Go to HHH home page.
Smart Politics
 


Obama Approval Rating Dips Below 60 Percent in Minnesota

Bookmark and Share

It took nearly half a year, but President Barack Obama's approval rating finally fell below the 60 percent mark in the Gopher State, according to the latest round of monthly polls conducted by SurveyUSA.

Obama had previously notched an approval rating between 61 and 64 percent during the first five months of SurveyUSA polling from January through May. In the new mid-June poll taken of 600 Minnesota adults, 59 percent approve of the job Obama is doing as president, with 36 percent disapproving.

Of the more than a dozen states tracked by SurveyUSA each month, Obama only received a higher approval rating in California (65 percent), New York (64 percent), and Washington (63 percent).

The modest (and within the margin of error) two-point rating drop Obama experienced in Minnesota from May to June paled in comparison to the decrease in support he experienced in states such as Iowa (-9 points), New Mexico (-9), and New York (-7).

Despite a slight decline in approval ratings in each of the last two months, the Gopher State's appraisal of the President remains the most static of all the states tracked by SurveyUSA since January. With a high of 64 percent (January) and a low of 59 percent (June), Minnesota's favorable evaluation of the president's job performance has ranged within just 5 points since Inauguration Day.

By contrast, Obama's high and low approval marks have ranged by 11 or more points in 10 of the other 12 states, with Washington (7-point range) and Virginia (8 points) being the second and third most stable in their evaluation of the president's job performance behind Minnesota.

The neighboring states of Iowa (11 points) and Wisconsin (17 points) have more than double and triple the variation of Minnesota respectively in terms of the approval rating they give President Obama.

Range in President Barack Obama Job Approval Rating, January - June 2009

State
High
Low
Range
Minnesota
64
59
5
Washington
69
62
7
Virginia
62
54
8
Iowa
68
57
11
Oregon
68
56
12
New Mexico
65
53
12
New York
78
65
13
Alabama
60
46
14
California
77
63
14
Missouri
65
51
14
Kentucky
62
47
15
Wisconsin
70
53
17
Kansas
62
44
18
Note: SurveyUSA monthly polling data compiled by Smart Politics.

Follow Smart Politics on Twitter.

Previous post: South Dakota Unemployment Rate Reaches 5 Percent for First Time Since 1985
Next post: Minnesota, Wisconsin Lead Nation in Largest Proportion of House Committee Leadership Posts

2 Comments


  • It's worth pointing out that the margin or error is +/- 4 percentage points, meaning, statistically, approval ratings in Minnesota have barely moved at all outside the margin of error.

  • > It's worth pointing out that the margin or error is +/- 4
    > percentage points, meaning, statistically, approval ratings
    > in Minnesota have barely moved at all outside the margin of
    > error.

    I agree -- and one of the main point of this piece is Obama's approval rating in Minnesota has been remarkably consistent. And that's why the dip below 60 percent was characterized thusly in the blog:

    "The modest (and within the margin of error) two-point rating drop Obama experienced in Minnesota..."

  • Leave a comment


    Remains of the Data

    Is There a Presidential Drag On Gubernatorial Elections?

    Only five of the 20 presidents to serve since 1900 have seen their party win a majority of gubernatorial elections during their administrations, and only one since JFK.

    Political Crumbs

    Strike Three for Miller-Meeks

    Iowa Republicans had a banner day on November 4th, picking up both a U.S. Senate seat and one U.S. House seat, but Mariannette Miller-Meeks' defeat in her third attempt to oust Democrat Dave Loebsack in the 2nd CD means the GOP will not have a monopoly on the state's congressional delegation in the 114th Congress. The loss by Miller-Meeks (following up her defeats in 2008 and 2010) means major party nominees who lost their first two Iowa U.S. House races are now 0 for 10 the third time around in Iowa history. Miller-Meeks joins Democrat William Leffingwell (1858, 1868, 1870), Democrat Anthony Van Wagenen (1894, 1912 (special), 1912), Democrat James Murtagh (1906, 1914, 1916), Democrat Clair Williams (1944, 1946, 1952), Democrat Steven Carter (1948, 1950, 1956), Republican Don Mahon (1966, 1968, 1970), Republican Tom Riley (1968, 1974, 1976), Democrat Eric Tabor (1986, 1988, 1990), and Democrat Bill Gluba (1982, 1988, 2004) on the Hawkeye State's Three Strikes list.


    Larry Pressler Wins the Silver

    Larry Pressler may have fallen short in his long-shot, underfunded, and understaffed bid to return to the nation's upper legislative chamber, but he did end up notching the best showing for a non-major party South Dakota U.S. Senate candidate in more than 90 years. Pressler won 17.1 percent of the vote which is the best showing for an independent or third party U.S. Senate candidate in the state since 1920 when non-partisan candidate Tom Ayres won 24.1 percent in a race won by Republican Peter Norbeck. Overall, Pressler's 17.1 percent is good for the second best mark for a non-major party candidate across the 35 U.S. Senate contests in South Dakota history. Independent and third party candidates have appeared on the South Dakota U.S. Senate ballot just 25 times over the last century and only three have reached double digits: Pressler in 2014 and Ayres in 1920 and 1924 (12.1 percent). Pressler's defeat means he won't become the oldest candidate elected to the chamber in South Dakota history nor notch the record for the longest gap in service in the direct election era.


    more POLITICAL CRUMBS

    Humphrey School Sites
    CSPG
    Humphrey New Media Hub

    Issues />

<div id=
    Abortion
    Afghanistan
    Budget and taxes
    Campaign finances
    Crime and punishment
    Economy and jobs
    Education
    Energy
    Environment
    Foreign affairs
    Gender
    Health
    Housing
    Ideology
    Immigration
    Iraq
    Media
    Military
    Partisanship
    Race and ethnicity
    Reapportionment
    Redistricting
    Religion
    Sexuality
    Sports
    Terrorism
    Third parties
    Transportation
    Voting