Go to HHH home page.
Smart Politics
 


Minnesota Unemployment Numbers and Trends at a Glance

Bookmark and Share

Gopher State job data trend lines generally favorable compared to the nation and the Upper Midwest region

The new seasonally adjusted unemployment numbers released last week by the Minnesota Department of Employment and Economic Development may have been flat - remaining at 6.8 percent for the second consecutive month - but the trend in the Gopher State's jobs situation continues to have a comparatively rosier outlook than the nation as a whole.

Here are some Minnesota employment facts at a glance:

Fact #1. The jobless rate has not increased in Minnesota for 14 consecutive months - the seventh longest streak over the past 34 1/2 years dating back to 1976.

The unemployment rate has fallen from 8.4 percent in June 2009 to 6.8 percent in July 2010, or a 19.0 percent decline.

Previous streaks include:

· A 22-month streak from October 1976 through July 1978 (falling from 5.9 to 3.9 percent)
· A 29-month streak from January 1983 through May 1985 (falling from 9.0 to 5.8 percent)
· A 30-month streak from January 1986 through June 1988 (falling from 6.1 to 4.3 percent)
· A 32-month streak from April 1993 through November 1996 (falling from 5.1 to 3.7 percent)
· A 25-month streak from May 1996 through May 1998 (falling from 4.0 to 2.6 percent)
· A 26-month streak from July 2003 through August 2005 (falling from 5.0 to 4.0 percent)

Of course, in order for rates to fall or stagnate for such a long period of time, they usually have to begin at a high level. And while seasonally adjusted jobs data does not account for those individuals who have stopped looking for work, falling or stagnating jobless numbers are obviously still better than rising numbers.

Fact #2. The 6.8 percent unemployment rate in Minnesota is just 71.6 percent that of the national average of 9.5 percent for the second straight month. This marks the lowest relative rate of unemployment in the Gopher State compared to the nation as a whole in more than 10 years.

In February 2000, Minnesota's 2.8 percent rate was 68.3 percent of the national rate of 4.1 percent.

By comparison, in March 2007, Minnesota's unemployment rate (4.5 percent) was 102.3 percent the national rate (4.4 percent) .

Overall, Minnesota's unemployment rate is tied with Iowa for the 9th lowest in the nation and 5th lowest in the 12-state Midwest region (behind North Dakota (3.6 percent), South Dakota (4.4 percent), Nebraska (4.7 percent), and Kansas (6.5 percent)).

Fact #3. The 6.8 percent unemployment rate in Minnesota is now equal to that of its neighbor to the south, Iowa, for the first time since November 2005.

The jobless rate in Minnesota has only been equal to or lower than that of the Hawkeye State for 19 of the last 135 months dating back to May 1999.

Overall, Minneosta's rate has been lower than that of Iowa for 131 of the last 415 months dating back to January 1976 (31.6 percent), higher for 265 months (63.9 percent), and the same for 19 months (4.6 percent).

Fact #4. After a string of 18 months in which Minnesota's jobless rate was equal to or higher than that of its neighbor to the east (September 2007-February 2009), the Gopher State's rate has now been lower than that of Wisconsin for 17 consecutive months.

Wisconsin's July 2010 unemployment numbers came in at 7.8 percent.

Overall, Minnesota's unemployment rate has been lower than that of Wisconsin for 292 of the last 415 months (70.4 percent), higher for 105 months (25.3 percent), and the same for 18 months (4.3 percent).

Fact #5. Of course, the employment news is less rosy for Minnesota compared to its neighbors to the west, where North Dakota (3.6 percent) and South Dakota (4.4 percent) continue to have the two lowest jobless rates in the nation.

Minnesota's unemployment rate has not been equal to or lower than that of South Dakota since June 1999 and North Dakota since April 2000.

Overall, Minnesota's jobless rate has been lower than that of South Dakota for just 18 of the past 415 months (4.3 percent), higher for 332 months (94.7 percent), and the same for four months (1.0 percent).

The Gopher State's rate has been lower than that of North Dakota for 73 of the last 415 months (17.6 percent), higher for 332 months (80.0 percent), and the same for 10 months (2.4 percent).

