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Smart Politics
 


October 2008


Humphrey Institute / MPR Poll: Franken and Coleman in Tight Race

The final Humphrey Institute / Minnesota Public Radio poll of Minnesota's U.S. Senate race gives DFL nominee Al Franken a narrow 41 to 37 percent lead over Republican incumbent Norm Coleman. Independence Party candidate Dean Barkley received 17 percent. From the Humphrey Institute's Center for the Study of Politics and...

DFL Tries to Make History in U.S. House Races

As pundits weigh in on their pre-Election Day predictions, a great deal of attention has turned to the Gopher State – not only for its high profile Senate race, but also due to its two competitive U.S. House races in the 3rd and 6th Districts. The DFL plan to sweep...

Humphrey Institute / MPR Poll: Obama Surging in Minnesota

The latest Humphrey Institute / Minnesota Public Radio poll conducted October 24-28 of 451 likely voters in the Gopher State finds Barack Obama with a commanding 19-point lead, 56 to 37 percent over John McCain. The 19-point advantage matches the largest lead for Obama ever measured by a non-partisan pollster...

Franken Losing His Grip on Obama's Coattails

A new Senate poll by Rasmussen released on Wednesday gave a boost of confidence to Norm Coleman’s re-election campaign, with the Senior Senator from Minnesota leading Al Franken by a 43 to 39 percent margin. Dean Barkley received the support of 14 percent of the 500 likely voters surveyed on...

Third CD Race in Minnesota Stil Deadlocked

One of the most high profile and competitive U.S. House races in the country appears to be going down to the wire – according to a new SurveyUSA poll of 643 likely voters in Minnesota’s 3rd Congressional District. The new poll, conducted October 26-27, finds Republican Erik Paulsen with a...

Election Profile: Minnesota U.S. Senate

Smart Politics is running a series of election profiles of all the Upper Midwestern U.S. Senate and U.S. House races leading up to the November 4th elections. The series will culminate with Smart Politics' official projections. The twenty-fifth profile in the series is Minnesota’s U.S. Senate race. Candidates: Republican: Norm...

Election Profile: Minnesota's 8th Congressional District (2008)

Smart Politics is running a series of election profiles of all the Upper Midwestern U.S. Senate and U.S. House races leading up to the November 4th elections. The series will culminate with Smart Politics' official projections. The twenty-fourth profile in the series is Minnesota's 8th Congressional District race. Candidates: DFL:...

Election Profile: Minnesota's 7th Congressional District (2008)

Smart Politics is running a series of election profiles of all the Upper Midwestern U.S. Senate and U.S. House races leading up to the November 4th elections. The series will culminate with Smart Politics' official projections. The twenty-third profile in the series is Minnesota's 7th Congressional District race. Candidates: DFL:...

Election Profile: Minnesota's 6th Congressional District (2008)

Smart Politics is running a series of election profiles of all the Upper Midwestern U.S. Senate and U.S. House races leading up to the November 4th elections. The series will culminate with Smart Politics' official projections. The twenty-second profile in the series is Minnesota's 6th Congressional District race. Candidates: Republican:...

Democratic-Led Iowa U.S. House Delegation a Rarity

Iowa Democrats are poised to return to the U.S. House as the majority delegation in back-to-back elections for just the fourth time in the history of the Hawkeye State. If reelected, the state’s Democratic U.S. Representatives (Bruce Braley from the 1st District, David Loebsack from the 2nd District, and Leonard...

Humphrey Institute / MPR Poll: Bachmann Fighting for Political Life in MN-06

A new poll released today by the Humphrey Institute of Public Affairs and Minnesota Public Radio of Minnesota’s 6th Congressional District finds 1-term Republican incumbent Michele Bachmann in a dead head with DFL challenger Elwyn Tinklenberg. Bachmann trails Tinklenberg 45 to 43 percent (within the polls 4.7 percent margin of...

“Landslide? Indicators

Dozens of polls are now released each day on the presidential race, with the media focus largely being on whether or not John McCain is making any gains in the battleground states he needs to hold (namely, holding Florida, Ohio, North Carolina, and Virginia) and/or pick up (Pennsylvania). Campaigns on...

