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Live Blog: Montana Primary

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9:00 p.m. CNN, Fox News, and MSNBC have all called the state of Montana for Barack Obama. Obama ends the primary campaign with victories in 29 states, plus the District of Columbia, Virgin Islands, and Guam. Obama also won the Texas caucus. Clinton ended up winning 20 states plus Michigan, American Samoa, and Puerto Rico.

9:36 p.m.Obama ended up winning states with a cumulative Electoral Vote total of 227, compared to 294 for Clinton (excluding Michigan). Clinton was greatly aided by winning the highly populated states of California, New York, Texas, Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and New Jersey. The state with the largest number of Electoral College votes won by Obama was his home state of Illinois.

9:40 p.m. (3% reporting)
Obama = 55%
Clinton = 42%
No preference = 3%

9:46 p.m. (9% reporting)
Obama = 58%
Clinton = 39%
No preference = 3%

11:27 p.m. (39% reporting)
Obama = 58%
Clinton = 40%
No preference = 2%

It appears Obama will net more votes than Clinton by the evening's end with his growing advantage in Montana.

8:38 a.m. (100% reporting)
Obama = 57%
Clinton = 41%
No preference = 2%

Obama won approximately 27,5000 more votes than Clinton in Montana.

The total Montana Democratic primary turnout of 181,401 voters (40.3 percent of the 2004 general election vote) was just 1,223 votes more than Smart Politics' estimated turnout of 40.0 percent of the 2004 general election vote (180,178 votes).

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Remains of the Data

No Free Passes: States With 2 Major Party Candidates in Every US House Race

Indiana has now placed candidates from both major parties on the ballot in a nation-best 189 consecutive U.S. House races, with New Hampshire, Minnesota, Idaho, and Montana also north of 100 in a row.

Political Crumbs

Gubernatorial Highs and Lows

Two sitting governors currently hold the record for the highest gubernatorial vote ever received in their respective states by a non-incumbent: Republican Matt Mead of Wyoming (65.7 percent in 2010) and outgoing GOPer Dave Heineman of Nebraska (73.4 percent in 2006). Republican Gary Herbert of Utah had not previously won a gubernatorial contest when he notched a state record 64.1 percent for his first victory in 2010, but was an incumbent at the time after ascending to the position in 2009 after the early departure of Jon Huntsman. Meanwhile, two sitting governors hold the record in their states for the lowest mark ever recorded by a winning gubernatorial candidate (incumbent or otherwise): independent-turned-Democrat Lincoln Chafee of Rhode Island (36.1 percent in 2010) and Democrat Terry McAuliffe of Virginia (47.8 percent in 2013).


An Idaho Six Pack

Two-term Idaho Republican Governor Butch Otter only polled at 39 percent in a recent PPP survey of the state's 2014 race - just four points ahead of Democratic businessman A.J. Balukoff. Otter's low numbers reflect his own struggles as a candidate (witness his weak primary win against State Senator Russ Fulcher) combined with the opportunity for disgruntled Idahoans to cast their votes for one of four third party and independent candidates, who collectively received the support of 12 percent of likely voters: Libertarian John Bujak, the Constitution Party's Steve Pankey, and independents Jill Humble and Pro-Life (aka Marvin Richardson). The six candidate options in a gubernatorial race sets an all-time record in the Gem State across the 46 elections conducted since statehood. The previous high water mark of five candidates was reached in seven previous cycles: 1902, 1904, 1908, 1912, 1914, 1966, and 2010.


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