Go to HHH home page.
Smart Politics
 


Live Blog: South Dakota Primary

Bookmark and Share

8:00 p.m. CNN, MSNBC, and Fox News have all called Barack Obama the presumptive nominee of the Democratic Party, having culled together enough superdelegates today and enough votes (> 30 percent) in South Dakota.

8:06 p.m. (9% reporting)
Clinton = 56%
Obama = 44%

8:12 p.m. Fox News has called South Dakota for Hillary Clinton (as projected by Smart Politics months ago - in the face of near universal dissent among political pundits and media commentators). This is Clinton's 20th victory plus Michigan, Puerto Rico, and American Samoa.

8:15 p.m. (14% reporting)
Clinton = 55%
Obama = 45%

8:19 p.m. (17% reporting)
Clinton = 56%
Obama = 44%

8:21 p.m. (19% reporting)
Clinton = 57%
Obama = 43%

MSNBC has now called South Dakota for Clinton. Their liberal commentators were at first shocked and then dismissive - stating the Clinton's had campaigned "vigorously" there. There is no mention, naturally, that the network got this state wrong - dead wrong - for the past month.

8:24 p.m. Now CNN has called South Dakota for Clinton.

8:27 p.m. (22% reporting)
Clinton = 56%
Obama = 44%

8:37 p.m. (29% reporting)
Clinton = 56%
Obama = 44%

Clinton has now picked up approximately 4,000 votes so far.

8:38 p.m. In Clinton's speech to supporters, she is quick to mention she has won more votes than any other primary candidate in U.S. electoral history (math which, at this point, indicates she is including Michigan in the total).

8:45 p.m. With her victory in South Dakota, Clinton has now won states with 294 cumulative Electoral College votes, 31 percent more than the states Obama has carried (224 Electoral College votes).

8:53 p.m. (38% reporting)
Clinton = 56%
Obama = 44%

Clinton has now picked up approximately 5,000 votes on Obama thus far.

8:57 p.m. (41% reporting)
Clinton = 56%
Obama = 44%

9:09 p.m. (45% reporting)
Clinton = 56%
Obama = 44%

Clinton has picked up 6,200 votes so far in South Dakota, but Obama may win that back in Montana and then some.

9:23 p.m. (50% reporting)
Clinton = 56%
Obama = 44%

Clinton is currently on pace to pick up 13,000 votes in South Dakota.

9:34 p.m. (62% reporting)
Clinton = 56%
Obama = 44%

9:58 p.m. (73% reporting)
Clinton = 56%
Obama = 44%

11:28 p.m. (98% reporting)
Clinton = 55%
Obama = 45%

8:38 a.m. (100% reporting)
Clinton = 55%
Obama = 45%

While Clinton's victory in South Dakota came as a surprise to many, the only surprise at Smart Politics was that she won by just 10,453 votes. Although South Dakota officials were bracing for a record turnout, just 25.2 percent of the 2004 general election turnout voted in the Democratic primary - far short of the 40.2 percent in Montana. It is unclear if Hillary Clinton supporters (in both states) were discouraged from voting after false news reports spread over the media that Clinton would be conceding the nomination and dropping out of the race in her speech Tuesday night. That, of course, did not happen.

Previous post: South Dakota and Montana Preview; ARG Finds Clinton Up 26 Points in SD
Next post: Live Blog: Montana Primary

Leave a comment


Remains of the Data

Which States Own the Best Track Record in Backing Eventual GOP Presidential Nominees?

Nine states (each with primaries) have an unblemished record in voting for the eventual Republican nominee since 1976 - and not all host contests on the back end of the calendar.

Political Crumbs

Evolving?

When Scott Walker "punted" back in February after being asked if he was comfortable with the idea of evolution he added, "That's a question a politician shouldn't be involved in one way or the other." However, it may very well be a question that is asked at one of the upcoming GOP debates this year. In South Carolina during the first GOP debate in 2012, FOX News' Juan Williams asked Tim Pawlenty, "Do you equate the teaching of creationism with the teaching of evolution as the basis for what should be taught for our nation's schools?" Pawlenty replied, "There should be room in the curriculum for study of intelligent design" but that it was up to the local school districts if it should be in a science class or comparative theory class. At the fourth Republican debate held in California, Jon Huntsman addressed the GOP becoming "anti-science" thusly: "Listen, when you make comments that fly in the face of what 98 out of 100 climate scientists have said, when you call into question the science of evolution, all I'm saying is that, in order for the Republican Party to win, we can't run from science. We can't run from mainstream conservative philosophy."


73 Months and Counting

January's preliminary Bureau of Labor Statistics numbers show Minnesota's unemployment rate of 3.7 percent was once again lower than Wisconsin's 5.0 percent. That marks the 73rd consecutive month in which Minnesota has boasted a lower jobless rate than its neighbor to the east dating back to January 2009 including each of the last 67 months by at least one point. The Gopher State has now edged Wisconsin in the employment border battle for 204 of the last 216 months dating back to February 1997. Wisconsin only managed a lower unemployment rate than Minnesota for the 12 months of 2008 during this 18-year span.


more POLITICAL CRUMBS

Humphrey School Sites
CSPG
Humphrey New Media Hub

Issues />

<div id=
Abortion
Afghanistan
Budget and taxes
Campaign finances
Crime and punishment
Economy and jobs
Education
Energy
Environment
Foreign affairs
Gender
Health
Housing
Ideology
Immigration
Iraq
Media
Military
Partisanship
Race and ethnicity
Reapportionment
Redistricting
Religion
Sexuality
Sports
Terrorism
Third parties
Transportation
Voting