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Smart Politics Projections: Federal Races in South Dakota

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Through November 3rd, Smart Politics will be running a series of electoral projections for Upper Midwestern federal and state governmental contests. The second projections in the series are federal races in the State of South Dakota.

South Dakota: President.
Democrats have carried South Dakota just three times (in 1932, 1936, 1964) plus 1896 when William Jennings Bryan ran on the Populist ticket. Unlike its sister state to the north, South Dakota is not a toss up state, even with two strong Democratic statewide candidates on the ballot in 2008. Smart Politics Projection: Republican Hold (from 2004).

South Dakota: U.S. Senate.
Senator Tim Johnson is one of the nation’s most popular Senators, with Mount Rushmore State residents consistently giving him favorability ratings in 60s. That will translate into Johnson’s first double-digit victory since his five consecutive double-digit victories as South Dakota’s At-large Representative from 1986-1994. Smart Politics Projection: Democratic Hold.

South Dakota: U.S. House-At large.
Stephanie Herseth Sandlin is one of three Blue Dog Democrats in the Upper Midwest who will coast to double-digit victories in 2008, winning the At-large seat for the Democrats for the 11th time out of 15 elections since 1982. Smart Politics Projection: Democratic Hold.

Previous post: Smart Politics Projections: Federal Races in Iowa
Next post: Smart Politics Projections: Federal Races in Wisconsin

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Debbie Dingell Makes History

Democrat Debbie Dingell's commanding victory on Election Day in Michigan's 12th Congressional District marked the first time in electoral history that a non-widowed female candidate will directly succeed her husband in either legislative chamber. (John Dingell is retiring in January 2015 after 30 terms in the U.S. House). Over the last century, nearly 50 women have won elections or been appointed to U.S. Senate or U.S. House seats that were once held by their husbands. The only women to directly succeed their husbands into office and take over their seats were widows - either by winning election to the U.S. House or receiving an appointment to the U.S. Senate after vacancies were created by the death of their spouses.


All in the Family

The South Dakota State Senate will have three new Republican members in 2015 - each of whom has a parent that will represent the same district in the State House. Representatives Brock Greenfield, David Novstrup, and Jenna Haggar won election to SD02, SD03, and SD10 respectively on Tuesday. Meanwhile, Lana Greenfield won one of the two seats to HD02 as did Senator Al Novstrup in HD03 and incumbent Don Haggar in HD10. Don and Jenna Haggar currently serve along side one another as representatives in the 10th District.


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