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Scott Walker's Victory by the Numbers

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Gubernatorial candidates seeking a rematch have now lost 5 of 7 contests in Wisconsin history

scottwalker10.JPGRepublican Governor Scott Walker's win over Democratic challenger Tom Barrett in the Wisconsin recall election Tuesday continues several trends in Badger State gubernatorial elections.

The contest marked the seventh major party gubernatorial rematch in Wisconsin history with the winner of the first contest successfully fending off the challenger five times against just two losses.

Walker defeated Barrett by a 53.2 to 46.3 percent margin.

The last time a candidate sought such a rematch and won was in 1942 when Progressive Orland Loomis defeated one-term Republican incumbent Julius Heil after loing to the GOPer two years prior. (Loomis never took office, dying shortly after Election Day).

With Walker's victory, incumbent governors have now been reelected at a rate of 74.5 percent in Wisconsin - winning 35 contests and losing just 12 times over the last 160+ years since statehood.

The 6.9-point decision Tuesday means Wisconsin now joins Rhode Island (five), Minnesota (four), and Iowa (four) as the only states with at least four consecutive gubernatorial races decided by single digits.

Wisconsin's inaugural Barrett vs. Walker matchup in 2010 was decided by 5.8 points after Democrat Jim Doyle won his two terms by 3.7 points in 2002 and 7.4 points in 2006.

Walker won 60 counties en route to his victory on Tuesday - up one from 59 in his 2010 win.

The third candidate on the ballot, independent Hari Trivedi, was a non-factor in the race - failing to eclipse one percent of the vote.

Only two independent candidates for governor in Badger State history have ever won more than 1 percent - and both were former major party officeholders.

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Remains of the Data

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Political Crumbs

Final Four Has Presidential Approval

By edging Michigan in the final seconds Sunday, the University of Kentucky guaranteed that one school in the Final Four this year would be located in a state that was not carried by President Barack Obama in 2012. (Connecticut, Florida, and Wisconsin had previously earned Final Four slots over the weekend). Across the 76 Final Fours since 1939, an average of 3.1 schools have been located in states won by the president's ticket during the previous election cycle. All four schools have come from states won by the president 29 times, with the most recent being the 2009 Final Four featuring Connecticut, Michigan State, North Carolina, and Villanova. On 30 occasions three Final Four schools have been located in states won by the president, with two schools 11 times and only one school six times (the most recent being 2012 with Kansas, Kentucky, Louisville, and Ohio State). There has never been a Men's NCAA Division I Final Four in which no schools were located in states carried by the president's ticket.


Three for the Road

A new Rasmussen Poll shows Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker in a dead heat with likely 2014 Democratic nominee Mary Burke. Walker is seeking to win his third consecutive election after prevailing in 2012's recall contest. Eight of his predecessors accomplished this feat: Republicans Lucius Fairchild (in 1869), Jeremiah Rusk (1886), Robert La Follette (1904), Emanuel Philipp (1918), John Blaine (1924), Walter Kohler (1954), Warren Knowles (1968), and Tommy Thompson (1994). Three others Badger State governors lost on their third campaign: Democrat George Peck (1894), Progressive Philip La Follette (1938), and Republican Julius Heil (1942). One died in office before having the opportunity to win a third contest (GOPer Walter Goodland in 1947) while another resigned beforehand (Democrat Patrick Lucey in 1977 to become Ambassador to Mexico). Overall Wisconsin gubernatorial incumbents have won 35 of 47 general election contests, or 74.5 percent of the time.


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