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Live Blog: West Virginia Primary

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6:30 p.m. CNN characterizes Hillary Clinton will win West Virginia by "a wide margin." MSNBC states exit polls show Clinton will win by a 2:1 margin. Clinton now has won 17 states, plus Florida, Michigan, and American Samoa.

6:36 p.m. An MSNBC reporter following the Clinton campaign states there are "two realities" - the one held by the Clintons and one held by everybody else. The reporter added that the numbers show the race is over, but the actions of the Clintons reveal otherwise.

6:41 p.m. The Fox News exit poll showed Clinton with 68 percent of the vote and Obama with 32 percent.

6:54 p.m. Clinton has now won states totaling 283 Electoral College votes (including Florida, but not Michigan), compared to just 217 for Obama.

7:06 p.m. If Clinton actually pulls off a 2:1 victory over Obama tonight, it will be one of the largest primary margin of victories of the campaign - and the largest for Clinton outside of her home state of Arkansas. The most lopsided primary (not caucus) states so far:

Arkansas: Clinton 70%, Obama 26%
Georgia: Obama 66%, Clinton 31%
Illinois: Obama 65%, Clinton 33%
Virginia: Obama 64%, Clinton 35%
Mississippi: Obama 61%, Clinton 37%
Maryland: Obama 60%, Clinton 37%

7:30 p.m. (1% reporting)
Clinton = 56%
Obama = 36%

7:32 p.m. In an interesting note about the importance of primary rules and procedures, if the Democrats had instituted the "winner-take-all" system that was implemented in several of the Republican primaries, Hillary Clinton would lead Barack Obama in the delegate count 1,688 to 1,376 (excluding Florida and Michigan).

8:00 p.m. (9% reporting)
Clinton = 60%
Obama = 34%

8:05 p.m. MSNBC anchor Keith Olbermann just suggested Clinton's continued fundraising activities are a "scam," because she has no chance to become the Democratic Party's nominee. MSNBC has been criticized routinely this primary season for being "in the tank" for Barack Obama. No less than Fox News' Bill O'Reilly has rushed to the defense of Hillary Clinton on several occasions this year - drawing contrast to the treatment given to her by MSNBC.

8:06 p.m. (10% reporting)
Clinton = 61%
Obama = 32%

8:15 p.m. (18% reporting)
Clinton = 62%
Obama = 31%

8:20 p.m. (19% reporting)
Clinton = 63%
Obama = 30%

8:28 p.m. (23% reporting)
Clinton = 63%
Obama = 30%

8:36 p.m. MSNBC anchor Chris Matthews is now referring to the reality of the Clintons as "Hillaryland."

8:40 p.m. (28% reporting)
Clinton = 64%
Obama = 29%

8:47 p.m. (35% reporting)
Clinton = 64%
Obama = 29%

9:16 p.m. (54% reporting)
Clinton = 65%
Obama = 28%

Clinton's margin of victory is flirting with 40 points as we pass the halfway mark in precincts reporting. It appears Obama made absolutely no inroads among West Virginia voters during the past week, in which polls showed Clinton with a 30 to 40 point lead.

9:50 p.m. (64% reporting)
Clinton = 66%
Obama = 27%

10:14 p.m. (72% reporting)
Clinton = 66%
Obama = 27%

Clinton has just passed the 100,000 net vote advantage over Obama in West Virginia's primary with 28 percent of the precincts yet to report.

10:39 p.m. (81% reporting)
Clinton = 67%
Obama = 26%

With more than four-fifths of precincts reporting, Clinton's lead now rests at 41 points.

10:48 p.m. (84% reporting)
Clinton = 67%
Obama = 26%

11:02 p.m. (90% reporting)
Clinton = 67%
Obama = 26%

11:30 p.m. (93% reporting)
Clinton = 67%
Obama = 26%

Previous post: West Virginia Primary Results Live Blog Tonight
Next post: The Numbers: West Virginia, Kentucky, Oregon and Beyond

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Remains of the Data

Gender Equality in the US House: A State-by State Quarter-Century Report Card (1989-2014)

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Political Crumbs

Final Four Has Presidential Approval

By edging Michigan in the final seconds Sunday, the University of Kentucky guaranteed that one school in the Final Four this year would be located in a state that was not carried by President Barack Obama in 2012. (Connecticut, Florida, and Wisconsin had previously earned Final Four slots over the weekend). Across the 76 Final Fours since 1939, an average of 3.1 schools have been located in states won by the president's ticket during the previous election cycle. All four schools have come from states won by the president 29 times, with the most recent being the 2009 Final Four featuring Connecticut, Michigan State, North Carolina, and Villanova. On 30 occasions three Final Four schools have been located in states won by the president, with two schools 11 times and only one school six times (the most recent being 2012 with Kansas, Kentucky, Louisville, and Ohio State). There has never been a Men's NCAA Division I Final Four in which no schools were located in states carried by the president's ticket.


Three for the Road

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