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Smart Politics
 


June 2012


What Does Mitt Romney Think About Chief Justice John Roberts?

A look back at what Romney and the 2012 GOP field said about the now controversial Chief Justice who wrote to uphold most of the Affordable Care Act.

Oklahoma GOP Poised to Run Table in US House Races for Just 3rd Time Since Statehood

Democrats won 79 percent of congressional contests in the Sooner State prior to the Republican Revolution and just 14 percent since.

Obama vs the Supreme Court: Rhetoric of the 44th President

Obama's critical comments of the Court outweigh favorable comments by more than a 4:1 margin since taking office.

Will Confidence in Supreme Court Erode or Rebound After Obamacare Decision?

The U.S. Supreme Court's net confidence rating during Barack Obama's presidency is at an all-time low since Gallup's measurement began in the early 1970s.

Obama Cabinet Turnover Rate Remains Historically Low (So Far)

With seven months left in his term, the president holds the fourth lowest departure rate of cabinet department heads out of 23 administrations since FDR.

Can Rob McKenna End the Nation's Longest GOP Gubernatorial Election Drought?

It has been 32 years since voters in Washington State elected a Republican governor - the longest GOP dry spell in any state.

Why Ohio? The Numbers Don't Lie (Bellwether States Revisited)

Talk about bellwethers: Ohio's vote for the winning presidential candidate has deviated from the national vote an average of just 2.2 points since 1900 and only 1.3 points since 1964.

Deep Benches: Which States Consistently Field US House Candidates from Both Parties?

Democrats and Republicans in New Hampshire, Indiana, Minnesota, and Idaho have fielded candidates in each of the last 100+ U.S. House races in their respective states.

Minnesota's Gender Gap: The Disappearing Female Candidate?

After notching five of the 16 major party U.S. House nominations in 2010, women may secure only two such slots across Minnesota's eight districts this November.

With Barber Victory Nearly 1 in 4 House Democrats Elected Via Special Election

Almost one-quarter of the Democratic caucus was first elected to the U.S. House via special election - more than double that of the GOP.

Can Democrats Take Back the Iowa House in 2012?

Democrats would have to win 64 percent of the House races they are contesting - something the party has achieved only once since 1992.

Will Arizona Democrats Hold Their Undefeated Special Election Victory Streak?

Democrats in Arizona have won all three special elections to Congress since statehood, but are victorious in only 35 percent of U.S. House elections over the last 60 years.

Barrett Support Rises in 19 Counties, Falls in 53 Others

An increase in support in Dane and Milwaukee Counties is not enough for Mayor Barrett to stave off Governor Walker's surge in central and northern Wisconsin.

Scott Walker's Victory by the Numbers

Gubernatorial candidates seeking a rematch have now lost 5 of 7 contests in Wisconsin history.

How Big will Barrett Score in Dane and Milwaukee Counties?

Holding 2010 totals constant for the state's other 70 counties, Barrett would need to carry 75.1 percent of the vote in Wisconsin's two most populated counties to beat Walker on Tuesday (up from 64.1 percent in 2010).

Wisconsin Poised to Extend Competitive Gubernatorial Election Streak

Wisconsin is expected to join Rhode Island, Iowa, and Minnesota on Tuesday for the only states currently with four or more consecutive elections decided by single digits.