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Minnesota, Western States Lead Nation in Male Population; Vote for GOP Governors

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In one of the quirkier statistical findings reported by this blog, a new Smart Politics analysis of Census Bureau data finds that all twelve states in the country in which the male population is equal to or greater than that of the female population are located west of the Mississippi River – including the states of Minnesota and South Dakota.

And in what may not be a coincidence, with males tending to be more Republican than females nationwide, voters in 75 percent (9) of these 12 states currently have Republican governors in office – compared to just 34 percent (13) of the remaining 38 states in the country.

Overall, women comprise approximately 51 percent of the population of the United States, including the majority population of 38 states.

Of the 24 states west of the Mississippi River, however, males comprise at least 50 percent of the population in 12 of them (including 51 percent in Nevada). The Upper Midwestern states of Minnesota and South Dakota are among these 12 states, as well as Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Idaho, Nebraska, Nevada, Oregon, Utah, and Wyoming.

While women nationwide have consistently identified themselves more as Democrats than Republicans for decades, men have identified in greater numbers as Republicans than Democrats since the Reagan revolution in the early 1980s (though neither party has achieved a majority following among either gender, with approximately one-fifth to one-third of both males and females identifying as independents over the years).

Among the 12 states with the highest percentage male population, Republicans currently sit in the governor’s mansion in 9 of them (75 percent) – Minnesota, South Dakota, Alaska, Arizona, California, Idaho, Nebraska, Nevada, and Utah. Democrats control the governorships of two-thirds of the remaining 38 states.

Gender Population by State

State
Female
Male
Governor
Nevada
49%
51%
GOP
Alaska
50%
50%
GOP
Arizona*
50%
50%
GOP
California
50%
50%
GOP
Colorado
50%
50%
DEM
Idaho
50%
50%
GOP
Minnesota
50%
50%
GOP
Nebraska
50%
50%
GOP
Oregon
50%
50%
DEM
South Dakota
50%
50%
GOP
Utah
50%
50%
GOP
Wyoming
50%
50%
DEM
New Hampshire
51%
50%
DEM
Arkansas
52%
49%
DEM
Connecticut
51%
49%
GOP
Delaware
52%
49%
DEM
Florida
51%
49%
GOP
Georgia
51%
49%
GOP
Hawaii
52%
49%
GOP
Illinois
51%
49%
DEM
Indiana
51%
49%
GOP
Iowa
51%
49%
DEM
Kansas
51%
49%
DEM
Kentucky
51%
49%
DEM
Maine
51%
49%
DEM
Michigan
51%
49%
DEM
Missouri
51%
49%
DEM
Montana
51%
49%
DEM
New Jersey
51%
49%
DEM
New Mexico
51%
49%
DEM
North Carolina
51%
49%
DEM
North Dakota
51%
49%
GOP
Ohio
51%
49%
DEM
Pennsylvania
51%
49%
DEM
Rhode Island
52%
49%
GOP
Texas
51%
49%
GOP
Vermont
51%
49%
GOP
Virginia
52%
49%
DEM
Washington
51%
49%
DEM
West Virginia
51%
49%
DEM
Wisconsin
51%
49%
DEM
Alabama
52%
48%
GOP
Louisiana
52%
48%
GOP
Maryland
52%
48%
DEM
Massachusetts
52%
48%
DEM
Mississippi
52%
48%
GOP
New York
52%
48%
DEM
Oklahoma
52%
48%
DEM
South Carolina
52%
48%
GOP
Tennessee
52%
48%
DEM
Sources: Bureau of the Census Current Population Surveys (2007, 2008) and Kaiser Family Foundation State Health Facts.org. * Republican Arizona Governor Jan Brewer was not elected to office, having succeeded Janet Napolitano when she became Secretary of Homeland Security earlier in 2009.

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Remains of the Data

Plurality-Winning Governors Elected At Century-Long High Water Mark

The rate of gubernatorial candidates elected without the support of a majority of voters is at its highest level since the 1910s.

Political Crumbs

Seeing Red

Congressman Nick Rahall's failed bid for a 20th term in West Virginia this cycle, combined with a narrow loss by Nick Casey to Alex Mooney in Shelley Moore Capito's open seat, means that West Virginia Democrats will be shut out of the state's U.S. House delegation for the first time in over 90 years. The Republican sweep by two-term incumbent David McKinley in the 1st CD, Mooney in the 2nd, and Evan Jenkins over Rahall in the 3rd marks the first time the GOP has held all seats in the chamber from West Virginia since the Election of 1920. During the 67th Congress (1921-1923) all six seats from the state were controlled by the GOP. Since the Election of 1922, Democrats have won 76 percent of all U.S. House elections in the Mountain State - capturing 172 seats compared to 54 for the GOP.


Home Field Advantage?

When the 114th Congress convenes in a few days, Maine will be represented by one home-grown U.S. Representative: Waterville-born Republican Bruce Poliquin. With the departure of Millinocket-born Mike Michaud, who launched a failed gubernatorial bid, the Pine Tree State was poised to send a House delegation to D.C. without any Maine-born members for the first time since 1821. Three-term U.S. Rep. Chellie Pingree (born in Minnesota) coasted to reelection as expected, however Poliquin edged Kentucky-born Emily Cain by 5.3 points to keep the streak alive. Since 1876, a total of 208 of the 222 candidates elected to the nation's lower legislative chamber from the state have been born in Maine, or 94 percent.


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