Michele Bachmann Still Courting the National Media

Michele Bachmann, a cable television fixture this year with multiple appearances on Larry King Live, is hitting TV and radio programs hard to get her side of the Chris Matthews controversy across the airwaves, during which she questioned whether Barack Obama and other members of Congress were “anti-American.? But...

Live Blog: Norm Coleman on Energy Independence

11:55 a.m. In the sixth of a series of candidate forums sponsored by the Center for the Study of Politics and Governance at the University of Minnesota's Humphrey Institute, Republican U.S. Senate candidate Norm Coleman is giving a speech entitled, "The Bipartisan Path to Energy Independence." Ed Morrissey from Hot...

CSPG Report: Voter Registration Declines in Many States

A new report released by the Center for the Study of Politics and Governance was released today that finds – contrary to press accounts of a surge in voter registration across the country – that a large number of states have seen their voter rolls decline or flatten since the...

Live Blog: Al Franken on the Economy

1:00 p.m. In the fifth of a series of candidate forums sponsored by the Center for the Study of Politics and Governance at the University of Minnesota's Humphrey Institute, DFL U.S. Senate candidate Al Franken is giving a speech entitled, "An Economy That Works for the Middle Class." 1:05 p.m.Humphrey...

Election Profile: Minnesota's 5th Congressional District (2008)

Smart Politics is running a series of election profiles of all the Upper Midwestern U.S. Senate and U.S. House races leading up to the November 4th elections. The series will culminate with Smart Politics' official projections. The twenty-first profile in the series is Minnesota's 5th Congressional District race. Candidates: DFL:...

Election Profile: Minnesota's 4th Congressional District (2008)

Smart Politics is running a series of election profiles of all the Upper Midwestern U.S. Senate and U.S. House races leading up to the November 4th elections. The series will culminate with Smart Politics' official projections. The twentieth profile in the series is Minnesota's 4th Congressional District race. Candidates: DFL:...

Will the DFL Reach 90 Seats in the Minnesota House?

As detailed in a report released today that I co-authored with Larry Jacobs at the Center for the Study of Politics and Governance, the DFL is fighting to reach a veto-proof 90 seat supermajority in this November’s election. Gaining a net five seats would mean the DFL (which already has...

Election Profile: Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District (2008)

Smart Politics is running a series of election profiles of all the Upper Midwestern U.S. Senate and U.S. House races leading up to the November 4th elections. The series will culminate with Smart Politics' official projections. The nineteenth profile in the series is Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District race. Candidates: Republican:...

Live Blog: David Dillon, Independence Party 3rd CD Candidate

12:00 p.m. In the fourth of a series of candidate forums sponsored by the Center for the Study of Politics and Governance at the University of Minnesota's Humphrey Institute, Independence Party 3rd Congressional District candidate David Dillon is giving a speech entitled, "The Congressional Role in Creating the Next Long...

Election Profile: Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District (2008)

Smart Politics is running a series of election profiles of all the Upper Midwestern U.S. Senate and U.S. House races leading up to the November 4th elections. The series will culminate with Smart Politics' official projections. The eighteenth profile in the series is Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District race. Candidates: Republican:...

Al Franken to Participate in Humphrey Candidate Forum Next Week

DFL U.S. Senate nominee Al Franken will participate in the Humphrey Institute’s Candidate Forum series, hosted by the Center for the Study of Politics and Governance. Franken will speak on Wednesday, October 22nd, at the Humphrey Forum from 1:00 - 2:15 p.m. His speech is entitled, "An Economy That Works...

Election Profile: Minnesota's 1st Congressional District (2008)

Smart Politics is running a series of election profiles of all the Upper Midwestern U.S. Senate and U.S. House races leading up to the November 4th elections. The series will culminate with Smart Politics' official projections. The seventeenth profile in the series is Minnesota's 1st Congressional District race. Candidates: DFL:...

