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Minnesota, Western States Lead Nation in Male Population; Vote for GOP Governors

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In one of the quirkier statistical findings reported by this blog, a new Smart Politics analysis of Census Bureau data finds that all twelve states in the country in which the male population is equal to or greater than that of the female population are located west of the Mississippi River – including the states of Minnesota and South Dakota.

And in what may not be a coincidence, with males tending to be more Republican than females nationwide, voters in 75 percent (9) of these 12 states currently have Republican governors in office – compared to just 34 percent (13) of the remaining 38 states in the country.

Overall, women comprise approximately 51 percent of the population of the United States, including the majority population of 38 states.

Of the 24 states west of the Mississippi River, however, males comprise at least 50 percent of the population in 12 of them (including 51 percent in Nevada). The Upper Midwestern states of Minnesota and South Dakota are among these 12 states, as well as Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Idaho, Nebraska, Nevada, Oregon, Utah, and Wyoming.

While women nationwide have consistently identified themselves more as Democrats than Republicans for decades, men have identified in greater numbers as Republicans than Democrats since the Reagan revolution in the early 1980s (though neither party has achieved a majority following among either gender, with approximately one-fifth to one-third of both males and females identifying as independents over the years).

Among the 12 states with the highest percentage male population, Republicans currently sit in the governor’s mansion in 9 of them (75 percent) – Minnesota, South Dakota, Alaska, Arizona, California, Idaho, Nebraska, Nevada, and Utah. Democrats control the governorships of two-thirds of the remaining 38 states.

Gender Population by State

State
Female
Male
Governor
Nevada
49%
51%
GOP
Alaska
50%
50%
GOP
Arizona*
50%
50%
GOP
California
50%
50%
GOP
Colorado
50%
50%
DEM
Idaho
50%
50%
GOP
Minnesota
50%
50%
GOP
Nebraska
50%
50%
GOP
Oregon
50%
50%
DEM
South Dakota
50%
50%
GOP
Utah
50%
50%
GOP
Wyoming
50%
50%
DEM
New Hampshire
51%
50%
DEM
Arkansas
52%
49%
DEM
Connecticut
51%
49%
GOP
Delaware
52%
49%
DEM
Florida
51%
49%
GOP
Georgia
51%
49%
GOP
Hawaii
52%
49%
GOP
Illinois
51%
49%
DEM
Indiana
51%
49%
GOP
Iowa
51%
49%
DEM
Kansas
51%
49%
DEM
Kentucky
51%
49%
DEM
Maine
51%
49%
DEM
Michigan
51%
49%
DEM
Missouri
51%
49%
DEM
Montana
51%
49%
DEM
New Jersey
51%
49%
DEM
New Mexico
51%
49%
DEM
North Carolina
51%
49%
DEM
North Dakota
51%
49%
GOP
Ohio
51%
49%
DEM
Pennsylvania
51%
49%
DEM
Rhode Island
52%
49%
GOP
Texas
51%
49%
GOP
Vermont
51%
49%
GOP
Virginia
52%
49%
DEM
Washington
51%
49%
DEM
West Virginia
51%
49%
DEM
Wisconsin
51%
49%
DEM
Alabama
52%
48%
GOP
Louisiana
52%
48%
GOP
Maryland
52%
48%
DEM
Massachusetts
52%
48%
DEM
Mississippi
52%
48%
GOP
New York
52%
48%
DEM
Oklahoma
52%
48%
DEM
South Carolina
52%
48%
GOP
Tennessee
52%
48%
DEM
Sources: Bureau of the Census Current Population Surveys (2007, 2008) and Kaiser Family Foundation State Health Facts.org. * Republican Arizona Governor Jan Brewer was not elected to office, having succeeded Janet Napolitano when she became Secretary of Homeland Security earlier in 2009.

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Remains of the Data

No Free Passes: States With 2 Major Party Candidates in Every US House Race

Indiana has now placed candidates from both major parties on the ballot in a nation-best 189 consecutive U.S. House races, with New Hampshire, Minnesota, Idaho, and Montana also north of 100 in a row.

Political Crumbs

Gubernatorial Highs and Lows

Two sitting governors currently hold the record for the highest gubernatorial vote ever received in their respective states by a non-incumbent: Republican Matt Mead of Wyoming (65.7 percent in 2010) and outgoing GOPer Dave Heineman of Nebraska (73.4 percent in 2006). Republican Gary Herbert of Utah had not previously won a gubernatorial contest when he notched a state record 64.1 percent for his first victory in 2010, but was an incumbent at the time after ascending to the position in 2009 after the early departure of Jon Huntsman. Meanwhile, two sitting governors hold the record in their states for the lowest mark ever recorded by a winning gubernatorial candidate (incumbent or otherwise): independent-turned-Democrat Lincoln Chafee of Rhode Island (36.1 percent in 2010) and Democrat Terry McAuliffe of Virginia (47.8 percent in 2013).


An Idaho Six Pack

Two-term Idaho Republican Governor Butch Otter only polled at 39 percent in a recent PPP survey of the state's 2014 race - just four points ahead of Democratic businessman A.J. Balukoff. Otter's low numbers reflect his own struggles as a candidate (witness his weak primary win against State Senator Russ Fulcher) combined with the opportunity for disgruntled Idahoans to cast their votes for one of four third party and independent candidates, who collectively received the support of 12 percent of likely voters: Libertarian John Bujak, the Constitution Party's Steve Pankey, and independents Jill Humble and Pro-Life (aka Marvin Richardson). The six candidate options in a gubernatorial race sets an all-time record in the Gem State across the 46 elections conducted since statehood. The previous high water mark of five candidates was reached in seven previous cycles: 1902, 1904, 1908, 1912, 1914, 1966, and 2010.


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