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Democrats Tally Worst Showing in Mississippi Gubernatorial Race Since Reconstruction

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For the second consecutive election cycle, the Democratic vote in Mississippi's gubernatorial race declines to a new post-Reconstruction low

johnnydupree2.jpgWhile no one expected Mississippi's gubernatorial election to be competitive, Hattiesburg Mayor and Democratic Party nominee Johnny DuPree was hoping not to go down in the history books this way.

The gradual erosion of the Democratic vote in the Deep South in recent decades continued Tuesday when DuPree notched only 39.0 percent of the vote in defeat to Republican nominee and Lieutenant Governor Phil Bryant (with 97 percent of precincts reporting).

That tally is three points worse than four years ago, the previous post-Reconstruction low water mark for the Democratic Party, when nominee John Eaves won 42.1 percent and Republican Haley Barbour cruised to a second term.

The 2011 election continues a 20-year stretch in which the Democratic gubernatorial nominee in Mississippi has failed to win 50 percent of the vote.

Democrats have won just one of the last six such elections, with Ronnie Musgrove escaping with a plurality 49.6 percent victory in 1999 against Mike Parker.

These last six gubernatorial contests mark the only cycles in which Democrats have failed to win a majority of the vote during the 34 gubernatorial elections conducted in Mississippi since the end of the Reconstruction Era in 1877.

The steady drop in support for Democratic gubernatorial nominees in the Magnolia State can be seen decade-by-decade in the table below. The average percentage of the vote for the Democratic candidate has declined from 100 percent in the 1950s, to 66.1 percent in the 1960s, 63.4 percent in the 1970s, 54.3 percent in the 1980s, 47.2 percent in the 1990s, and just 42.3 percent after 2000.

Percentage of the Vote by Party and Decade in Mississippi Gubernatorial Elections

Decade
Democrat
Republican
3rd / Independent
1950s
100.0
0.0
0.0
1960s
66.1
33.9
0.0
1970s
63.4
28.0
8.6
1980s
54.3
42.8
3.0
1990s
47.2
51.6
1.2
2000s-present
42.3
57.2
0.5
Table compiled by Smart Politics.

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2 Comments


  • d tear johnny i hope you run again - and if you do lets start now- we to start with people on t the ground- at less 25 people in ever big city in the state every 14 year will be voteing the next 4 years target these young people johnny i am ready i would like to have a meeting with you are some one in your office my #6014470731 Thank You God Bless Mississippi First

  • very inspired decision to voters to elect a representative man in the photo. community has made many in Mississippi, it is worth!

  • Leave a comment


    Remains of the Data

    Plurality-Winning Governors Elected At Century-Long High Water Mark

    The rate of gubernatorial candidates elected without the support of a majority of voters is at its highest level since the 1910s.

    Political Crumbs

    Seeing Red

    Congressman Nick Rahall's failed bid for a 20th term in West Virginia this cycle, combined with a narrow loss by Nick Casey to Alex Mooney in Shelley Moore Capito's open seat, means that West Virginia Democrats will be shut out of the state's U.S. House delegation for the first time in over 90 years. The Republican sweep by two-term incumbent David McKinley in the 1st CD, Mooney in the 2nd, and Evan Jenkins over Rahall in the 3rd marks the first time the GOP has held all seats in the chamber from West Virginia since the Election of 1920. During the 67th Congress (1921-1923) all six seats from the state were controlled by the GOP. Since the Election of 1922, Democrats have won 76 percent of all U.S. House elections in the Mountain State - capturing 172 seats compared to 54 for the GOP.


    Home Field Advantage?

    When the 114th Congress convenes in a few days, Maine will be represented by one home-grown U.S. Representative: Waterville-born Republican Bruce Poliquin. With the departure of Millinocket-born Mike Michaud, who launched a failed gubernatorial bid, the Pine Tree State was poised to send a House delegation to D.C. without any Maine-born members for the first time since 1821. Three-term U.S. Rep. Chellie Pingree (born in Minnesota) coasted to reelection as expected, however Poliquin edged Kentucky-born Emily Cain by 5.3 points to keep the streak alive. Since 1876, a total of 208 of the 222 candidates elected to the nation's lower legislative chamber from the state have been born in Maine, or 94 percent.


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