Follow Smart Politics on Twitter.

Previous post: What Does Wisconsin History Say About Russ Feingold's Chances in 2010?
Next post: Murkowski Primary Struggles Just Another Day in Alaska Politics

2 Comments


  • The decline from 8.4 to 6.8 really sets the direction we are heading, not only for Minnesota but as a nation. Overall the statistics are impressive and I think allow for optimism. Lets hope they continue in this course as we are pulling out of the recession.

  • The method used for these statistics do not count the 99ers. (Those who ran out of unemployment insurance). Construction trades are at an all time high for unemployment and with winter nearing, even more in the trdes will be laid off. Last figures I saw were over thirty percent in construction were laid off and no one had an accurate number of those furloughed. Us 99ers are those they speak of "no longer looking for work". That is pure BS! I really would like to see the real numbers for this state, yet how are they to know when we no longer report weekly because we were cut off and so how can they count us? Lets see the realistic numbers of those still unemployed! Its all smoke and mirrors like typical government BS. Keep the masses in the dark and let no one realize just how bad it really is here in MN. Show us the jobs created for the numbers to decrease as they quote.

  • Leave a comment


    Remains of the Data

    Is There a Presidential Drag On Gubernatorial Elections?

    Only five of the 20 presidents to serve since 1900 have seen their party win a majority of gubernatorial elections during their administrations, and only one since JFK.

    Political Crumbs

    Strike Three for Miller-Meeks

    Iowa Republicans had a banner day on November 4th, picking up both a U.S. Senate seat and one U.S. House seat, but Mariannette Miller-Meeks' defeat in her third attempt to oust Democrat Dave Loebsack in the 2nd CD means the GOP will not have a monopoly on the state's congressional delegation in the 114th Congress. The loss by Miller-Meeks (following up her defeats in 2008 and 2010) means major party nominees who lost their first two Iowa U.S. House races are now 0 for 10 the third time around in Iowa history. Miller-Meeks joins Democrat William Leffingwell (1858, 1868, 1870), Democrat Anthony Van Wagenen (1894, 1912 (special), 1912), Democrat James Murtagh (1906, 1914, 1916), Democrat Clair Williams (1944, 1946, 1952), Democrat Steven Carter (1948, 1950, 1956), Republican Don Mahon (1966, 1968, 1970), Republican Tom Riley (1968, 1974, 1976), Democrat Eric Tabor (1986, 1988, 1990), and Democrat Bill Gluba (1982, 1988, 2004) on the Hawkeye State's Three Strikes list.


    Larry Pressler Wins the Silver

    Larry Pressler may have fallen short in his long-shot, underfunded, and understaffed bid to return to the nation's upper legislative chamber, but he did end up notching the best showing for a non-major party South Dakota U.S. Senate candidate in more than 90 years. Pressler won 17.1 percent of the vote which is the best showing for an independent or third party U.S. Senate candidate in the state since 1920 when non-partisan candidate Tom Ayres won 24.1 percent in a race won by Republican Peter Norbeck. Overall, Pressler's 17.1 percent is good for the second best mark for a non-major party candidate across the 35 U.S. Senate contests in South Dakota history. Independent and third party candidates have appeared on the South Dakota U.S. Senate ballot just 25 times over the last century and only three have reached double digits: Pressler in 2014 and Ayres in 1920 and 1924 (12.1 percent). Pressler's defeat means he won't become the oldest candidate elected to the chamber in South Dakota history nor notch the record for the longest gap in service in the direct election era.


    more POLITICAL CRUMBS

    Humphrey School Sites
    CSPG
    Humphrey New Media Hub

    Issues />

<div id=
    Abortion
    Afghanistan
    Budget and taxes
    Campaign finances
    Crime and punishment
    Economy and jobs
    Education
    Energy
    Environment
    Foreign affairs
    Gender
    Health
    Housing
    Ideology
    Immigration
    Iraq
    Media
    Military
    Partisanship
    Race and ethnicity
    Reapportionment
    Redistricting
    Religion
    Sexuality
    Sports
    Terrorism
    Third parties
    Transportation
    Voting