Go to HHH home page.
Smart Politics
 


March 2008


Bush Approval Rating in Upper Midwest Lingers in the Basement

Despite relatively positive news coming out of Iraq and a new campaign season that has focused the lens of the news media off the sitting president to the new contenders, George W. Bush cannot shake the horrendous job approval rating that he has faced in the Upper Midwest for...

Bill O'Reilly: A Voice for Independents for '08 Election Coverage?

On multiple occasions during his weeknight telecast The O'Reilly Factor, host Bill O'Reilly has made a particular effort to tell the viewers, and his right-wing guests, that he is not endorsing a presidential candidate and has no horse in the race. O'Reilly has maintained for years that he is only...

Minnesotans' Outlook on U.S. Economy Quite Bleak

With the 2008 general election just about seven months away, Minnesotans are very wary about the state of the nation's economy, and appear to be ready to vote for a candidate who can best protect their pocketbook. The percentage of Gopher State residents who view the U.S. economy as 'excellent'...

Vice President Mondale to Speak at Humphrey Institute Monday Morning

Picking the Vice Presidential Nominees: What Should We Look For? Monday, March 24, 2008. 8:30am - Noon; Hubert H. Humphrey Center "The Humphrey Institute's Center for the Study of Politics and Governance at the University of Minnesota and Presidential Studies Quarterly are convening a national conference on Monday, March 24th...

Clinton Makes Big Gains Against Obama vis-à-vis McCain in Upper Midwest

In polling conducted just as the Reverend Wright story broke nationally last week, Hillary Clinton appears to have made substantial gains across the Upper Midwest in terms of her relative competitiveness with Republican nominee John McCain, as compared to her competitor Barack Obama. SurveyUSA polls of 500+ registered voters in...

Obama's Numbers Sinking As Pastor Controversy Continues

As news broke last week in the mainstream media of videotaped statements by Barack Obama's friend and Reverend spouting what most Americans view as radical, racially-fused, anti-American political rhetoric, Obama's lead over Hillary Clinton in national polls for the Democratic presidential nomination began to break as well. One week ago,...

Obama, Reverend Wright, and the Problem with Superdelegates

Barack Obama's speech this morning on race and politics was favorably received by media commentators, though it may have come too late to prevent the damage done to his campaign. Obama's longtime association with Reverend Jeremiah Wright will link the Illinois Senator in the public's mind (and perhaps in political...

Coleman with 10-Point Lead Over Franken in New MN Senate Poll

Republican Senator Norm Coleman enjoys a 10-point lead over DFL hopeful Al Franken, according to a new survey of 644 registered voters by SurveyUSA, conducted on March 12th. Coleman leads Franken 51 to 41 percent, with 7 percent undecided. This represents a 9-point swing in Coleman's favor from the last...

Will Bush Drive Independents Away from McCain in Upper Midwest?

Last week John McCain, in a somewhat awkward festivity, accepted President George W. Bush's endorsement for the presidency after wrapping up the majority of delegates needed to secure the Republican nomination. McCain, setting aside his staunch support for the still generally unpopular War in Iraq, is the type of Republican...

Commentary: Why Clinton Should (And Will) Stay in the Race Through South Dakota

As expected, Barack Obama rolled through the Wyoming caucuses and Mississippi primary this past week, apparently dulling the shine of the Clinton campaign's big victories in Texas and Ohio on March 4th. Due to those Clinton victories, the growing pressure for her to exit the race subsided, at least until...

Obama Wins Mississippi Primary

7:30 p.m. To no surprise, Barack Obama is the projected winner of the Mississippi Primary, according to CNN and Fox News. Obama has now won 26 state contests, plus the District of Columbia and the Virgin Islands. Results will be updated throughout the night as they come in. 8:10 p.m....

Latest Pennyslvania Poll Finds Massive Gender Gap Among Democrats

A new poll released Sunday by American Research Group (ARG) continues to show Hillary Clinton leading Barack Obama by double digits, some six weeks before Pennsylvania's crucial Democratic primary. Clinton's lead, 52 to 41 percent, is less noteworthy than the extent of the gender gap reflected by this poll of...

Obama Wins Wyoming Caucuses

To the surprise of no one, Barack Obama was back to his winning ways on Saturday, registering a victory in the Wyoming caucuses, and a majority of the 12 delegates tied to today's contest. With 100% of the results in: Obama = 61% (5,378 state delegates) Clinton = 38% (3,312...

SD's Tim Johnson Coasting in Early U.S. Senate Poll

In recent years, when Republicans have looked for a competitive race in which to pick up a U.S. Senate seat, their eyes frequently turned to South Dakota. South Dakota is a reliable state for the GOP in its state legislature as well as vote for president: in the 29 presidential...

Is Pennsylvania the Next Iowa? Not Quite.

After the Wyoming caucuses on Saturday and the Mississippi primary on Tuesday (and perhaps even before those contests are finished), all attention will shift to the state of Pennyslvania in the next (though not necessarily last) showdown between Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton. The lengthy 6+ week run up to...

Live Blog: Texas Caucuses

11:40 p.m. A total of 67 delegates are tied to the Democratic caucuses in Texas tonight. Returns are just starting to trickle in. Obama has won 11 of 13 caucus contests to date. 11:42 p.m. Democratic (5% reporting) Obama = 56% Clinton = 44% 12:19 a.m. Democratic (13% reporting) Obama...

Live Blog: Rhode Island Primary

8:00 p.m. NBC News, Fox News, and CNN have all called the GOP race in Rhode Island for John McCain and NBC News characterizes the Democratic race as "too close to call." John McCain has now officially become the Republican nominee, with 1,205 delegates, according to NBC News, Fox News,...

Live Blog: Texas Primary

7:09 p.m. On the Democratic side 126 delegates are tied to Texas' primary while another 67 delegates are tied to the Texas Democratic caucuses - also held tonight. 8:05 p.m. CNN, NBC News, and Fox News characterize the Democratic race in Texas as 'too close to call,' and call the...

Live Blog: Ohio Primary

6:30 p.m. NBC News, Fox News, and CNN have all called the GOP race in Ohio for John McCain and characterize the Democratic race as "competitive" or "too close to call." 8:13 p.m. Democratic (2% reporting) Clinton = 58% Obama = 40% 8:13 p.m. Republican (2% reporting) McCain = 61%...

Live Blog: Vermont Primary

6:00 p.m. NBC News, Fox News, and CNN all project Barack Obama and John McCain the winners of the Vermont primary. This marks Obama's 11th straight victory. Obama has now won 24 states plus D.C. and the Virgin Islands. McCain has won 17 states plus D.C. 6:07 p.m. Despite Obama's...

Final Polls Show Mini Clinton Surge

If one is to believe the final polls of Ohioans and Texans released over the last 24 hours, Hillary Clinton could be packing her bags for Pennsylvania after tonight's primary contests. While Obama will still lead in the pledged delegate count no matter what the outcomes in Ohio, Texas, Vermont,...

Pollsters Do Not Inspire Confidence On the Eve of OH, TX Primaries

As even the casual political bystander has learned during the past two months of the primary season, the influx of political polling in Campaign 2008 has given pollsters more and more opportunities...to miss the mark. New Hampshire and California have been the two biggest black eyes on survey research firms...

Poll Roundup: The March 4th Primaries (Democrats)

With less than 72 hours before polls close in four primary states on Tuesday, Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton appear to be headed for a draw. With Obama leading in the delegate count, a draw would continue his path to the Democratic nomination. However, if Clinton wins 2 states and/or...