Go to HHH home page.
Smart Politics
 


Coleman with 10-Point Lead Over Franken in New MN Senate Poll

Bookmark and Share

Republican Senator Norm Coleman enjoys a 10-point lead over DFL hopeful Al Franken, according to a new survey of 644 registered voters by SurveyUSA, conducted on March 12th.

Coleman leads Franken 51 to 41 percent, with 7 percent undecided. This represents a 9-point swing in Coleman's favor from the last SurveyUSA poll taken in mid-February. It is also Coleman's largest lead in any public poll conducted since May 2007, when a MPR survey measured Coleman's lead at 22 points, 54 to 32 percent.

Coleman also continues to lead by wide margins against the other DFL candidates, Jack Nelson-Pallmeyer (57 to 28 percent) and Darryl Stanton (57 to 27 percent).

Coleman's seat remains one of the prime targets of the Democrats this fall, and is considered a toss-up by several D.C. analysts. However, Coleman may benefit in November now that a moderate Republican presidential nominee like John McCain will be at the top of the ballot, provided McCain can distance himself enough from President George W. Bush to win over independents, who continue to have an extremely unfavorable opinion of the President in the Gopher State.

Previous post: Will Bush Drive Independents Away from McCain in Upper Midwest?
Next post: Obama, Reverend Wright, and the Problem with Superdelegates

2 Comments


  • "However, Coleman may benefit in November now that a moderate Republican presidential nominee like John McCain will be at the top of the ballot"


    Yeah, right, good ol moderate John "Waterboard" McCain.

    http://thinkprogress.org/2008/02/13/mccain-waterboarding-fail/

    Put down that glass of Kool Aid, son, I think you've had enough.

  • Putting aside whether or not John McCain is, objectively, a moderate voice in the Republican Party (and a strong case for that could be made), it is certainly the case that he is perceived as such. Thus, it would have perhaps been more artful if I had written "perceived moderate Republican presidential nominee."

  • Leave a comment


    Remains of the Data

    Which States Have the Longest and Shortest Election Day Voting Hours?

    Residents in some North Dakota towns have less than half as many hours to cast their ballots as those in New York State.

    Political Crumbs

    No 100-Year Curse for Roberts

    Defeating his Tea Party primary challenger Milton Wolf with just 48.1 percent of the vote, Pat Roberts narrowly escaped becoming the first elected U.S. Senator from Kansas to lose a renomination bid in 100 years. The last - and so far only - elected U.S. Senator to lose a Kansas primary was one-term Republican Joseph Bristow in 1914. Bristow was defeated by former U.S. Senator Charles Curtis who went on to win three terms before becoming Herbert Hoover's running mate in 1928. Only one other U.S. Senator from the Sunflower State has lost a primary since the passage of the 17th Amendment: Sheila Frahm in 1996. Frahm was appointed to fill Bob Dole's seat earlier that year and finished 13.2 points behind Sam Brownback in the three-candidate primary field. Overall, incumbent senators from Kansas have won 29 times against two defeats in the direct vote era. (Curtis also lost a primary in 1912 to Walter Stubbs, one year before the nation moved to direct elections).


    The Second Time Around

    Former Republican Congressman Bob Beauprez became the seventh major party or second place gubernatorial candidate in Colorado to get a second chance at the office when he narrowly won his party's nomination last month. Two of the previous six candidates were successful. Democrat Alva Adams lost his first gubernatorial bid to Benjamin Eaton in 1884, but was victorious two years later against William Meyer. Democrat Charles Johnson placed third in 1894 behind Republican Albert McIntyre and Populist incumbent Governor David Waite but returned as the Fusion (Democrat/Populist) nominee in 1898 and defeated GOPer Henry Wolcott. Gubernatorial candidates who received a second chance but lost both general elections include Democrat Thomas Patterson (1888, 1914), Progressive Edward Costigan (1912, 1914), Republican Donald Brotzman (1954, 1956), and Republican David Strickland (1978, 1986).


    more POLITICAL CRUMBS

    Humphrey School Sites
    CSPG
    Humphrey New Media Hub

    Issues />

<div id=
    Abortion
    Afghanistan
    Budget and taxes
    Campaign finances
    Crime and punishment
    Economy and jobs
    Education
    Energy
    Environment
    Foreign affairs
    Gender
    Health
    Housing
    Ideology
    Immigration
    Iraq
    Media
    Military
    Partisanship
    Race and ethnicity
    Reapportionment
    Redistricting
    Religion
    Sexuality
    Sports
    Terrorism
    Third parties
    Transportation
    Voting