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How Does Tim Pawlenty Rank in the Gubernatorial Class of 2002 on Jobs?

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Minnesota Governor has presided over 64.4 percent increase in unemployment, slightly better than his gubernatorial Class of '02 as well as the national average

As Tim Pawlenty wraps up his eight-year stint as Governor of the Gopher State, he will be judged by a variety of measures, the weight of each measure varying relative to which end of the partisan continuum one sits.

Some may judge the Governor on his efforts to fight increases in state taxes. Others may look at how those efforts may have contributed to the state's looming (and ballooning) budget deficit.

One non-partisan measure by which the Governor's performance might be judged is to examine the jobs situation in Minnesota, relative to the rest of the country, during his eight years in office.

Pawlenty was elected along with 23 other new governors in November of 2002, 16 of which remain in office today. By January 2011, all remaining 17 governors will be out of office, either retiring like Pawlenty or term-limited.

When Pawlenty took office in January 2003, the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate in Minnesota was 4.5 percent. With seven months left in his administration, the most recent unemployment rate in the Gopher State is 7.4 percent, or an increase of 64.4 percent. (April's jobless numbers will be released later this week).

The 64.4 percent increase in unemployment experienced in Minnesota during Pawlenty's tenure is slightly less than the national average. In January 2003, the national jobless rate was 5.8 percent - rising to 9.7 percent in March, or an increase of 67.2 percent.

(The national jobless rate increased to 9.9 percent in April).

As for the Class of 2002, Pawlenty's ranks 8th out of the 17 governors still in office in terms of minimizing the rate of increase in unemployment for each governor's respective state.

Oklahoma's Democratic Governor Brad Henry (pictured) currently ranks at the head of the class - the Sooner State's jobless rate increased only 22.2 percent from when Henry took office in January 2003 (5.4 percent) through March of this year (6.6 percent).

And while Oregon's unemployment rate is still in double digits - at 10.6 percent - it has only increased 35.9 percent since Democratic Governor Ted Kulongoski took office nearly eight years ago (7.8 percent) - making Kulongoski in line to be the Class Salutatorian on the jobs issue by this measure.

Pawlenty ranks third among the eight Republican governors remaining from the Class of 2002, behind Vermont's Jim Douglas and South Dakota's Mike Rounds.

Vermont has seen its unemployment rate rise 44.4 percent to date during Douglas' four two-year terms (from 4.5 to 6.5 percent), while South Dakota's jobless rate has increased 45.5 percent (from 3.3 to 4.8 percent).

Overall, the eight Republican governors remaining from the Class of 2002 have presided over an average 87.1 percent increase in unemployment from 4.7 to 9.0 percent across Alabama, Georgia, Hawaii, Minnesota, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota, and Vermont.

The nine Democratic governors remaining from the Class of 2002 have presided over an average increase in unemployment of 63.9 percent, from 5.7 to 9.3 percent across Maine, Michigan, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Wisconsin, and Wyoming.

Increase in Unemployment in States with Governors from the Class of 2002, January 2003-March 2010

Rank
State
Governor
Party
Jan 03
Mar 10
Change
1
OK
Brad Henry
Dem
5.4
6.6
+22.2
2
OR
Ted Kulongoski
Dem
7.8
10.6
+35.9
3
VT
Jim Douglas
GOP
4.5
6.5
+44.4
4
SD
Mike Rounds
GOP
3.3
4.8
+45.5
5
NM
Bill Richardson
Dem
5.8
8.8
+51.7
6
PA
Ed Rendell
Dem
5.8
9.0
+55.2
7
WI
Jim Doyle
Dem
5.5
8.8
+60.0
8
MN
Tim Pawlenty
GOP
4.5
7.4
+64.4
9
WY
Dave Freudenthal
Dem
4.4
7.3
+65.9
10
ME
John Baldacci
Dem
4.8
8.2
+70.8
11
HI
Linda Lingle
GOP
3.7
6.9
+86.5
12
SC
Mark Sanford
GOP
6.4
12.2
+90.6
13
TN
Phil Bredesen
Dem
5.3
10.6
+100.0
14
AL
Bob Riley
GOP
5.2
11.0
+111.5
15
MI
Jennifer Granholm
Dem
6.6
14.1
+113.6
16
GA
Sonny Perdue
GOP
4.9
10.6
+116.3
17
RI
Donald Carcieri
GOP
5.3
12.6
+137.7
 
Average
 
 
5.2
9.2
+74.9
 
National
 
 
5.8
9.7
+67.2
Bureau of Labor Statistics data compiled by Smart Politics.

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Remains of the Data

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Political Crumbs

Curse of the '4'?

Big-name Republicans are not coming out of the woodwork yet to challenge Al Franken in Minnesota's 2014 U.S. Senate race, and there is not much chatter of the GOP picking off one of the five DFL-held U.S. House seats either. Over the last century, Minnesota Republican U.S. House candidates have not fared all that well in cycles ending in '4' - losing seats in five of these cycles (1914, 1924, 1944, 1954, 1974), holding serve in four others (1964, 1984, 1994, 2004), and gaining seats just one time (1934, after redistricting had been delayed one cycle with all nine seats voted at-large in 1932). Perhaps the Republican Party's best chance for a pick up in the Gopher State in 2014 is if 12-term Democrat Collin Peterson retires after nearly a quarter century on Capitol Hill. The 7th CD has the second largest GOP lean in the state.


Seasoned Senators in Wisconsin

Of the 15 men and women that have served in the U.S. Senate from Wisconsin since popular vote elections were introduced a century ago, Ron Johnson and Tammy Baldwin rank among the oldest upon first entering the chamber. Johnson began his tenure at the age of 55 years, 8 months, and 26 days in January 2011, which is the oldest of any elected Wisconsin Senator during this popular vote era. The next oldest, Alexander Wiley, was more than one year younger when he took his seat in 1939 (54 years, 7 months, 8 days). Tammy Baldwin comes in at #6 being 50 years, 10 months, and 23 days when she took office in January of this year. The youngest elected Senator from the Badger State was Robert La Follette, Jr. at 30 years, 7 months, and 24 days (1925) when he took the seat of his legendary deceased father.


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