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African Americans Notch Record Number of U.S. House Seats in 2010 Election

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However, decade-by-decade rate of growth of number of blacks in the U.S. House has stalled to its lowest level since the 1920s

Monday's Smart Politics report highlighted the continued disproportionately low percentage of blacks elected to the 112th Congress - vis-à-vis the percentage of blacks in the U.S. population - as well as the 26 states that have never elected an African American to the U.S. House.

However, the 2010 general election did set a new high water mark - with 41 black Americans elected to the House of Representatives last November, or 9.4 percent of the 435 voting members.

A Smart Politics review of historical election data finds that 2010's tally narrowly eclipses the Elections of 2004 and 2006 when 40 African Americans were elected to the U.S. House (9.2 percent).

(The data in this report examines general elections in the 50 states - excluding non-voting members from Washington, D.C. and U.S. territories).

Overall, since the Election of 1870, when the first black was elected to the House of Representatives (Joseph Rainey of South Carolina), African Americans have won 678 of 28,832 seats, or 2.4 percent.

Blacks have also been elected to the House on another two-dozen occasions in special elections.

While the number of black Representatives in D.C. has hovered between 37 and 41 over the previous 10 election cycles dating back to 1992, the last decade continues a gradual upward trend that launched in the 1920s.

In 1928, Illinois' Oscar Stanton De Priest was elected to the House ending a nearly three-decade absence of blacks in the nation's lower legislative chamber.

From 1870 through 1898, African Americans won 35 of 4,773 general elections - with several of these through hard-fought contested elections - winning at least one seat every cycle except for 1878 and 1886.

For the next 14 cycles, blacks were completely shut out - winning no seats from 1900 through the Election of 1926.

Since De Priests' landmark victory in 1928, the number of House seats won by blacks has increased substantially across each redistricting period: from two (1922-1930), to five (1932-1940), to nine (1942-1950), to 16 (1952-1960), to 38 (1962-1970), to 78 (1972-1980), to 109 (1982-1990), to 188 (1992-2000).

And while the last five cycles set a record high for African Americans in the U.S. House - with 198 blacks elected from 2002-2010 - this marks the slowest decade-by-decade increase during this 90-year span.

African Americans won only 10 more seats during the last five cycles (198) than from 1992-2000 (188), or an increase of just 5.3 percent.

By contrast, the number of blacks elected to the U.S. House had increased by 150 percent, 80 percent, 78 percent, 138 percent, 105 percent, 40 percent, and 72 percent over the previous seven decades.

Number of African Americans Elected to the U.S. House by Decade in General Elections

Period
#
Seats
%
1870
5
243
2.1
1872-1880
19
1,464
1.3
1882-1890
7
1,639
0.4
1892-1900
4
1,784
0.2
1902-1910
0
1,948
0.0
1912-1920
0
2,175
0.0
1922-1930
2
2,175
0.1
1932-1940
5
2,175
0.2
1942-1950
9
2,175
0.4
1952-1960
16
2,179
0.7
1962-1970
38
2,175
1.7
1972-1980
78
2,175
3.6
1982-1990
109
2,175
5.0
1992-2000
188
2,175
8.6
2002-2010
198
2,175
9.1
Table compiled by Smart Politics with information from the Office of the Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives.

With little change in the number of blacks elected over the last 10 election cycles, has the representation of African Americans nearly reached its peak in the U.S. House?

One wild card in this equation is redistricting.

In 1992, for example, blacks netted 13 more seats (38) compared to the previous cycle in 1990 (25) after new district lines went into effect.

The Class of 1992 includes several blacks now in their 10th term in the U.S. House: Sanford Bishop (GA-02), Corrine Brown (FL-03), James Clyburn (SC-06), Alcee Hastings (FL-23), Eddie Bernice Johnson (TX-30), Bobby Rush (IL-01), and Bobby Scott (VA-03).

Perhaps the forthcoming district lines for the 2012 election will create more opportunities for blacks to eclipse 2010's mark of 41 seats won.

