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Coleman Up 7 Points on Franken in New Poll

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Republican incumbent Senator Norm Coleman continues to lead likely DFL challenger Al Franken in the latest survey of 500 likely voters by Rasmussen. The survey, conducted April 22nd, gives Coleman a 50 to 43 percent lead, up from 48 to 46 percent a month ago.

Though Coleman's lead is very fragile for an incumbent, he continues to show promise in retaining his seat with his relatively high favorability numbers—currently at 55 percent. Coleman's favorability rating has ranged between 51 and 56 percent in six Rasmussen surveys conducted during the past 13 months.

Franken's unfavorability numbers have also remained relatively static during that span, holding between 45 and 48 percent in five of these six surveys. These are Hillary Clinton-esque unfavorability numbers—there appear to be roughly half of Minnesotans who just do not like Franken. Minnesotans who are recently forming their opinion of Franken, however, seem to be viewing him favorably. In March 2007, 15 percent of Minnesotans had no opinion of Franken, with just 39 percent holding a favorable view. Now, in April 2008, only 5 percent of Gopher State residents have yet to form an opinion of the satirist, and his favorability rating has climbed to 48 percent (holding steady from a month ago).

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2 Comments


  • Why no mention from the same STRIB story source of the major drop in approval ratings of Gov. Pawlenty. That looked like headline stuff, but no headline.

  • There are a few reasons for not mentioning this bit on Governor Pawlenty:

    1) Plainly, this was an entry on the U.S. Senate race, not the governor.

    2) There was really no "major drop" in his approval rating. While Pawlenty's "excellent" and "good" rating dropped from 49 in March to 44 percent in April, his "poor" rating also dropped a point, from 24 to 23 percent. Moreover, his approval rating in February was a very similar 45 percent (also a Rasmussen poll), so this is not unfamiliar ground for the Governor in recent months.

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    Remains of the Data

    No Free Passes: States With 2 Major Party Candidates in Every US House Race

    Indiana has now placed candidates from both major parties on the ballot in a nation-best 189 consecutive U.S. House races, with New Hampshire, Minnesota, Idaho, and Montana also north of 100 in a row.

    Political Crumbs

    Gubernatorial Highs and Lows

    Two sitting governors currently hold the record for the highest gubernatorial vote ever received in their respective states by a non-incumbent: Republican Matt Mead of Wyoming (65.7 percent in 2010) and outgoing GOPer Dave Heineman of Nebraska (73.4 percent in 2006). Republican Gary Herbert of Utah had not previously won a gubernatorial contest when he notched a state record 64.1 percent for his first victory in 2010, but was an incumbent at the time after ascending to the position in 2009 after the early departure of Jon Huntsman. Meanwhile, two sitting governors hold the record in their states for the lowest mark ever recorded by a winning gubernatorial candidate (incumbent or otherwise): independent-turned-Democrat Lincoln Chafee of Rhode Island (36.1 percent in 2010) and Democrat Terry McAuliffe of Virginia (47.8 percent in 2013).


    An Idaho Six Pack

    Two-term Idaho Republican Governor Butch Otter only polled at 39 percent in a recent PPP survey of the state's 2014 race - just four points ahead of Democratic businessman A.J. Balukoff. Otter's low numbers reflect his own struggles as a candidate (witness his weak primary win against State Senator Russ Fulcher) combined with the opportunity for disgruntled Idahoans to cast their votes for one of four third party and independent candidates, who collectively received the support of 12 percent of likely voters: Libertarian John Bujak, the Constitution Party's Steve Pankey, and independents Jill Humble and Pro-Life (aka Marvin Richardson). The six candidate options in a gubernatorial race sets an all-time record in the Gem State across the 46 elections conducted since statehood. The previous high water mark of five candidates was reached in seven previous cycles: 1902, 1904, 1908, 1912, 1914, 1966, and 2010.


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