Go to HHH home page.
Smart Politics
 


Minnesota to Have Only Democratic Upper Midwestern Governor for First Time Since 1954

Bookmark and Share

Dayton one of four Minnesotan 'lone Democratic wolves' to govern in the five-state region since the Dakotas achieved statehood in 1889

Presuming Mark Dayton sheds no more than 8,769 votes to Republican Tom Emmer in the manual recount of their gubernatorial contest in the coming weeks, Minnesota will be the only Upper Midwestern state with a Democratic governor come January.

And that is something of a rarity.

A Smart Politics study of historical gubernatorial election data finds that a Dayton victory would mean Minnesota will have the only Democratic governor in the five-state region for the first time since the election of 1954, when DFLer Orville Freeman won the first of his three terms that November.

Over the past 121 years, since the Dakotas joined the Union in 1889, there have been three previous instances in which Minnesota stood alone carrying the Democratic banner in governor's mansions across the region.

The first instance occurred after the election of 1904, when Democrat John Johnson's 2.6-point win over Republican Robert Dunn ended a four-year streak in which the GOP held all five Upper Midwestern governor's posts.

Johnson was the region's sole Democratic governor for two years until he was reelected in 1906 along with Democrat John Burke in North Dakota.

The second instance took place during an 11-month stint in 1915.

In 1914, Democrat Winfield Hammond was elected governor of the Gopher State by 3.6 points over Republican William Lee. Hammond took office in January 1915, but died later that year in December, allowing Republican Lieutenant Governor J.A.A. Burnquist to ascend into the governor's chair.

Republicans would go on to control the governorships of all five Upper Midwestern states for the next 11 years and 1 month - from December 1915 until January 1927.

This decade-plus stretch remains the longest period of single-party dominance in gubernatorial elections across the five-state region.

The third instance took place after the election of 1954, when Republican governors were elected in Iowa (Leo Hoegh), North Dakota (Clarence Brunsdale), South Dakota (Joe Foss), and Wisconsin (Walter Kohler, Jr.).

However, in Minnesota, DFLer Orville Freeman (pictured) defeated GOP incumbent C. Elmer Anderson by 5.9 points.

Freeman was the lone Democratic governor for two years until the election of 1956, when Democrat Herschel Loveless defeated Leo Hoegh in Iowa by 2.4 points and Freeman was elected to another term.

Should Dayton prevail in the recount in 2010 he will become the fourth 'lone Democratic wolf' from the Gopher State in a region soon to be dominated by GOP governors - Jack Dalrymple (North Dakota), Terry Branstad (Iowa), Scott Walker (Wisconsin), and Dennis Daugaard (South Dakota)..

Over the last 121 years, each of the other four Upper Midwestern states have also elected at least one governor who became the region's sole gubernatorial flag bearer for the Democratic party:

· In Iowa: Horace Boies (1890-1891), Nelson Kraschel (1937-1939), and Tom Vilsack (1999-2003).
· In South Dakota: William Bulow (1927-1931)
· In Wisconsin: George Peck (1894-1895)
· In North Dakota: John Burke (1909-1913), John Moses (1939-1945), William Guy (1969-1971), Arthur Link (1979-1981), and George Sinner (1991-1992).

Follow Smart Politics on Twitter.

Previous post: Iowa's Schizophrenic 2010 Electorate
Next post: Wisconsin Closes 3rd Least Competitive Congressional Redistricting Period in State History

1 Comment


  • Minnesotan have always been people that use their brains when deciding. They don't just follow the herd. Job well dome Minnesota

  • Leave a comment


    Remains of the Data

    Kevin McCarthy Becomes Least Tenured Floor Leader in US House History

    At less than four terms, McCarthy has served 423 fewer days in the chamber than any floor leader in U.S. House history and almost 10 years less than the average leader.

    Political Crumbs

    The Second Time Around

    Former Republican Congressman Bob Beauprez became the seventh major party or second place gubernatorial candidate in Colorado to get a second chance at the office when he narrowly won his party's nomination last month. Two of the previous six candidates were successful. Democrat Alva Adams lost his first gubernatorial bid to Benjamin Eaton in 1884, but was victorious two years later against William Meyer. Democrat Charles Johnson placed third in 1894 behind Republican Albert McIntyre and Populist incumbent Governor David Waite but returned as the Fusion (Democrat/Populist) nominee in 1898 and defeated GOPer Henry Wolcott. Gubernatorial candidates who received a second chance but lost both general elections include Democrat Thomas Patterson (1888, 1914), Progressive Edward Costigan (1912, 1914), Republican Donald Brotzman (1954, 1956), and Republican David Strickland (1978, 1986).


    How Are the Plurality Winners Doing?

    Nearly 40 percent of plurality winners of U.S. Senate elections lose their seat in the next election cycle. Will that happen to any of the three such incumbents on the ballot in 2014? Recent polling suggests Democrats Al Franken of Minnesota, Mark Begich of Alaska, and Jeff Merkley of Oregon all currently have an advantage over their nominated/frontrunning GOP opponents, but each is flirting with plurality support once again. Franken led endorsed GOPer Mike McFadden 48 to 42 percent in a new SurveyUSA poll while the polling group showed Merkley with a 50 to 32 percent advantage over Monica Wehby. Begich led each of the three major GOP candidates in last month's PPP survey: 42 to 37 percent over Daniel Sullivan, 41 to 33 percent over Mead Treadwell, and 43 to 27 percent over Joe Miller.


    more POLITICAL CRUMBS

    Humphrey School Sites
    CSPG
    Humphrey New Media Hub

    Issues />

<div id=
    Abortion
    Afghanistan
    Budget and taxes
    Campaign finances
    Crime and punishment
    Economy and jobs
    Education
    Energy
    Environment
    Foreign affairs
    Gender
    Health
    Housing
    Ideology
    Immigration
    Iraq
    Media
    Military
    Partisanship
    Race and ethnicity
    Reapportionment
    Redistricting
    Religion
    Sexuality
    Sports
    Terrorism
    Third parties
    Transportation
    Voting