Go to HHH home page.
Smart Politics
 


Pollster Interest in Minnesota Gubernatorial Race Only Up Slightly from 2006

Bookmark and Share

Even though three surveys have been released during the last week (by Rasmussen, the Star Tribune, and today's survey by Minnesota Public Radio / Humphrey Institute), pollster interest in the Gopher State's gubernatorial contest is about on par with what it was in 2006 at this stage of the election cycle.

There have been 14 non-partisan public polls released thus far in 2010 of the three-way race for the governor's office between DFLer Mark Dayton (pictured), Republican Tom Emmer, and Independence Party nominee Tom Horner: five by Rasmussen, four by SurveyUSA (KSTP-TV sponsored), three by MPR / Humphrey Institute, and two by the Star Tribune.

Back in 2006, there had been 12 such polls released through September of that year between Tim Pawlenty and DFLer Mike Hatch: six by Rasmussen, two by the Star Tribune, two by SurveyUSA, and one each by the Humphrey Institute and MPR / Pioneer Press. (Eight of these polls included IP candidate Peter Hutchinson).

The modest uptick in polling at this point in the campaign is a bit curious considering 2010 is an open-seat race with three viable candidates.

Of course, polls cost money, but even though many private news organizations are enduring tighter budgets as compared to four years ago, Star Tribune and KSTP-sponsored polls are actually up this cycle (six) compared to 2006 (four).

Other states, however, have seen a much more noticeable boost in public polling of their gubernatorial races.

For example, Georgia's open-seat governor's race has been polled 12 times in 2010 compared to just four times through September 2006 when Sonny Perdue ran for reelection.

Of course, there are still two more days left in September - more numbers on Minnesota's race could be coming down the chute soon.

Follow Smart Politics on Twitter.

Previous post: Will Minnesotans Turn out to Vote in Record Numbers this Midterm Election?
Next post: Twitter Wars: Tarryl Clark vs. Michele Bachmann

Leave a comment


Remains of the Data

Kevin McCarthy Becomes Least Tenured Floor Leader in US House History

At less than four terms, McCarthy has served 423 fewer days in the chamber than any floor leader in U.S. House history and almost 10 years less than the average leader.

Political Crumbs

The Second Time Around

Former Republican Congressman Bob Beauprez became the seventh major party or second place gubernatorial candidate in Colorado to get a second chance at the office when he narrowly won his party's nomination last month. Two of the previous six candidates were successful. Democrat Alva Adams lost his first gubernatorial bid to Benjamin Eaton in 1884, but was victorious two years later against William Meyer. Democrat Charles Johnson placed third in 1894 behind Republican Albert McIntyre and Populist incumbent Governor David Waite but returned as the Fusion (Democrat/Populist) nominee in 1898 and defeated GOPer Henry Wolcott. Gubernatorial candidates who received a second chance but lost both general elections include Democrat Thomas Patterson (1888, 1914), Progressive Edward Costigan (1912, 1914), Republican Donald Brotzman (1954, 1956), and Republican David Strickland (1978, 1986).


How Are the Plurality Winners Doing?

Nearly 40 percent of plurality winners of U.S. Senate elections lose their seat in the next election cycle. Will that happen to any of the three such incumbents on the ballot in 2014? Recent polling suggests Democrats Al Franken of Minnesota, Mark Begich of Alaska, and Jeff Merkley of Oregon all currently have an advantage over their nominated/frontrunning GOP opponents, but each is flirting with plurality support once again. Franken led endorsed GOPer Mike McFadden 48 to 42 percent in a new SurveyUSA poll while the polling group showed Merkley with a 50 to 32 percent advantage over Monica Wehby. Begich led each of the three major GOP candidates in last month's PPP survey: 42 to 37 percent over Daniel Sullivan, 41 to 33 percent over Mead Treadwell, and 43 to 27 percent over Joe Miller.


more POLITICAL CRUMBS

Humphrey School Sites
CSPG
Humphrey New Media Hub

Issues />

<div id=
Abortion
Afghanistan
Budget and taxes
Campaign finances
Crime and punishment
Economy and jobs
Education
Energy
Environment
Foreign affairs
Gender
Health
Housing
Ideology
Immigration
Iraq
Media
Military
Partisanship
Race and ethnicity
Reapportionment
Redistricting
Religion
Sexuality
Sports
Terrorism
Third parties
Transportation
Voting