Go to HHH home page.
Smart Politics
 


MN Senate Recount: Challenges in Franken Territory On the Rise

Bookmark and Share

While the number of challenged ballots has been increasing in the Minnesota U.S. recount during the past week, the rise has not been uniform across the state’s partisan geographic divide.

Smart Politics studied the change in challenged ballots in counties that had completed their recounts between the end of Thursday, November 20th, and Monday, November 24th. During that span, the number of counties that have finished recounts has almost doubled, from 36 last Thursday to 64 today.

Norm Coleman carried 63 of the state’s 87 counties on Election Day, and 48 of his counties have completed recounts. Franken carried 24 counties on November 4th, and 16 of those counties are finished with the recount process.

As documented at Smart Politics, as of last Thursday the ratio of challenged ballots was virtually identical in Franken territory (5.47 challenges per 10,000 ballots) as in Coleman country (5.55 challenges per 10,000 ballots).

Campaign tactics have shifted in recent days, however, with a sharp increase in the number (and percentage) of challenged ballots.

The latest tally, of the 64 counties who have completed recounts, shows an average of 9.30 challenges per 10,000 ballots in the 48 counties won by Coleman, or a 70 percent increase from four days ago. But in the 16 counties won by Franken, the challenged ballot ratio has risen even more: to 10.79 per 10,000 ballots, a 94.4 percent increase from last Thursday.

(The challenge rate is even higher in populous counties who have not yet completed the recount process: 30.78 per 10,000 ballots in Dakota County, 25.77 per 10,000 in Saint Louis County, and 13.45 per 10,000 in Hennepin County.)

Coleman has issued 57 percent of the challenges in counties won by Franken (at a rate of 6.18 per 10,000) while Franken has issued 54 percent of the challenges in counties won by Coleman (at a rate of 5.03 per 10,000).

In sum, the Coleman campaign has been slightly more aggressive in challenging ballots than has Franken in those counties that have completed the recount process.

Challenge Rate By Winner of County

County Winner
Challenge Rate Through 11/20
Challenge Rate Through 11/24
Percent Change
Coleman
5.55
9.30
+70.0%
Franken
5.47
10.79
+94.4%
Note: Challenges per 10,000 ballots in 64 counties that have completed the recount process.



Previous post: Minnesota Unemployment Trend Worst In 22 Years
Next post: Coleman Victory Would Be the Greatest GOP Senate Triumph in Minnesota History

Leave a comment


Remains of the Data

Who Has Won the Most Votes in US Senate Electoral History?

Only three of the Top 10 and nine of the Top 50 vote-getters of all time are currently serving in the chamber.

Political Crumbs

Six for Thirteen

Collin Peterson remarked last month that he is leaning to run for reelection to Minnesota's 7th Congressional District in 2016. If he does and is victorious, he will creep even closer to the top of the list of the longest-serving U.S. Representatives in Minnesota history. The DFL congressman is only the sixth Minnesotan to win at least 13 terms to the U.S. House of the 135 elected to the chamber in state history. Peterson trails 18-term DFLer Jim Oberstar (1975-2011), 16-term Republicans Harold Knutson (1917-1949) and August Andresen (1925-1933; 1935-1958), and 14-term DFLers Martin Sabo (1979-2007) and John Blatnik (1947-1974). Andresen died in office, Sabo and Blatnik retired, and Knutson and Oberstar were defeated at the ballot box in 1948 and 2010 respectively. At 70 years, 7 months, 11 days through Monday, Peterson is currently the ninth oldest Gopher State U.S. Representative in history. DFLer Rick Nolan of the 8th CD is the seventh oldest at 71 years, 1 month, 23 days.


Seeing Red

Congressman Nick Rahall's failed bid for a 20th term in West Virginia this cycle, combined with a narrow loss by Nick Casey to Alex Mooney in Shelley Moore Capito's open seat, means that West Virginia Democrats will be shut out of the state's U.S. House delegation for the first time in over 90 years. The Republican sweep by two-term incumbent David McKinley in the 1st CD, Mooney in the 2nd, and Evan Jenkins over Rahall in the 3rd marks the first time the GOP has held all seats in the chamber from West Virginia since the Election of 1920. During the 67th Congress (1921-1923) all six seats from the state were controlled by the GOP. Since the Election of 1922, Democrats have won 76 percent of all U.S. House elections in the Mountain State - capturing 172 seats compared to 54 for the GOP.


more POLITICAL CRUMBS

Humphrey School Sites
CSPG
Humphrey New Media Hub

Issues />

<div id=
Abortion
Afghanistan
Budget and taxes
Campaign finances
Crime and punishment
Economy and jobs
Education
Energy
Environment
Foreign affairs
Gender
Health
Housing
Ideology
Immigration
Iraq
Media
Military
Partisanship
Race and ethnicity
Reapportionment
Redistricting
Religion
Sexuality
Sports
Terrorism
Third parties
Transportation
Voting