Go to HHH home page.
Smart Politics
 


Obama Approval Rating Holding Steady in Minnesota and Blue States, Still Dropping in Red States

Bookmark and Share

Barack Obama's latest approval rating in Minnesota remains in the low 60s - holding essentially, and impressively, flat for the third consecutive month, according to the latest round of polling by SurveyUSA.

For the month of April, in a survey of 600 adults statewide, 63 percent of Minnesotans approve of the job Obama is doing as President - compared to 61 percent in March and 62 percent in February. Only 33 percent disapprove of Obama's job performance. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 3.9 percent.

Minnesotans appear to be mirroring what is a nationwide trend, at least among the 14 states tracked each month by SurveyUSA. Obama started with very high marks in both red and blue states after Inauguration Day, only to see his marks fall across all states in February after controversial economic stimulus legislation was passed in D.C.

But in the states polled by SurveyUSA that Obama carried last November (California, Iowa, Massachusetts, Minnesota, New Mexico, New York, Oregon, Virginia, Washington, and Wisconsin), his collective approval rating has remained virtually flat for the last three months - 62.2 percent in February, 61.8 percent in March, and 62.7 percent in April.

Obama's disapproval rating has also remained essentially unchanged during this span among these 10 states: 32.8 percent in February, 32.6 percent in March, and 32.5 percent in April.

However, in the states polled by SurveyUSA that Obama failed to carry in 2008 (Alabama, Kansas, Kentucky, and Missouri), Obama's aggregate approval rating has dropped from 62.3 percent in January to 53.8 percent in March, to 50.3 percent in April. Perhaps more telling, his disapproval rating has increased from 23.5 percent in January to 40.5 percent in February, to 41.0 percent in March to 45.0 percent in April in these four more conservative states. In short, the honeymoon period appears to be about over for Obama in McCain Country.

As a result, the net "blue state" versus "red state" difference in Obama's approval rating has increased from 7.7 points in January to 12.5 points in April. (This includes, admittedly, a few purple states tracked by SurveyUSA; for the purpose of this post, "blue state" is shorthand for those states carried by Obama, and "red state" is shorthand for those won by Republican John McCain).

The net difference in disapproval rating between Obama and McCain states has also increased each month, from 5.7 points in January to 12.5 points in April.

Presidential Disapproval Rating in McCain States vs. Obama States

Month
McCain states
Obama states
Difference
Jan 2009
23.5
17.8
5.7
Feb 2009
40.5
32.8
7.7
Mar 2009
41.0
32.6
8.4
Apr 2009
45.0
32.5
12.5
Note: SurveyUSA polling data compiled by Smart Politics.

Follow Smart Politics on Twitter.

Previous post: Will Arlen Specter Win in 2010?
Next post: Why Governor Pawlenty Is Not in the 'Danger Zone'

3 Comments


  • I think Obama will make America on right way to make peace and freedom around the world.

  • Very nice article, i get much and valuable information from you. Thanks.

  • Only 592 days left in Obama's reign. I'm hoping for change already! :D

  • Leave a comment


    Remains of the Data

    Plurality-Winning Governors Elected At Century-Long High Water Mark

    The rate of gubernatorial candidates elected without the support of a majority of voters is at its highest level since the 1910s.

    Political Crumbs

    Seeing Red

    Congressman Nick Rahall's failed bid for a 20th term in West Virginia this cycle, combined with a narrow loss by Nick Casey to Alex Mooney in Shelley Moore Capito's open seat, means that West Virginia Democrats will be shut out of the state's U.S. House delegation for the first time in over 90 years. The Republican sweep by two-term incumbent David McKinley in the 1st CD, Mooney in the 2nd, and Evan Jenkins over Rahall in the 3rd marks the first time the GOP has held all seats in the chamber from West Virginia since the Election of 1920. During the 67th Congress (1921-1923) all six seats from the state were controlled by the GOP. Since the Election of 1922, Democrats have won 76 percent of all U.S. House elections in the Mountain State - capturing 172 seats compared to 54 for the GOP.


    Home Field Advantage?

    When the 114th Congress convenes in a few days, Maine will be represented by one home-grown U.S. Representative: Waterville-born Republican Bruce Poliquin. With the departure of Millinocket-born Mike Michaud, who launched a failed gubernatorial bid, the Pine Tree State was poised to send a House delegation to D.C. without any Maine-born members for the first time since 1821. Three-term U.S. Rep. Chellie Pingree (born in Minnesota) coasted to reelection as expected, however Poliquin edged Kentucky-born Emily Cain by 5.3 points to keep the streak alive. Since 1876, a total of 208 of the 222 candidates elected to the nation's lower legislative chamber from the state have been born in Maine, or 94 percent.


    more POLITICAL CRUMBS

    Humphrey School Sites
    CSPG
    Humphrey New Media Hub

    Issues />

<div id=
    Abortion
    Afghanistan
    Budget and taxes
    Campaign finances
    Crime and punishment
    Economy and jobs
    Education
    Energy
    Environment
    Foreign affairs
    Gender
    Health
    Housing
    Ideology
    Immigration
    Iraq
    Media
    Military
    Partisanship
    Race and ethnicity
    Reapportionment
    Redistricting
    Religion
    Sexuality
    Sports
    Terrorism
    Third parties
    Transportation
    Voting