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Smart Politics
 


November 2010


Republican Dominance over Upper Midwestern Governorships through the Years

Republicans have controlled the governor's mansions of IA, MN, ND, SD, and WI for over 72 percent of the time since 1846

Wisconsin Closes 3rd Least Competitive Congressional Redistricting Period in State History

Average margin of victory in Wisconsin's U.S. House races since 2002 is 37.4 points - eclipsed by only two other redistricting periods

Minnesota to Have Only Democratic Upper Midwestern Governor for First Time Since 1954

Dayton one of four Minnesotan 'lone Democratic wolves' to govern in the five-state region since the Dakotas achieved statehood in 1889

Iowa's Schizophrenic 2010 Electorate

A Democratic majority U.S. House delegation from Iowa is sent to D.C. under historic circumstances in 2011

Media Myth Exposed: Loss of Democratic Governorships Not Key to Obama's 2012 Battleground State Prospects

Since 1968, Democratic presidential candidates have had the same success rate in carrying states with Democratic governors as Republican governors - 33 percent

Bachmann Survives Sixth Closest Victory Among 2010 Republican House Incumbents

Fellow controversial Congressman Joe Wilson (SC-02) at #3; Bachmann had the narrowest victory among GOP incumbents in 2008

Murkowski Wins More Votes Than All Statewide Write-in Candidates in Alaska History Combined

Only 94,926 Alaskans had cast their ballot for statewide write-in candidates over the previous 52 years; Murkowski eclipses 100,000

Are Democrats Becoming a Two-State Party?

Percentage of Democratic U.S. House Seats from California and New York soars to a record high of 28.1 percent after the 2010 elections

Heath Shuler Would Be Greenest (and Youngest) Floor Leader in U.S. House History

If elected, Shuler would become the first majority or minority leader with less than five terms of service in the U.S. House and the first elected below the age of 45

Did an Independent Turn South Dakota's 2010 U.S. House Race?

B.Thomas Marking turns in the best performance by a South Dakota U.S. House independent or third party candidate in 80 years

Support for Minnesota GOP US House Candidates Rises 22 Percent in 2010

Support increases across all eight districts for Republicans; cumulative vote for DFLers falls below 48 percent for just the 3rd time in six decades

'No' Vote on Health Care May Have Saved Several Democratic House Seats in McCain Districts

House Democrats from McCain districts voting 'no' on health care were reelected at nearly four times the rate as those voting 'yes'

Minnesota Gubernatorial Recount Event to be Held at Humphrey Institute

Panelists include elections managers from Hennepin and Ramsey Counties as well as attorneys involved in the 2008 U.S. Senate race recount between Norm Coleman and Al Franken

Third Parties Leave Footprints in Minnesota's 2010 U.S. House Contests

Votes for third party candidates eclipse 5 percent in six congressional districts; most since DFL merger in 1944

Nancy Pelosi 1 of 8 House Democrats to Win by Bigger Margin in 2010 than 2008

Only 3 percent of 230 Democratic U.S. House incumbents on the ballot increased their margin of victory in 2010 compared to 2008; Nancy Pelosi had the second largest increase

South Dakota Democratic State Senate Delegation Slashed to 44-Year Low

Democratic delegation to State Senate cut by more than half on Tuesday

Michele Bachmann Raised More Than $70 Per Vote Won on Election Day

Incumbent in nation's most expensive U.S. House contest raises $70 per vote won in 6th CD race through mid-October FEC filings

John Dingell Escapes with Narrowest Victory of Congressional Career

Democratic Congressman from Michigan not immune from GOP surges during the Republican waves of 1966, 1994, and 2010

Smart Politics Projections: Gubernatorial Races

Nail-biters abound in several of the nation's 37 gubernatorial contests, with third-party watchers glued to the elections in Rhode Island and Colorado

Smart Politics Projections: U.S. House of Representatives

Projected partisan shift: GOP +62

Smart Politics Projections: U.S. Senate

Balance of power in the U.S. Senate will undoubtedly be one of the most important story lines to watch Tuesday evening

Smart Politics Projections: Minnesota U.S. House

Two-term incumbents have won 88 percent of their reelection bids in Minnesota history (75 of 85 races)

Smart Politics Projections: South Dakota U.S. House

Congresswoman Herseth Sandlin has no padding at the top of the ticket

Smart Politics Projections: Iowa U.S. House

Braley's and Loebsack's districts have enough of a Democratic partisan tilt to see them through, while Boswell has been in this position several times over his previous seven campaigns

Smart Politics Projections: Wisconsin U.S. House

Republicans eye first two-seat U.S. House pick up in Badger State since 1966 GOP wave

Smart Politics Projections: Minnesota State House

GOP looks to notch biggest gains in Minnesota House since 1978

Smart Politics Projections: Wisconsin State Assembly

Republicans look to take back control of Assembly during GOP wave in Wisconsin

Smart Politics Projections: South Dakota House

Republicans to flirt with 50-seat mark once again in lower chamber

Smart Politics Projections: Iowa State House

Republicans to take advantage of historically thin Democratic field to win back lower chamber

Smart Politics Projections: Minnesota State Senate

Republican pick-ups of as many as 15 seats look quite feasible on paper

Smart Politics Projections: Wisconsin State Senate

Republicans to take back control of Senate during GOP wave in Wisconsin

Smart Politics Projections: South Dakota State Senate

Strong Republican presence at top of the ticket to boost GOP advantage in State Senate

Smart Politics Projections: Iowa State Senate

Democrats should narrowly prevail in Hawkeye State's upper legislative chamber to avoid GOP sweep