Senator Norm Coleman to Participate in Humphrey Institute Candidate Forum Series

Republican Senator Norm Coleman will participate in the Humphrey Institute’s candidate forum series, hosted by the Center for the Study of Politics and Governance. Coleman will speak on Thursday, October 23rd, at Cowles Auditorium from 12:00 - 1:15 p.m. Past speakers include Independence Party Senate candidate Dean Barkley, and 3rd...

Election Profile: Wisconsin's 8th Congressional District (2008)

Smart Politics is running a series of election profiles of all the Upper Midwestern U.S. Senate and U.S. House races leading up to the November 4th elections. The series will culminate with Smart Politics' official projections. The sixteenth profile in the series is Wisconsin's 8th Congressional District race. Candidates: Democrat:...

Live Blog: Erik Paulsen, GOP 3rd CD Candidate

12:00 p.m. In the third of a series of candidate forums sponsored by the Center for the Study of Politics and Governance at the University of Minnesota's Humphrey Institute, GOP 3rd Congressional District candidate Erik Paulsen is giving a speech entitled, "Why We Need Forward Thinking Leaders to Solve the...

Live Blog: Ashwin Madia, DFL-3rd CD candidate

12:00 p.m. In the second series of candidate forums sponsored by the Center for the Study of Politics and Governance at the University of Minnesota's Humphrey Institute, DFL 3rd Congressional District candidate Ashwin Madia is giving a speech entitled, "Green Technology, Green Power, and Greenbacks: A Plan to Protect Our...

Election Profile: Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District (2008)

Smart Politics is running a series of election profiles of all the Upper Midwestern U.S. Senate and U.S. House races leading up to the November 4th elections. The series will culminate with Smart Politics' official projections. The fifteenth profile in the series is Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District race. Candidates: Democrat:...

Election Profile: Wisconsin's 6th Congressional District (2008)

Smart Politics is running a series of election profiles of all the Upper Midwestern U.S. Senate and U.S. House races leading up to the November 4th elections. The series will culminate with Smart Politics' official projections. The fourteenth profile in the series is Wisconsin's 6th Congressional District race. Candidates: Republican:...

Humphrey Institute Candidate Forums: Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District

The Center for the Study of Politics and Governance and the Graduate and Professional Student Assembly are cosponsoring a series of public forums with the major party candidates for Minnesota’s 3rd Congressional District to foster informed and substantive discussion of important matters of public policy. The forums create an opportunity...

Election Profile: Wisconsin's 5th Congressional District (2008)

Smart Politics is running a series of election profiles of all the Upper Midwestern U.S. Senate and U.S. House races leading up to the November 4th elections. The series will culminate with Smart Politics' official projections. The thirteenth profile in the series is Wisconsin's 5th Congressional District race. Candidates: Republican:...

Live Blog: Dean Barkley on Political Polarization

12:07 p.m. Dean Barkley, founder of the Independence Party, is giving a speech this afternoon at the Humphrey Institute entitled, "The Polarization of Our Political Parties." Barkley has polled as high as 19 percent during this past week in the U.S. Senate matchup against Republican Norm Coleman and DFL-er Al...

Election Profile: Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District (2008)

Smart Politics is running a series of election profiles of all the Upper Midwestern U.S. Senate and U.S. House races leading up to the November 4th elections. The series will culminate with Smart Politics' official projections. The twelfth profile in the series is Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District race. Candidates: Democrat:...

HHH / MPR News Poll – Obama Propelled by Financial Crisis and VP Debate

From the Center for the Study of Politics and Governance press release: “According to two Minnesota Public Radio News and Humphrey Institute polls of likely Minnesota voters, the extraordinary financial crisis and the resulting congressional response along with the Vice Presidential debate propelled the Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama from...

Election Profile: Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District (2008)

Smart Politics is running a series of election profiles of all the Upper Midwestern U.S. Senate and U.S. House races leading up to the November 4th elections. The series will culminate with Smart Politics' official projections. The eleventh profile in the series is Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District race. Candidates: Democrat:...

Bias or Accuracy in the Star Tribune’s Minnesota Poll?

This weekend’s polling numbers by the Star Tribune’s Minnesota Poll that found Barack Obama up by 18 points over John McCain and Al Franken up by 9 points over Norm Coleman turned many heads in the Gopher State, and received harsh critiques by the right-wing blogosphere (as well as the...

