Go to HHH home page.
Smart Politics
 


No GOP Challenger Yet For Amy Klobuchar? No Problem

Bookmark and Share

No eventual major party nominee over the last four Minnesota U.S. Senate elections had announced their candidacy at this point in the election cycle

Although Minnesota Republicans are not exactly flocking in droves to take on 1-term Minnesota DFL U.S. Senator Amy Klobuchar in 2012, it is a bit premature to read into the dearth of candidacies as a sign the GOP believes it has little chance to take the seat.

There are 642 days until Election Day, and recent Minnesota history suggests it could take a while longer for official candidacies to be announced.

· Senator Klobuchar herself did not announce her candidacy until April 18, 2005 - some 568 days before the 2006 election.

· Klobchar's 2006 GOP opponent for Mark Dayton's open seat - Mark Kennedy - announced his candidacy on February 11, 2005 (634 days in advance of the election).

· Minnesota's junior Senator, Al Franken, had not yet announced his intention to run against Norm Coleman at this point in the 2008 cycle either - waiting until Valentine's Day in 2007, or 629 days before Election Day.

· Dean Barkley of the Independence Party did not file his FEC paperwork in the 2008 election until July 25 of that year, a mere 102 days before voters went to the polls.

· Republican Norm Coleman waited until February 11, 2002 before deciding to challenge Paul Wellstone, or just 267 days before the election.

· Mark Dayton played his cards close to the vest for a long stretch as well - not announcing his candidacy against Republican incumbent Rod Grams until April 3, 2000, or just 218 days before that contest.

Minnesota's other two Senators during the last 16 years - Rod Grams and Paul Wellstone - had also not announced their intention to run for U.S. Senate at this stage in the election cycle.

Grams - a newly-minted Freshman U.S. Representative at the time - announced on December 2, 1993 he would be a candidate for Dave Durenberger's open seat, or 11 months before his eventual 1994 victory.

Wellstone gave himself a little more time: announcing his 1990 bid against Rudy Boschwitz in April of 1989, or 19 months before Election Day.

For the record, Minnesota electoral history gives Senator Klobuchar a two in three chance of retaining her seat next year.

Follow Smart Politics on Twitter.

Previous post: Experienced 'Outsiders': Do Ex-Elected Officials Make the Strongest Presidential Challengers?
Next post: Rehberg Would Make GOP History by Defeating Tester in MT US Senate Race

Leave a comment


Remains of the Data

Which States Have the Longest and Shortest Election Day Voting Hours?

Residents in some North Dakota towns have less than half as many hours to cast their ballots as those in New York State.

Political Crumbs

No 100-Year Curse for Roberts

Defeating his Tea Party primary challenger Milton Wolf with just 48.1 percent of the vote, Pat Roberts narrowly escaped becoming the first elected U.S. Senator from Kansas to lose a renomination bid in 100 years. The last - and so far only - elected U.S. Senator to lose a Kansas primary was one-term Republican Joseph Bristow in 1914. Bristow was defeated by former U.S. Senator Charles Curtis who went on to win three terms before becoming Herbert Hoover's running mate in 1928. Only one other U.S. Senator from the Sunflower State has lost a primary since the passage of the 17th Amendment: Sheila Frahm in 1996. Frahm was appointed to fill Bob Dole's seat earlier that year and finished 13.2 points behind Sam Brownback in the three-candidate primary field. Overall, incumbent senators from Kansas have won 29 times against two defeats in the direct vote era. (Curtis also lost a primary in 1912 to Walter Stubbs, one year before the nation moved to direct elections).


The Second Time Around

Former Republican Congressman Bob Beauprez became the seventh major party or second place gubernatorial candidate in Colorado to get a second chance at the office when he narrowly won his party's nomination last month. Two of the previous six candidates were successful. Democrat Alva Adams lost his first gubernatorial bid to Benjamin Eaton in 1884, but was victorious two years later against William Meyer. Democrat Charles Johnson placed third in 1894 behind Republican Albert McIntyre and Populist incumbent Governor David Waite but returned as the Fusion (Democrat/Populist) nominee in 1898 and defeated GOPer Henry Wolcott. Gubernatorial candidates who received a second chance but lost both general elections include Democrat Thomas Patterson (1888, 1914), Progressive Edward Costigan (1912, 1914), Republican Donald Brotzman (1954, 1956), and Republican David Strickland (1978, 1986).


more POLITICAL CRUMBS

Humphrey School Sites
CSPG
Humphrey New Media Hub

Issues />

<div id=
Abortion
Afghanistan
Budget and taxes
Campaign finances
Crime and punishment
Economy and jobs
Education
Energy
Environment
Foreign affairs
Gender
Health
Housing
Ideology
Immigration
Iraq
Media
Military
Partisanship
Race and ethnicity
Reapportionment
Redistricting
Religion
Sexuality
Sports
Terrorism
Third parties
Transportation
Voting