Number of African Americans Elected to the U.S. House by Year in General Elections, 1870-2010

Year
Number
Seats
%
1870
5
243
2.1
1872
7
292
2.4
1874
7
293
2.4
1876
3
293
1.0
1878
0
293
0.0
1880
2
293
0.7
1882
1
325
0.3
1884
2
325
0.6
1886
0
325
0.0
1888
3
332
0.9
1890
1
332
0.3
1892
1
356
0.3
1894
1
357
0.3
1896
1
357
0.3
1898
1
357
0.3
1900
0
357
0.0
1902
0
386
0.0
1904
0
386
0.0
1906
0
391
0.0
1908
0
391
0.0
1910
0
394
0.0
1912
0
435
0.0
1914
0
435
0.0
1916
0
435
0.0
1918
0
435
0.0
1920
0
435
0.0
1922
0
435
0.0
1924
0
435
0.0
1926
0
435
0.0
1928
1
435
0.2
1930
1
435
0.2
1932
1
435
0.2
1934
1
435
0.2
1936
1
435
0.2
1938
1
435
0.2
1940
1
435
0.2
1942
1
435
0.2
1944
2
435
0.5
1946
2
435
0.5
1948
2
435
0.5
1950
2
435
0.5
1952
2
435
0.5
1954
3
435
0.7
1956
3
435
0.7
1958
4
437
0.9
1960
4
437
0.9
1962
5
435
1.1
1964
6
435
1.4
1966
6
435
1.4
1968
9
435
2.1
1970
12
435
2.8
1972
14
435
3.2
1974
16
435
3.7
1976
16
435
3.7
1978
15
435
3.4
1980
17
435
3.9
1982
20
435
4.6
1984
19
435
4.4
1986
22
435
5.1
1988
23
435
5.3
1990
25
435
5.7
1992
38
435
8.7
1994
38
435
8.7
1996
38
435
8.7
1998
37
435
8.5
2000
37
435
8.5
2002
38
435
8.7
2004
40
435
9.2
2006
40
435
9.2
2008
39
435
9.0
2010
41
435
9.4
Total
678
28,832
2.4
Table compiled by Smart Politics with information from the Office of the Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives.

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Remains of the Data

No Free Passes: States With 2 Major Party Candidates in Every US House Race

Indiana has now placed candidates from both major parties on the ballot in a nation-best 189 consecutive U.S. House races, with New Hampshire, Minnesota, Idaho, and Montana also north of 100 in a row.

Political Crumbs

Gubernatorial Highs and Lows

Two sitting governors currently hold the record for the highest gubernatorial vote ever received in their respective states by a non-incumbent: Republican Matt Mead of Wyoming (65.7 percent in 2010) and outgoing GOPer Dave Heineman of Nebraska (73.4 percent in 2006). Republican Gary Herbert of Utah had not previously won a gubernatorial contest when he notched a state record 64.1 percent for his first victory in 2010, but was an incumbent at the time after ascending to the position in 2009 after the early departure of Jon Huntsman. Meanwhile, two sitting governors hold the record in their states for the lowest mark ever recorded by a winning gubernatorial candidate (incumbent or otherwise): independent-turned-Democrat Lincoln Chafee of Rhode Island (36.1 percent in 2010) and Democrat Terry McAuliffe of Virginia (47.8 percent in 2013).


An Idaho Six Pack

Two-term Idaho Republican Governor Butch Otter only polled at 39 percent in a recent PPP survey of the state's 2014 race - just four points ahead of Democratic businessman A.J. Balukoff. Otter's low numbers reflect his own struggles as a candidate (witness his weak primary win against State Senator Russ Fulcher) combined with the opportunity for disgruntled Idahoans to cast their votes for one of four third party and independent candidates, who collectively received the support of 12 percent of likely voters: Libertarian John Bujak, the Constitution Party's Steve Pankey, and independents Jill Humble and Pro-Life (aka Marvin Richardson). The six candidate options in a gubernatorial race sets an all-time record in the Gem State across the 46 elections conducted since statehood. The previous high water mark of five candidates was reached in seven previous cycles: 1902, 1904, 1908, 1912, 1914, 1966, and 2010.


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