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Live Blog: North Carolina Primary

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6:30 p.m. MSNBC, Fox News, and CNN all project Barack Obama will win the Tar Heel State. Obama has now carried 27 states, plus the Texas caucus, District of Columbia, Virgin Islands, and Guam. Obama narrowly won Guam last Saturday.

6:40 p.m. New polls were released today in Kentucky, which will hold its primary in two weeks, by Rasmussen and SurveyUSA. Rasmussen's poll of 800 likely voters has Clinton up 56 to 31 percent. SurveyUSA's poll of 595 likely voters has Clinton up 62 to 28 percent.

6:42 p.m. MSNBC is calling Obama's victory in North Carolina "decisive."

7:09 p.m. (5% reporting)
Obama = 65%
Clinton = 34%

7:20 p.m. (9% reporting)
Obama = 64%
Clinton = 34%

Obama has been waiting for good news like he received tonight in North Carolina for weeks. At last the junior Senator from Illinois can bask in some positive media coverage and stand on equal footing again with Clinton, or perhaps even put her on the defensive, pending the margin of victory tonight.

7:30 p.m. (13% reporting)
Obama = 64%
Clinton = 34%

7:44 p.m. (17% reporting)
Obama = 62%
Clinton = 36%

8:05 p.m. (25% reporting)
Obama = 60%
Clinton = 38%

Obama's lead is beginning to decline, as votes come in outside of Obama country (e.g. Durham, Wake, and Guilford Counties). Will Clinton lose by less than 10 points?

8:08 p.m. (28% reporting)
Obama = 59%
Clinton = 39%

8:30 p.m. (46% reporting)
Obama = 57%
Clinton = 41%

8:51 p.m. (59% reporting)
Obama = 56%
Clinton = 42%

9:05 p.m. (69% reporting)
Obama = 56%
Clinton = 42%

9:30 p.m. (80% reporting)
Obama = 56%
Clinton = 42%

9:49 p.m. (87% reporting)
Obama = 56%
Clinton = 42%

12:10 a.m. (99% reporting)
Obama = 56%
Clinton = 42%

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Next post: Will West Virignia and Kentucky Make A Difference for Clinton?

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Remains of the Data

Plurality-Winning Governors Elected At Century-Long High Water Mark

The rate of gubernatorial candidates elected without the support of a majority of voters is at its highest level since the 1910s.

Political Crumbs

Seeing Red

Congressman Nick Rahall's failed bid for a 20th term in West Virginia this cycle, combined with a narrow loss by Nick Casey to Alex Mooney in Shelley Moore Capito's open seat, means that West Virginia Democrats will be shut out of the state's U.S. House delegation for the first time in over 90 years. The Republican sweep by two-term incumbent David McKinley in the 1st CD, Mooney in the 2nd, and Evan Jenkins over Rahall in the 3rd marks the first time the GOP has held all seats in the chamber from West Virginia since the Election of 1920. During the 67th Congress (1921-1923) all six seats from the state were controlled by the GOP. Since the Election of 1922, Democrats have won 76 percent of all U.S. House elections in the Mountain State - capturing 172 seats compared to 54 for the GOP.


Home Field Advantage?

When the 114th Congress convenes in a few days, Maine will be represented by one home-grown U.S. Representative: Waterville-born Republican Bruce Poliquin. With the departure of Millinocket-born Mike Michaud, who launched a failed gubernatorial bid, the Pine Tree State was poised to send a House delegation to D.C. without any Maine-born members for the first time since 1821. Three-term U.S. Rep. Chellie Pingree (born in Minnesota) coasted to reelection as expected, however Poliquin edged Kentucky-born Emily Cain by 5.3 points to keep the streak alive. Since 1876, a total of 208 of the 222 candidates elected to the nation's lower legislative chamber from the state have been born in Maine, or 94 percent.


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