Go to HHH home page.
Smart Politics
 


From Helena to D.C.? Schweitzer Would Make History in Montana

Bookmark and Share

No ex- or sitting Montana governor has ever gone on to win a U.S. Senate (or U.S. House) race

brianschweitzer10.jpgThe decision to go from 1 of 50 to 1 of 100 may seem like a demotion to some.

And yet, several U.S. Senators in the 113th Congress took that very route, such as Delaware's Tom Carper, Maine's Angus King, Nebraska's Mike Johanns, New Hampshire's Jeanne Shaheen, North Dakota's John Hoeven, Tennessee's Lamar Alexander, Virginia's Mark Warner and Tim Kaine, and West Virginia's Jay Rockefeller and Joe Manchin.

All served as governor before winning their U.S. Senate seats.

But not all governors have been successful in winning Senate seats in recent years.

For example, Republican Linda Lingle of Hawaii (2012), Republican Tommy Thompson of Wisconsin (2012), Republican-turned-independent Charlie Crist of Florida (2010), and Republican Jim Gilmore of Virginia (2008) all failed in their Senate bids over the last few cycles.

But in Montana, Democrats are pinning their hopes on former two-term Governor Brian Schweitzer to take the plunge in what the party views as their best chance to hold Max Baucus' seat that has been in the Democratic column since 1913.

Schweitzer, of course, ran for the Senate once as the Democratic nominee in 2000 - losing to then two-term GOP incumbent Conrad Burns by less than 13,700 votes.

A new survey by Harper Polling was released this week showing Schweitzer, who says he won't decde if he'll enter the race until at least May 2nd, with a modest advantage over top GOP prospects like U.S. Representative Steve Daines and former Governor Marc Racicot.

But here's the thing.

Not a single ex- or sitting Montana Governor has ever been elected to D.C. - to the House or the Senate.

A few Montanans have taken the reverse path - going from D.C. to Helena.

For example, Republican Joseph Dixon twice won election to the state's at-large U.S. House seat in 1902 and 1904 and was then elected to the Senate in 1906.

As an incumbent in 1912, Dixon lost the state's first popular vote Senate election to Democrat Thomas Walsh with 32.1 percent of the vote while running as a Progressive.

Dixon was elected governor of Montana eight years later in 1920, lost his reelection bid in 1924, and then failed in his challenge of Democratic U.S. Senate incumbent Burton Wheeler in 1928.

Democrat Roy Ayers also was victorious in two elections to the U.S. House before becoming governor - representing the state's 2nd congressional district after winning the Elections of 1932 and 1934.

Ayers then narrowly defeated Frank Hazelbaker in the gubernatorial election of 1936. Governor Ayers lost his reelection bid to Sam Ford four years later.

The one and only Montana Governor who later became a U.S. Senator was John Erickson, although he was never elected to the position.

In fact, he had to appoint himself to get the job.

Erickson was elected governor of the Treasure State three times - in 1924, 1928, and 1932.

When four-term Democratic U.S. Senator Thomas Walsh died in March 1933, Erickson quickly appointed himself to the seat and resigned his governor's post.

Erickson would serve in the position for nearly a year and a half until November 1934, but lost a competitive six-candidate race for the Democratic nomination - coming in a close third behind James Murray with just over one-fifth of the vote.

And with that, Erickson's Senate career came to a close.

The only other Montana governor to run for Senate was Republican Tim Babcock in 1966.

Lieutenant Governor Babcock became governor when the state's 15th Governor, Donald Nutter, was killed in an airplane crash in January 1962.

Two years later Babcock was elected to a full term with a 2.6-point victory over Democrat Roland Renne in 1964.

However, halfway into his four-year term, Babcock decided to challenge one-term incumbent Lee Metcalf in the 1966 U.S. Senate race.

Metcalf defeated Governor Babcock by 6.3 points, and Babcock was rewarded by losing his gubernatorial reelection bid in 1968 by 12.2 points to Democrat Forrest Anderson.

Follow Smart Politics on Twitter.

Previous post: The Longest-Held Republican US Senate Seats
Next post: Colbert Busch: Making History in South Carolina?

Leave a comment


Remains of the Data

Kevin McCarthy Becomes Least Tenured Floor Leader in US House History

At less than four terms, McCarthy has served 423 fewer days in the chamber than any floor leader in U.S. House history and almost 10 years less than the average leader.

Political Crumbs

The Second Time Around

Former Republican Congressman Bob Beauprez became the seventh major party or second place gubernatorial candidate in Colorado to get a second chance at the office when he narrowly won his party's nomination last month. Two of the previous six candidates were successful. Democrat Alva Adams lost his first gubernatorial bid to Benjamin Eaton in 1884, but was victorious two years later against William Meyer. Democrat Charles Johnson placed third in 1894 behind Republican Albert McIntyre and Populist incumbent Governor David Waite but returned as the Fusion (Democrat/Populist) nominee in 1898 and defeated GOPer Henry Wolcott. Gubernatorial candidates who received a second chance but lost both general elections include Democrat Thomas Patterson (1888, 1914), Progressive Edward Costigan (1912, 1914), Republican Donald Brotzman (1954, 1956), and Republican David Strickland (1978, 1986).


How Are the Plurality Winners Doing?

Nearly 40 percent of plurality winners of U.S. Senate elections lose their seat in the next election cycle. Will that happen to any of the three such incumbents on the ballot in 2014? Recent polling suggests Democrats Al Franken of Minnesota, Mark Begich of Alaska, and Jeff Merkley of Oregon all currently have an advantage over their nominated/frontrunning GOP opponents, but each is flirting with plurality support once again. Franken led endorsed GOPer Mike McFadden 48 to 42 percent in a new SurveyUSA poll while the polling group showed Merkley with a 50 to 32 percent advantage over Monica Wehby. Begich led each of the three major GOP candidates in last month's PPP survey: 42 to 37 percent over Daniel Sullivan, 41 to 33 percent over Mead Treadwell, and 43 to 27 percent over Joe Miller.


more POLITICAL CRUMBS

Humphrey School Sites
CSPG
Humphrey New Media Hub

Issues />

<div id=
Abortion
Afghanistan
Budget and taxes
Campaign finances
Crime and punishment
Economy and jobs
Education
Energy
Environment
Foreign affairs
Gender
Health
Housing
Ideology
Immigration
Iraq
Media
Military
Partisanship
Race and ethnicity
Reapportionment
Redistricting
Religion
Sexuality
Sports
Terrorism
Third parties
Transportation
Voting