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Obama Approval Rating Dips Below 60 Percent in Minnesota

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It took nearly half a year, but President Barack Obama's approval rating finally fell below the 60 percent mark in the Gopher State, according to the latest round of monthly polls conducted by SurveyUSA.

Obama had previously notched an approval rating between 61 and 64 percent during the first five months of SurveyUSA polling from January through May. In the new mid-June poll taken of 600 Minnesota adults, 59 percent approve of the job Obama is doing as president, with 36 percent disapproving.

Of the more than a dozen states tracked by SurveyUSA each month, Obama only received a higher approval rating in California (65 percent), New York (64 percent), and Washington (63 percent).

The modest (and within the margin of error) two-point rating drop Obama experienced in Minnesota from May to June paled in comparison to the decrease in support he experienced in states such as Iowa (-9 points), New Mexico (-9), and New York (-7).

Despite a slight decline in approval ratings in each of the last two months, the Gopher State's appraisal of the President remains the most static of all the states tracked by SurveyUSA since January. With a high of 64 percent (January) and a low of 59 percent (June), Minnesota's favorable evaluation of the president's job performance has ranged within just 5 points since Inauguration Day.

By contrast, Obama's high and low approval marks have ranged by 11 or more points in 10 of the other 12 states, with Washington (7-point range) and Virginia (8 points) being the second and third most stable in their evaluation of the president's job performance behind Minnesota.

The neighboring states of Iowa (11 points) and Wisconsin (17 points) have more than double and triple the variation of Minnesota respectively in terms of the approval rating they give President Obama.

Range in President Barack Obama Job Approval Rating, January - June 2009

State
High
Low
Range
Minnesota
64
59
5
Washington
69
62
7
Virginia
62
54
8
Iowa
68
57
11
Oregon
68
56
12
New Mexico
65
53
12
New York
78
65
13
Alabama
60
46
14
California
77
63
14
Missouri
65
51
14
Kentucky
62
47
15
Wisconsin
70
53
17
Kansas
62
44
18
Note: SurveyUSA monthly polling data compiled by Smart Politics.

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2 Comments


  • It's worth pointing out that the margin or error is +/- 4 percentage points, meaning, statistically, approval ratings in Minnesota have barely moved at all outside the margin of error.

  • > It's worth pointing out that the margin or error is +/- 4
    > percentage points, meaning, statistically, approval ratings
    > in Minnesota have barely moved at all outside the margin of
    > error.

    I agree -- and one of the main point of this piece is Obama's approval rating in Minnesota has been remarkably consistent. And that's why the dip below 60 percent was characterized thusly in the blog:

    "The modest (and within the margin of error) two-point rating drop Obama experienced in Minnesota..."

  • Leave a comment


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