Go to HHH home page.
Smart Politics
 


Smart Politics Projections: Wisconsin State Assembly (2008)

Bookmark and Share

Through November 3rd, Smart Politics will be running a series of electoral projections for Upper Midwestern federal and state governmental contests. The seventh projections in the series are State Assembly races in the State of Wisconsin.

Wisconsin: State Assembly.
Balance of power: Republicans (51 to 47; 1 independent)
2006 Results: Democrats +8
Seats up for reelection in 2008: 99
Open seats: Republicans = 6; Democrats = 5
Incumbents on the ballot: Republicans = 45; Democrats = 42; Independent = 1
Districts without major party opposition: Republicans = 6; Democrats = 24

Outlook: All signs point to a Democratic takeover of the State Assembly, for the first time since 1992. Republicans will need to defend twice as many seats that were decided by 10 points or less in 2006 (16 districts) as the Democrats (8 districts), in addition to one more open seat. Democrats are looking for pick-ups in Districts 29, 47, 50, 57, 68, 80, 87, 92, and 96. They are also hoping to be competitive in Districts 1, 32, 36, 40, 42, 55, and 89. Republicans are expecting to be competitive in Districts 28, 43, 49, 51, 88, and 93.

Projection: Democrats +7. Democrats take control of Assembly.

Previous post: Smart Politics Projections: Wisconsin State Senate (2008)
Next post: Smart Politics Projections: South Dakota Senate (2008)

Leave a comment


Remains of the Data

Which States Have the Longest and Shortest Election Day Voting Hours?

Residents in some North Dakota towns have less than half as many hours to cast their ballots as those in New York State.

Political Crumbs

Mary Burke: English First?

While multiculturalism and bilingualism are increasingly en vogue in some quarters as the world seemingly becomes a smaller place, one very high profile 2014 Democratic candidate does not shy away from the fact that she only speaks one language: English. In an attempt to highlight her private sector credentials working for Trek Bicycle, Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial nominee Mary Burke boasts on her campaign bio page how she made great strides in international business dealings...while only speaking English: "Despite not speaking a single foreign language, she established sales and distribution operations in seven countries over just three years." Note: According to 2010 Census data, nearly half a million Wisconsinites over five years old speak a language other than English at home, or 8.7 percent, while 4.6 percent of Badger State residents do not speak English at all.


Does My Key Still Work?

Much has been made about Charlie Crist's political transformation from Republican to independent to Democrat en route to winning the Florida GOP and Democratic gubernatorial nominations over a span of eight years. Party-switching aside, Crist is also vying to become just the second Florida governor to serve two interrupted terms. Democrat William Bloxham was the first - serving four year terms from 1881 to 1885 and then 1897 to 1901. Florida did not permit governors serving consecutive terms for most of its 123 years prior to changes made in its 1968 constitution. Since then four have done so: Democrats Reubin Askew, Bob Graham, and Lawton Chiles and Republican Jeb Bush.


more POLITICAL CRUMBS

Humphrey School Sites
CSPG
Humphrey New Media Hub

Issues />

<div id=
Abortion
Afghanistan
Budget and taxes
Campaign finances
Crime and punishment
Economy and jobs
Education
Energy
Environment
Foreign affairs
Gender
Health
Housing
Ideology
Immigration
Iraq
Media
Military
Partisanship
Race and ethnicity
Reapportionment
Redistricting
Religion
Sexuality
Sports
Terrorism
Third parties
Transportation
Voting