Go to HHH home page.
Smart Politics
 


Election Profile: Iowa's 5th Congressional District

Bookmark and Share

Smart Politics is running a series of election profiles of Upper Midwestern congressional races leading up to the November 2nd elections. The series will culminate with Smart Politics' official projections. The fifth profile in the series is Iowa's 5th Congressional District race.

Candidates:
Republican: Steve King (4-term incumbent)
Democrat: Matthew Campbell
Nominated by Petition: Martin James Monroe

District Geography:
Iowa's 5th Congressional District comprises thirty-two counties across the western wing of the state: Adair, Adams, Audubon, Buena Vista, Carroll, Cass, Cherokee, Clarke, Clay, Crawford, Decatur, Dickinson, Fremont, Guthrie, Harrison, Ida, Lyon, Mills, Monona, Montgomery, O'Brien, Osceola, Page, Plymouth, Pottawattamie, Ringgold, Sac, Shelby, Sioux, Taylor, Union, and Woodbury.

History:
King handily won the inaugural race of the newly drawn 5th Congressional District in 2002, beating Democratic nominee Paul Shomshor by 24.3 points. King then defeated Democrat Joyce Schulte in back-to-back elections: by 26.7 and 22.9 points in 2004 and 2006 respectively.

King, a former state senator, serves on the House Committee on Agriculture, the House Committee on Small Business, and the House Committee on the Judiciary. The four-term Congressman has been one of the most outspoken opponents of illegal immigration in the GOP caucus over the last few election cycles.

In this year's election, King will face Democrat Matthew Campbell, who has the unenviable task of running for a seat in which Democrats have averaged just 36.9 percent of the vote against King this decade.

Martin James Monroe will also appear on the ballot (nominated by petition). No third party or independent candidate has receive five percent of the vote in an Iowa U.S. House race since 1934, when Farmer-Laborite John Wirds received 6.4 percent in IA-03.

Outlook:
Western Iowa hasn't elected a Democrat to the U.S. House since Berkley Bedell won 7-straight terms from 1974 through 1986. King represents the most conservative and reliably Republican district in the Hawkeye State: John McCain carried the 5th by 11 points in 2008 and George W. Bush won it by 21 points in 2004. Overall, the district has a +9 GOP Partisan Voting Index tilt, and ranks as the 118th most Republican district in the nation.

The reelection of King and fellow GOPer Tom Latham from the state's 4th CD means Iowa will continue its streak of sending at least one Republican to the U.S. House in every election cycle since 1856.

Follow Smart Politics on Twitter.

Previous post: Election Profile: Iowa's 4th Congressional District
Next post: Election Profile: South Dakota's At-Large Congressional Seat

Leave a comment


Remains of the Data

Plurality-Winning Governors Elected At Century-Long High Water Mark

The rate of gubernatorial candidates elected without the support of a majority of voters is at its highest level since the 1910s.

Political Crumbs

Seeing Red

Congressman Nick Rahall's failed bid for a 20th term in West Virginia this cycle, combined with a narrow loss by Nick Casey to Alex Mooney in Shelley Moore Capito's open seat, means that West Virginia Democrats will be shut out of the state's U.S. House delegation for the first time in over 90 years. The Republican sweep by two-term incumbent David McKinley in the 1st CD, Mooney in the 2nd, and Evan Jenkins over Rahall in the 3rd marks the first time the GOP has held all seats in the chamber from West Virginia since the Election of 1920. During the 67th Congress (1921-1923) all six seats from the state were controlled by the GOP. Since the Election of 1922, Democrats have won 76 percent of all U.S. House elections in the Mountain State - capturing 172 seats compared to 54 for the GOP.


Home Field Advantage?

When the 114th Congress convenes in a few days, Maine will be represented by one home-grown U.S. Representative: Waterville-born Republican Bruce Poliquin. With the departure of Millinocket-born Mike Michaud, who launched a failed gubernatorial bid, the Pine Tree State was poised to send a House delegation to D.C. without any Maine-born members for the first time since 1821. Three-term U.S. Rep. Chellie Pingree (born in Minnesota) coasted to reelection as expected, however Poliquin edged Kentucky-born Emily Cain by 5.3 points to keep the streak alive. Since 1876, a total of 208 of the 222 candidates elected to the nation's lower legislative chamber from the state have been born in Maine, or 94 percent.


more POLITICAL CRUMBS

Humphrey School Sites
CSPG
Humphrey New Media Hub

Issues />

<div id=
Abortion
Afghanistan
Budget and taxes
Campaign finances
Crime and punishment
Economy and jobs
Education
Energy
Environment
Foreign affairs
Gender
Health
Housing
Ideology
Immigration
Iraq
Media
Military
Partisanship
Race and ethnicity
Reapportionment
Redistricting
Religion
Sexuality
Sports
Terrorism
Third parties
Transportation
Voting