Go to HHH home page.
Smart Politics
 


Latest Pennyslvania Poll Finds Massive Gender Gap Among Democrats

Bookmark and Share

A new poll released Sunday by American Research Group (ARG) continues to show Hillary Clinton leading Barack Obama by double digits, some six weeks before Pennsylvania's crucial Democratic primary. Clinton's lead, 52 to 41 percent, is less noteworthy than the extent of the gender gap reflected by this poll of 600 likely primary voters conducted March 7-8.

Obama leads Clinton by an impressive 21 points among men, 59 to 38 percent. Clinton, however, leads the Illinois Senator by a whopping 36 points among women, 63 to 29 percent. Even if the gender gaps were equal, Clinton would still hold the advantage, as women comprise approximately 55 percent of Democratic primary voters in the Keystone State.

This massive gender gap has not been reflected in all Pennsylvania surveys, however. In a Rasmussen survey of 690 likley primary voters conducted on March 5th, where Clinton's lead was measured at 52 to 37 percent, the New York Senator led Obama by just 17 points among women (19 points less than in the ARG poll) and also led Obama among male voters by 11 points (a 32 point difference from the ARG poll).

Even accounting for the margin of error with each survey, it is difficult to reconcile the vast differences with these internal gender demographics. All the more reason to interpret single polls with caution—especially six weeks out from primary day.

Previous post: Obama Wins Wyoming Caucuses
Next post: Obama Wins Mississippi Primary

2 Comments


  • OK, Mr. Obama. You're pretty speech was full of rhetoric. I would be most impressed if you got Mr. Wirght to recant, apologize, and denounce his inflammatory remarks ("Notice, I didn't have to use the word race"). If you can get Mr. Wright to announce to the world to what he said was wrong, then I would have profound respect for you. Stop challenging America to change when you too are an agent of change.

  • OK, Mr. Obama. You're pretty speech was full of rhetoric. I would be most impressed if you got Mr. Wirght to recant, apologize, and denounce his inflammatory remarks ("Notice, I didn't have to use the word race"). If you can get Mr. Wright to announce to the world to what he said was wrong, then I would have profound respect for you. Stop challenging America to change when you too are an agent of change.

  • Leave a comment


    Remains of the Data

    Plurality-Winning Governors Elected At Century-Long High Water Mark

    The rate of gubernatorial candidates elected without the support of a majority of voters is at its highest level since the 1910s.

    Political Crumbs

    Seeing Red

    Congressman Nick Rahall's failed bid for a 20th term in West Virginia this cycle, combined with a narrow loss by Nick Casey to Alex Mooney in Shelley Moore Capito's open seat, means that West Virginia Democrats will be shut out of the state's U.S. House delegation for the first time in over 90 years. The Republican sweep by two-term incumbent David McKinley in the 1st CD, Mooney in the 2nd, and Evan Jenkins over Rahall in the 3rd marks the first time the GOP has held all seats in the chamber from West Virginia since the Election of 1920. During the 67th Congress (1921-1923) all six seats from the state were controlled by the GOP. Since the Election of 1922, Democrats have won 76 percent of all U.S. House elections in the Mountain State - capturing 172 seats compared to 54 for the GOP.


    Home Field Advantage?

    When the 114th Congress convenes in a few days, Maine will be represented by one home-grown U.S. Representative: Waterville-born Republican Bruce Poliquin. With the departure of Millinocket-born Mike Michaud, who launched a failed gubernatorial bid, the Pine Tree State was poised to send a House delegation to D.C. without any Maine-born members for the first time since 1821. Three-term U.S. Rep. Chellie Pingree (born in Minnesota) coasted to reelection as expected, however Poliquin edged Kentucky-born Emily Cain by 5.3 points to keep the streak alive. Since 1876, a total of 208 of the 222 candidates elected to the nation's lower legislative chamber from the state have been born in Maine, or 94 percent.


    more POLITICAL CRUMBS

    Humphrey School Sites
    CSPG
    Humphrey New Media Hub

    Issues />

<div id=
    Abortion
    Afghanistan
    Budget and taxes
    Campaign finances
    Crime and punishment
    Economy and jobs
    Education
    Energy
    Environment
    Foreign affairs
    Gender
    Health
    Housing
    Ideology
    Immigration
    Iraq
    Media
    Military
    Partisanship
    Race and ethnicity
    Reapportionment
    Redistricting
    Religion
    Sexuality
    Sports
    Terrorism
    Third parties
    Transportation
    Voting