Go to HHH home page.
Smart Politics
 


Obama Support Falls To Lowest Mark Against McCain in Rasmussen’s Minnesota Polling

Bookmark and Share

As recent state polls across the country indicate a tightening of the presidential race in favor of John McCain, a new Rasmussen poll of 700 likely Minnesota voters finds support for Obama at its lowest margin to date across nine polls conducted by the survey organization since February 2008. The Illinois Senator is also enduring his lowest favorability rating in the state, while McCain’s numbers are on the rise.

The Rasmussen poll, conducted August 13th, gives Obama a 46 to 42 percent lead over McCain. Obama has led McCain in all nine Rasmussen surveys released over the past seven months, but 46 percent is a low water mark for Obama – down from 53 percent in May, to 52 percent in June and early July, to 49 percent in late July. Obama’s lead over McCain has subsequently decreased from a double-digit margin in five straight polls to just 4 points in the new August poll.

McCain, meanwhile, eclipsed the 40 percent mark for just the third time in Rasmussen’s on-going matchup surveys. In other good news for McCain, his favorability rating has climbed to 60 percent – rising steadily from 52 percent in May, to 54 percent in June, to 56 percent in early July, to 57 percent in late July.

Obama, meanwhile, has seen his favorability rating drop to 56 percent – its lowest mark ever as measured by Rasmussen, falling precipitously from 65 percent in early July to 60 percent in late July.

Previous post: Will GOP Controversy Put 16th Senate District In Play for the DFL?
Next post: Third Parties Garnering Support In Key Statewide Races

Leave a comment


Remains of the Data

Kevin McCarthy Becomes Least Tenured Floor Leader in US House History

At less than four terms, McCarthy has served 423 fewer days in the chamber than any floor leader in U.S. House history and almost 10 years less than the average leader.

Political Crumbs

The Second Time Around

Former Republican Congressman Bob Beauprez became the seventh major party or second place gubernatorial candidate in Colorado to get a second chance at the office when he narrowly won his party's nomination last month. Two of the previous six candidates were successful. Democrat Alva Adams lost his first gubernatorial bid to Benjamin Eaton in 1884, but was victorious two years later against William Meyer. Democrat Charles Johnson placed third in 1894 behind Republican Albert McIntyre and Populist incumbent Governor David Waite but returned as the Fusion (Democrat/Populist) nominee in 1898 and defeated GOPer Henry Wolcott. Gubernatorial candidates who received a second chance but lost both general elections include Democrat Thomas Patterson (1888, 1914), Progressive Edward Costigan (1912, 1914), Republican Donald Brotzman (1954, 1956), and Republican David Strickland (1978, 1986).


How Are the Plurality Winners Doing?

Nearly 40 percent of plurality winners of U.S. Senate elections lose their seat in the next election cycle. Will that happen to any of the three such incumbents on the ballot in 2014? Recent polling suggests Democrats Al Franken of Minnesota, Mark Begich of Alaska, and Jeff Merkley of Oregon all currently have an advantage over their nominated/frontrunning GOP opponents, but each is flirting with plurality support once again. Franken led endorsed GOPer Mike McFadden 48 to 42 percent in a new SurveyUSA poll while the polling group showed Merkley with a 50 to 32 percent advantage over Monica Wehby. Begich led each of the three major GOP candidates in last month's PPP survey: 42 to 37 percent over Daniel Sullivan, 41 to 33 percent over Mead Treadwell, and 43 to 27 percent over Joe Miller.


more POLITICAL CRUMBS

Humphrey School Sites
CSPG
Humphrey New Media Hub

Issues />

<div id=
Abortion
Afghanistan
Budget and taxes
Campaign finances
Crime and punishment
Economy and jobs
Education
Energy
Environment
Foreign affairs
Gender
Health
Housing
Ideology
Immigration
Iraq
Media
Military
Partisanship
Race and ethnicity
Reapportionment
Redistricting
Religion
Sexuality
Sports
Terrorism
Third parties
Transportation
Voting