Go to HHH home page.
Smart Politics
 


MN Senate Recount: Challenges in Franken Territory On the Rise

Bookmark and Share

While the number of challenged ballots has been increasing in the Minnesota U.S. recount during the past week, the rise has not been uniform across the state’s partisan geographic divide.

Smart Politics studied the change in challenged ballots in counties that had completed their recounts between the end of Thursday, November 20th, and Monday, November 24th. During that span, the number of counties that have finished recounts has almost doubled, from 36 last Thursday to 64 today.

Norm Coleman carried 63 of the state’s 87 counties on Election Day, and 48 of his counties have completed recounts. Franken carried 24 counties on November 4th, and 16 of those counties are finished with the recount process.

As documented at Smart Politics, as of last Thursday the ratio of challenged ballots was virtually identical in Franken territory (5.47 challenges per 10,000 ballots) as in Coleman country (5.55 challenges per 10,000 ballots).

Campaign tactics have shifted in recent days, however, with a sharp increase in the number (and percentage) of challenged ballots.

The latest tally, of the 64 counties who have completed recounts, shows an average of 9.30 challenges per 10,000 ballots in the 48 counties won by Coleman, or a 70 percent increase from four days ago. But in the 16 counties won by Franken, the challenged ballot ratio has risen even more: to 10.79 per 10,000 ballots, a 94.4 percent increase from last Thursday.

(The challenge rate is even higher in populous counties who have not yet completed the recount process: 30.78 per 10,000 ballots in Dakota County, 25.77 per 10,000 in Saint Louis County, and 13.45 per 10,000 in Hennepin County.)

Coleman has issued 57 percent of the challenges in counties won by Franken (at a rate of 6.18 per 10,000) while Franken has issued 54 percent of the challenges in counties won by Coleman (at a rate of 5.03 per 10,000).

In sum, the Coleman campaign has been slightly more aggressive in challenging ballots than has Franken in those counties that have completed the recount process.

Challenge Rate By Winner of County

County Winner
Challenge Rate Through 11/20
Challenge Rate Through 11/24
Percent Change
Coleman
5.55
9.30
+70.0%
Franken
5.47
10.79
+94.4%
Note: Challenges per 10,000 ballots in 64 counties that have completed the recount process.



Previous post: Minnesota Unemployment Trend Worst In 22 Years
Next post: Coleman Victory Would Be the Greatest GOP Senate Triumph in Minnesota History

Leave a comment


Remains of the Data

Is There a Presidential Drag On Gubernatorial Elections?

Only five of the 20 presidents to serve since 1900 have seen their party win a majority of gubernatorial elections during their administrations, and only one since JFK.

Political Crumbs

Strike Three for Miller-Meeks

Iowa Republicans had a banner day on November 4th, picking up both a U.S. Senate seat and one U.S. House seat, but Mariannette Miller-Meeks' defeat in her third attempt to oust Democrat Dave Loebsack in the 2nd CD means the GOP will not have a monopoly on the state's congressional delegation in the 114th Congress. The loss by Miller-Meeks (following up her defeats in 2008 and 2010) means major party nominees who lost their first two Iowa U.S. House races are now 0 for 10 the third time around in Iowa history. Miller-Meeks joins Democrat William Leffingwell (1858, 1868, 1870), Democrat Anthony Van Wagenen (1894, 1912 (special), 1912), Democrat James Murtagh (1906, 1914, 1916), Democrat Clair Williams (1944, 1946, 1952), Democrat Steven Carter (1948, 1950, 1956), Republican Don Mahon (1966, 1968, 1970), Republican Tom Riley (1968, 1974, 1976), Democrat Eric Tabor (1986, 1988, 1990), and Democrat Bill Gluba (1982, 1988, 2004) on the Hawkeye State's Three Strikes list.


Larry Pressler Wins the Silver

Larry Pressler may have fallen short in his long-shot, underfunded, and understaffed bid to return to the nation's upper legislative chamber, but he did end up notching the best showing for a non-major party South Dakota U.S. Senate candidate in more than 90 years. Pressler won 17.1 percent of the vote which is the best showing for an independent or third party U.S. Senate candidate in the state since 1920 when non-partisan candidate Tom Ayres won 24.1 percent in a race won by Republican Peter Norbeck. Overall, Pressler's 17.1 percent is good for the second best mark for a non-major party candidate across the 35 U.S. Senate contests in South Dakota history. Independent and third party candidates have appeared on the South Dakota U.S. Senate ballot just 25 times over the last century and only three have reached double digits: Pressler in 2014 and Ayres in 1920 and 1924 (12.1 percent). Pressler's defeat means he won't become the oldest candidate elected to the chamber in South Dakota history nor notch the record for the longest gap in service in the direct election era.


more POLITICAL CRUMBS

Humphrey School Sites
CSPG
Humphrey New Media Hub

Issues />

<div id=
Abortion
Afghanistan
Budget and taxes
Campaign finances
Crime and punishment
Economy and jobs
Education
Energy
Environment
Foreign affairs
Gender
Health
Housing
Ideology
Immigration
Iraq
Media
Military
Partisanship
Race and ethnicity
Reapportionment
Redistricting
Religion
Sexuality
Sports
Terrorism
Third parties
Transportation
Voting