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Live Blog: North Carolina Primary

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6:30 p.m. MSNBC, Fox News, and CNN all project Barack Obama will win the Tar Heel State. Obama has now carried 27 states, plus the Texas caucus, District of Columbia, Virgin Islands, and Guam. Obama narrowly won Guam last Saturday.

6:40 p.m. New polls were released today in Kentucky, which will hold its primary in two weeks, by Rasmussen and SurveyUSA. Rasmussen's poll of 800 likely voters has Clinton up 56 to 31 percent. SurveyUSA's poll of 595 likely voters has Clinton up 62 to 28 percent.

6:42 p.m. MSNBC is calling Obama's victory in North Carolina "decisive."

7:09 p.m. (5% reporting)
Obama = 65%
Clinton = 34%

7:20 p.m. (9% reporting)
Obama = 64%
Clinton = 34%

Obama has been waiting for good news like he received tonight in North Carolina for weeks. At last the junior Senator from Illinois can bask in some positive media coverage and stand on equal footing again with Clinton, or perhaps even put her on the defensive, pending the margin of victory tonight.

7:30 p.m. (13% reporting)
Obama = 64%
Clinton = 34%

7:44 p.m. (17% reporting)
Obama = 62%
Clinton = 36%

8:05 p.m. (25% reporting)
Obama = 60%
Clinton = 38%

Obama's lead is beginning to decline, as votes come in outside of Obama country (e.g. Durham, Wake, and Guilford Counties). Will Clinton lose by less than 10 points?

8:08 p.m. (28% reporting)
Obama = 59%
Clinton = 39%

8:30 p.m. (46% reporting)
Obama = 57%
Clinton = 41%

8:51 p.m. (59% reporting)
Obama = 56%
Clinton = 42%

9:05 p.m. (69% reporting)
Obama = 56%
Clinton = 42%

9:30 p.m. (80% reporting)
Obama = 56%
Clinton = 42%

9:49 p.m. (87% reporting)
Obama = 56%
Clinton = 42%

12:10 a.m. (99% reporting)
Obama = 56%
Clinton = 42%

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Remains of the Data

The Longest-Held Republican US Senate Seats

Kansas, Idaho, Utah, and Wyoming claim seven of the Top 10 spots on the list.

Political Crumbs

Curse of the '4'?

Big-name Republicans are not coming out of the woodwork yet to challenge Al Franken in Minnesota's 2014 U.S. Senate race, and there is not much chatter of the GOP picking off one of the five DFL-held U.S. House seats either. Over the last century, Minnesota Republican U.S. House candidates have not fared all that well in cycles ending in '4' - losing seats in five of these cycles (1914, 1924, 1944, 1954, 1974), holding serve in four others (1964, 1984, 1994, 2004), and gaining seats just one time (1934, after redistricting had been delayed one cycle with all nine seats voted at-large in 1932). Perhaps the Republican Party's best chance for a pick up in the Gopher State in 2014 is if 12-term Democrat Collin Peterson retires after nearly a quarter century on Capitol Hill. The 7th CD has the second largest GOP lean in the state.


Seasoned Senators in Wisconsin

Of the 15 men and women that have served in the U.S. Senate from Wisconsin since popular vote elections were introduced a century ago, Ron Johnson and Tammy Baldwin rank among the oldest upon first entering the chamber. Johnson began his tenure at the age of 55 years, 8 months, and 26 days in January 2011, which is the oldest of any elected Wisconsin Senator during this popular vote era. The next oldest, Alexander Wiley, was more than one year younger when he took his seat in 1939 (54 years, 7 months, 8 days). Tammy Baldwin comes in at #6 being 50 years, 10 months, and 23 days when she took office in January of this year. The youngest elected Senator from the Badger State was Robert La Follette, Jr. at 30 years, 7 months, and 24 days (1925) when he took the seat of his legendary deceased father.


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