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Live Blog: Indiana Primary

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6:00 p.m. (4% reporting)
Clinton = 59%
Obama = 41%

MSNBC, Fox News, and CNN are stating the race is "too early to call."

6:05 p.m. (5% reporting)
Clinton = 59%
Obama = 41%

6:12 p.m. (8% reporting)
Clinton = 56%
Obama = 44%

6:19 p.m. A Clinton win in Indiana, and a strong showing in North Carolina, will certainly keep her in the race for the nomination. North Carolina is one of the last states that Obama is favored to win. Clinton will win big in West Virginia next Tuesday and will win by a very large margin in Kentucky on May 20th. The next opportunity for the Clinton train to lose momentum will be in Oregon on May 20th.

6:22 p.m. (12% reporting)
Clinton = 58%
Obama = 42%

6:27 p.m. (16% reporting)
Clinton = 57%
Obama = 43%

6:33 p.m. (18% reporting)
Clinton = 57%
Obama = 43%

6:38 p.m. (21% reporting)
Clinton = 57%
Obama = 43%

6:43 p.m. (25% reporting)
Clinton = 57%
Obama = 43%

With a quarter of the vote counted in Indiana, Clinton is maintaining a double-digit lead. Only one pollster, SurveyUSA had Clinton winning the Hoosier State by double digits.

6:54 p.m. (32% reporting)
Clinton = 57%
Obama = 43%

7:00 p.m. (35% reporting)
Clinton = 57%
Obama = 43%

7:10 p.m. (39% reporting)
Clinton = 56%
Obama = 44%

7:18 p.m. (42% reporting)
Clinton = 56%
Obama = 44%

7:23 p.m. CBS News has just called Indiana for Hillary Clinton. If that holds, Indiana will be the 16th state carried by Clinton, plus Florida, Michigan (where Obama's name was not on the ballot), and American Samoa.

7:28 p.m. (50% reporting)
Clinton = 55%
Obama = 45%

7:33 p.m. Britt Hume of Fox News just stated that although they cannot call Indiana yet, Clinton "probably has won."

7:35 p.m. (52% reporting)
Clinton = 54%
Obama = 46%

7:43 p.m. (56% reporting)
Clinton = 54%
Obama = 46%

8:00 p.m. (65% reporting)
Clinton = 53%
Obama = 47%

8:12 p.m. MSNBC now classifies Indiana as "too close to call." None of the cable networks have followed CBS and called the state for Clinton.

8:14 p.m. In Obama's victory speech in North Carolina, he states it "appears" Clinton has won Indiana.

8:31 p.m. (73% reporting)
Clinton = 52%
Obama = 48%

8:52 p.m. (78% reporting)
Clinton = 52%
Obama = 48%

9:03 p.m. (81% reporting)
Clinton = 52%
Obama = 48%

As the percentage point advantage of counted votes declines for Obama in North Carolina and Clinton in Indiana, only the Hoosier State is in doubt. Should Obama win North Carolina by less than double digits, that will be lost in the media focus (and rightfully so) on what appears to be a very close race in Indiana.

9:43 p.m. During the first ten minutes of her speech, Clinton referred to the price of gas three times - a not so subtle reference to the difference between her and Obama; Clinton and John McCain support 'gas tax relief,' while Obama sees it as political pandering.

9:50 p.m. Clinton has peppered her speech with several references equating herself with Obama - that they are both fighting for change, that they are each winning states. Clinton is clearly trying to paint a picture that the race for the nominee is also 'equal' - thus legitimating her staying in the race through June 3rd.

12:10 a.m. (99% reporting)
Clinton = 51%
Obama = 49%

Clinton is declared the 'apparent winner' of the Indiana primary by NBC News.

Previous post: Final IN / NC Polls; Live Blog Tonight
Next post: Live Blog: North Carolina Primary


Remains of the Data

Which States Own the Best Track Record in Backing Eventual GOP Presidential Nominees?

Nine states (each with primaries) have an unblemished record in voting for the eventual Republican nominee since 1976 - and not all host contests on the back end of the calendar.

Political Crumbs

Evolving?

When Scott Walker "punted" back in February after being asked if he was comfortable with the idea of evolution he added, "That's a question a politician shouldn't be involved in one way or the other." However, it may very well be a question that is asked at one of the upcoming GOP debates this year. In South Carolina during the first GOP debate in 2012, FOX News' Juan Williams asked Tim Pawlenty, "Do you equate the teaching of creationism with the teaching of evolution as the basis for what should be taught for our nation's schools?" Pawlenty replied, "There should be room in the curriculum for study of intelligent design" but that it was up to the local school districts if it should be in a science class or comparative theory class. At the fourth Republican debate held in California, Jon Huntsman addressed the GOP becoming "anti-science" thusly: "Listen, when you make comments that fly in the face of what 98 out of 100 climate scientists have said, when you call into question the science of evolution, all I'm saying is that, in order for the Republican Party to win, we can't run from science. We can't run from mainstream conservative philosophy."


73 Months and Counting

January's preliminary Bureau of Labor Statistics numbers show Minnesota's unemployment rate of 3.7 percent was once again lower than Wisconsin's 5.0 percent. That marks the 73rd consecutive month in which Minnesota has boasted a lower jobless rate than its neighbor to the east dating back to January 2009 including each of the last 67 months by at least one point. The Gopher State has now edged Wisconsin in the employment border battle for 204 of the last 216 months dating back to February 1997. Wisconsin only managed a lower unemployment rate than Minnesota for the 12 months of 2008 during this 18-year span.


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