Go to HHH home page.
Smart Politics
 


Minneapolis Index Crime Rate Falls 18 Percent from April 2008

Bookmark and Share

The Minneapolis Police Department's official Uniform Crime Report data for April 2009 finds crime in Minnesota's largest city down 18 percent from one year ago.

The 18 percent 12-month drop is the largest in the city dating back more than two years to February 2007, when crime was down 23.9 percent from 12 months prior.

Crime rates generally rise in Minneapolis coming out of the winter into the spring and mid-summer, and April's crime rate did increase 0.3 points from March 2009 - from 4.0 to 4.3 index crimes per 1,000 residents. (Index crimes are comprised of four violent crimes (homicide, rape, aggravated assault, and robbery) and four property crimes (burglary, larceny, motor vehicle theft, and arson)).

However, the crime rate of 4.3 incidents per 1,000 residents in April 2009 is the lowest April crime rate in Minneapolis this decade. After peaking at a rate of 6.0 incidents per 1,000 residents in April 2006, the crime rate has fallen in each of the subsequent three years - to a rate of 5.7 in April 2007, 5.2 in April 2008, and 4.3 in April 2009. This marks a drop of more than 650 index crimes in the city in April 2009 compared to April 2006.

This decade-long April crime rate low has taken place in the face of the worst unemployment trend the city has endured in years. April's 6.9 percent non-seasonally adjusted unemployment rate is tied for the third-highest in Minneapolis this decade.

Still, index crimes have fallen despite the rising unemployment rate. For example, while the unemployment rate in April 2009 is 156 percent higher than it was in April 2000 (2.7 percent), the crime rate is 28.3 percent lower (at a rate of 4.3 incidents per 1,000 residents versus 6.0).

And though the April 2009 unemployment rate is 73 percent higher in Minneapolis from one year ago (4.0 percent), index crimes have dropped 18 percent.

Minneapolis April Crime Rate vs. Unemployment Rate, 2000-2009

Period
Index crimes
Crime rate
Unemployment rate
April 2000
2,317
6.0
2.7
April 2001
2,128
5.5
3.5
April 2002
1,993
5.1
5.1
April 2003
2,229
5.7
4.7
April 2004
1,720
4.4
4.6
April 2005
2,064
5.3
3.9
April 2006
2,324
6.0
3.6
April 2007
2,229
5.7
3.9
April 2008
2,033
5.2
4.0
April 2009
1,667
4.3
6.9
Note: Index crime data for homicide, rape, robbery, aggravated assault, burglary, larceny, motor vehicle theft, and arson from the Minneapolis Police Department. Crime rate per 1,000 residents compiled by Smart Politics from an average city population base of 388,020. Non-seasonally adjusted unemployment data from the Minnesota Department of Employment and Economic Development.

Follow Smart Politics on Twitter.

Leave a comment


Remains of the Data

A Brief History of "Representative Smith"

A look back at the 115 "Smiths" to serve in the House as newly-minted U.S. Representative Jason Smith of Missouri adds his name to the roster.

Political Crumbs

The 40 Percent Floor

Although Republicans have won 23 of 39 Indiana gubernatorial races since the first time a GOP candidate was on the ballot in 1860, Democrats have suffered few blow-out defeats during this span. In fact, the Democratic nominee has eclipsed the 40 percent mark in all 39 contests. The Republicans cannot quite claim the same, falling below 40 percent just once with nominee Linley Pearson during the gubernatorial election of 1992 when Evan Byah won his second term. Democrats have a streak of 47 consecutive contests reaching the 40 percent mark - doing so every cycle since the party first fielded a candidate in the race for governor of 1834.


Curse of the '4'?

Big-name Republicans are not coming out of the woodwork yet to challenge Al Franken in Minnesota's 2014 U.S. Senate race, and there is not much chatter of the GOP picking off one of the five DFL-held U.S. House seats either. Over the last century, Minnesota Republican U.S. House candidates have not fared all that well in cycles ending in '4' - losing seats in five of these cycles (1914, 1924, 1944, 1954, 1974), holding serve in four others (1964, 1984, 1994, 2004), and gaining seats just one time (1934, after redistricting had been delayed one cycle with all nine seats voted at-large in 1932). Perhaps the Republican Party's best chance for a pick up in the Gopher State in 2014 is if 12-term Democrat Collin Peterson retires after nearly a quarter century on Capitol Hill. The 7th CD has the second largest GOP lean in the state.


more POLITICAL CRUMBS

Humphrey School Sites
CSPG
Humphrey New Media Hub

Issues />

<div id=
Abortion
Afghanistan
Budget and taxes
Campaign finances
Crime and punishment
Economy and jobs
Education
Energy
Environment
Foreign affairs
Gender
Health
Housing
Ideology
Immigration
Iraq
Media
Military
Partisanship
Race and ethnicity
Reapportionment
Redistricting
Religion
Sexuality
Sports
Terrorism
Third parties
Transportation
Voting