Election Profile: Wisconsin's 2nd Congressional District (2008)

Smart Politics is running a series of election profiles of all the Upper Midwestern U.S. Senate and U.S. House races leading up to the November 4th elections. The series will culminate with Smart Politics' official projections. The tenth profile in the series is Wisconsin's 2nd Congressional District race. Candidates: Democrat:...

Election Profile: Wisconsin's 1st Congressional District (2008)

Smart Politics is running a series of election profiles of all the Upper Midwestern U.S. Senate and U.S. House races leading up to the November 4th elections. The series will culminate with Smart Politics' official projections. The ninth profile in the series is Wisconsin's 1st Congressional District race. Candidates: Republican:...

Election Profile: Iowa U.S. Senate

Smart Politics is running a series of election profiles of all the Upper Midwestern U.S. Senate and U.S. House races leading up to the November 4th elections. The series will culminate with Smart Politics' official projections. The eighth profile in the series is the Iowa U.S. Senate contest. Candidates: Democrat:...

Election Profile: Iowa's 5th Congressional District (2008)

Smart Politics is running a series of election profiles of all the Upper Midwestern U.S. Senate and U.S. House races leading up to the November 4th elections. The series will culminate with Smart Politics' official projections. The seventh profile in the series is Iowa's 5th Congressional District race. Candidates: Republican:...

The Sarah Palin Effect On Undecided Women Voters in Minnesota

Although Senator John McCain’s initial introduction of Governor Sarah Palin as his running mate was met with criticism even from within conservative and Republican circles, Palin has boosted the enthusiasm of Republicans and is appealing to certain women voters. Smart Politics discovered nuanced reactions by women that defy narrow partisan...

Dean Barkley Hits 19 Percent in New Minnesota Senate Poll

Dean Barkey’s numbers continue to rise in the U.S. Senate race in Minnesota, according to a new SurveyUSA poll of 725 likely voters in the Gopher State (conducted September 30 – October 1). In the new survey, Republican Norm Coleman leads DFL-er Al Franken by a 43 to 33 percent...

Election Profile: Iowa's 4th Congressional District (2008)

Smart Politics is running a series of election profiles of all the Upper Midwestern U.S. Senate and U.S. House races leading up to the November 4th elections. The series will culminate with Smart Politics' official projections. The sixth profile in the series is Iowa's 4th Congressional District race. Candidates: Republican:...

Election Profile: Iowa's 3rd Congressional District (2008)

Smart Politics is running a series of election profiles of all the Upper Midwestern U.S. Senate and U.S. House races leading up to the November 4th elections. The series will culminate with Smart Politics' official projections. The fifth profile in the series is Iowa's 3rd Congressional District race. Candidates: Democrat:...

Election Profile: Iowa's 2nd Congressional District (2008)

Smart Politics is running a series of election profiles of all the Upper Midwestern U.S. Senate and U.S. House races leading up to the November 4th elections. The series will culminate with Smart Politics' official projections. The fourth profile in the series is Iowa's 2nd Congressional District race. Candidates: Democrat:...

Upper Midwest Delegation Votes 6-2 As $700 Billion Financial Industry Bailout Sails Through Senate

The United States Senate voted 74 to 25 Wednesday night, in support of a revised bill that would, in part, fund $700 billion in a ‘rescue’ of the financial industry. The Upper Midwest delegation voted 6 to 2 in favor of the bill, with Democrats Russ Feingold and Tim Johnson...

Election Profile: Iowa's 1st Congressional District (2008)

Smart Politics is running a series of election profiles of all the Upper Midwestern U.S. Senate and U.S. House races leading up to the November 4th elections. The series will culminate with Smart Politics' official projections. The third profile in the series is Iowa's 1st Congressional District race. Candidates: Democrat:...

Election Profile: South Dakota U.S. Senate

Smart Politics is running a series of election profiles of all the Upper Midwestern U.S. Senate and U.S. House races leading up to the November 4th elections. The series will culminate with Smart Politics' official projections. The second profile in the series is South Dakota's U.S. Senate race. Candidates: Democrat:...