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Smart Politics Projections: Wisconsin State Assembly

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Republicans look to take back control of Assembly during GOP wave in Wisconsin

Current partisan split
Democrats: 51
Republicans: 46
Independents: 1
Vacant: 1

Incumbents
Democratic incumbents: 43
Open Democratic seats: 8
Republican incumbents: 35
Open Republican seats: 11
Independent incumbents: 1

Unchallenged seats
No Democrat on the ballot: 17
No Republican on the ballot: 15

Analysis
Democratic control of the State Assembly will likely prove to be short-lived after Tuesday's elections. Republicans, who gained control of the Assembly during the Republican Revolution of 1994, had maintained power for seven consecutive election cycles before the Democrats picked up the lower legislative chamber in 2008, after solid gains in the 2006 and 2008 cycles.

The GOP will rival and perhaps best their half-century long mark of a seven seat net change from the 1982 to the 1984 elections, and could even flirt with a double-digit swing, given the enthusiasm for the Party at the top of the ticket in the Badger State's gubernatorial and U.S. Senate races.

Projection
Partisan shift: GOP +9
Partisan control: GOP takes control

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