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Projections: 2012 Presidential Contest

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All eyes on Virginia, Florida, New Hampshire, Ohio, Pennsylvania...you know the rest...

presidentialseal10.jpgWith more than 600 state polls released in the nation's Top 10 battleground states this cycle, the nation has watched as data points shifted from advantage Obama to advantage Romney or vice-versa across electorates that tally more than 100 key electoral votes.

While the polls in many of these states show some momentum for the president in the closing days of the campaign, political observers should not be shocked to see Mitt Romney eke out some narrow wins or, conversely to see Obama carry many of these states by up to a half-dozen points.

But for those wanting high drama, the dream scenario would be for neither candidate to handily sweep the battleground states, and instead watch the media sweat it out with enough states too close to call so that no winner is announced Tuesday evening.

Smart Politics 2012 Presidential Projections

State
Projection
Alabama
Romney
Alaska
Romney
Arizona
Romney
Arkansas
Romney
California
Obama
Colorado
Obama
Connecticut
Obama
D.C.
Obama
Delaware
Obama
Florida
Romney
Georgia
Romney
Hawaii
Obama
Idaho
Romney
Illinois
Obama
Indiana
Romney
Iowa
Obama
Kansas
Romney
Kentucky
Romney
Louisiana
Romney
Maine
Obama
Maryland
Obama
Massachusetts
Obama
Michigan
Obama
Minnesota
Obama
Mississippi
Romney
Missouri
Romney
Montana
Romney
Nebraska
Romney
Nevada
Obama
New Hampshire
Obama
New Jersey
Obama
New Mexico
Obama
New York
Obama
North Carolina
Romney
North Dakota
Romney
Ohio
Obama
Oklahoma
Romney
Oregon
Obama
Pennsylvania
Obama
Rhode Island
Obama
South Carolina
Romney
South Dakota
Romney
Tennessee
Romney
Texas
Romney
Utah
Romney
Vermont
Obama
Virginia
Obama
Washington
Obama
West Virginia
Romney
Wisconsin
Obama
Wyoming
Romney
Total
Obama 303, Romney 235

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1 Comment


  • I'm hoping your projections come true as PRESIDENT OBAMA & VICE PRESIDENT BIDEN deserve the opportunity to continue with the programs & policies they've begun on the behalf of ALL of the UNITED STATES OF AMERICA. Country Hoosier ( Ron Booth )

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    Remains of the Data

    Which States Own the Best Track Record in Backing Eventual GOP Presidential Nominees?

    Nine states (each with primaries) have an unblemished record in voting for the eventual Republican nominee since 1976 - and not all host contests on the back end of the calendar.

    Political Crumbs

    Evolving?

    When Scott Walker "punted" back in February after being asked if he was comfortable with the idea of evolution he added, "That's a question a politician shouldn't be involved in one way or the other." However, it may very well be a question that is asked at one of the upcoming GOP debates this year. In South Carolina during the first GOP debate in 2012, FOX News' Juan Williams asked Tim Pawlenty, "Do you equate the teaching of creationism with the teaching of evolution as the basis for what should be taught for our nation's schools?" Pawlenty replied, "There should be room in the curriculum for study of intelligent design" but that it was up to the local school districts if it should be in a science class or comparative theory class. At the fourth Republican debate held in California, Jon Huntsman addressed the GOP becoming "anti-science" thusly: "Listen, when you make comments that fly in the face of what 98 out of 100 climate scientists have said, when you call into question the science of evolution, all I'm saying is that, in order for the Republican Party to win, we can't run from science. We can't run from mainstream conservative philosophy."


    73 Months and Counting

    January's preliminary Bureau of Labor Statistics numbers show Minnesota's unemployment rate of 3.7 percent was once again lower than Wisconsin's 5.0 percent. That marks the 73rd consecutive month in which Minnesota has boasted a lower jobless rate than its neighbor to the east dating back to January 2009 including each of the last 67 months by at least one point. The Gopher State has now edged Wisconsin in the employment border battle for 204 of the last 216 months dating back to February 1997. Wisconsin only managed a lower unemployment rate than Minnesota for the 12 months of 2008 during this 18-year span.


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