (1921-1923) all six seats from the state were controlled by the GOP. Since the Election of 1922, Democrats have won 76 percent of all U.S. House elections in the Mountain State - capturing 172 seats compared to 54 for the GOP.


Home Field Advantage?

When the 114th Congress convenes in a few days, Maine will be represented by one home-grown U.S. Representative: Waterville-born Republican Bruce Poliquin. With the departure of Millinocket-born Mike Michaud, who launched a failed gubernatorial bid, the Pine Tree State was poised to send a House delegation to D.C. without any Maine-born members for the first time since 1821. Three-term U.S. Rep. Chellie Pingree (born in Minnesota) coasted to reelection as expected, however Poliquin edged Kentucky-born Emily Cain by 5.3 points to keep the streak alive. Since 1876, a total of 208 of the 222 candidates elected to the nation's lower legislative chamber from the state have been born in Maine, or 94 percent.


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